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After three straight 12-5 seasons with positive point differentials in triple digits, everything collapsed for the Dallas Cowboys in 2024. Dak Prescott played just eight games due to injury and was less productive than usual when healthy, while the run game ranked 30th in yards per attempt and last in rushing touchdowns on the season. To make matters worse, the normally elite defense gave up the second most points in the league and failed to find any success aside from star pass rusher Micah Parsons. Though Mike McCarthy still directed Dallas to seven wins despite all the issues, it wasn't enough to earn a new deal from the team.

After interviewing several candidates to replace McCarthy, including former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, the team elected to promote offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer to head coach. In his first season in Dallas in 2023, the Cowboys led the league in scoring, and Schottenheimer's previous three-year run in Seattle also resulted in three top-10 scoring offenses. Schottenheimer offenses prior to last year have typically leaned on a strong running game, and the Cowboys made several moves to try to reclaim that identity for 2025.

Gone are Rico Dowdle and Ezekiel Elliott, and in their place the Cowboys brought in Javonte Williams, former division rival Miles Sanders and two Day 3 draft picks in Jaydon Blue and Phil Mafah. None are the type of needle-movers that fans of the team likely hoped to land this offseason, such as first-round picks Ashton Jeanty and Omarion Hampton, or four-time 1,000-yard rusher Najee Harris, but finding success with the unit will be key to drawing focus away from Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and trade acquisition George Pickens in the passing game and returning the Cowboys to the playoffs.

We're going to take a quick look at the Cowboys' 2024 season and the rest of their offseason moves before getting into their track record in NFL futures over the last five years. After that, you can find the odds available at top sportsbooks for their 2025 win total along with Super Bowl and playoff odds as well as key player props to know. Finally, we'll take a look at the pros and cons of betting on the Cowboys in 2025 and give out our best bets.

2024 Dallas Cowboys season review

  • Regular season: 7-10 (Third, NFC East)
  • Playoffs: Missed
  • 7-10 record after three straight 12-5 seasons
  • Dak Prescott: 3-5 record, 11 TDs, 8 INTs (missed final nine games with torn hamstring)
  • Fewest PPG (20.6) in a season since 2015 
  • 28th in total defense (worst since 2013)

2025 Dallas Cowboys offseason review


LostAddedDrafted
QBCooper Rush, Trey LanceJoe Milton
RBRico DowdleJavonte Williams, Miles SandersJaydon Blue (5), Phil Mafah (7)
WRBrandin CooksGeorge Pickens, Parris Campbell
TE


OLZack Martin, Chuma EdogaRob Jones, Hakeem Adeniji, Saahdiq CharlesTyler Booker (1), Ajani Cornelius (6)
DLLinval Joseph, Carlos WatkinsSolomon Thomas, Perrion WinfreyJay Toia (7), Tommy Akingbesote (7)
EDGEDemarcus Lawrence, Chauncey Golston, Carl LawsonDante Fowler, Payton Turner, James HoustonDonovan Ezeiruaku (2)
LBEric Kendricks, Nick VigilKenneth Murray, Jack SanbornShemar James (5)
CBJourdan Lewis, Amani OruwariyeKaiir Elam, Robert RochellShavon Revel (3)
S


STAFFMike McCarthy (HC), Mike Zimmer (DC)Klayton Adams (OC), Matt Eberflus (DC)

Five-year futures odds and trends

YearSuper Bowl oddsWin totalResultActual winsFinish
2024+200010Under73rd, NFC East
2023+14009.5Over12L, Wild card round
2022+196010.5Over12L, Divisional round
2021+30009Over12L, Wild card round
2020+120010Under63rd, NFC East

Historical betting data via Pro-Football-Reference.

2025 Dallas Cowboys futures odds

Odds to …BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuel
Go Over win total8.5 (+110)7.5 (-130)8.5 (+120)7.5 (-125)
Go Under win total8.5 (+120)7.5 (+110)8.5 (+135)7.5 (+105)
Win Super Bowl+5000+5000+5000+4700
Win NFC+2000+2800+2200+2200
Win NFC East+600+675+550+550
Make playoffs+175+190+180+186
Miss playoffs-210-240-220-235
Win No. 1 seed+3000+3500+2200+2400

Odds subject to change.

2025 Dak Prescott props


BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuel
MVP+3000+2800+3000+4000
Offensive POY+10000+10000+10000+15000
Most pass yards
+900+850+800
Pass yards O/U3800.53950.53900.53875.5
Pass TDs O/U26.525.526.526.5

Odds subject to change.

Reasons to back the Cowboys

It's easy to forget Prescott led the league in passing touchdowns in 2023 and finished second in MVP voting that year. When healthy, the Cowboys quarterback is capable of leading one of the most dynamic offenses in the league. Lamb remains one of the NFL's best receivers and could see more favorable matchups with Pickens lined up next to him. Pickens himself should benefit from a change of scenery. The Dallas running back room should provide more of a boost as well, and the offensive line remains solid with first-round pick Tyler Booker likely making an immediate impact.

The schedule actually sets up nicely for Dallas to find its footing under Schottenheimer as the new head coach. There's a tough opener against the defending champions Eagles but four of the next five games are against teams that did not make the playoffs in 2024. The Cowboys also get home games against Washington and Arizona in the first half of the season. Aside from a five-game stretch from late November to mid December, there's not a tough spot on this schedule.

Reasons to fade the Cowboys

Trevon Diggs and Demarvion Overshown are expected to miss time at the start of the year, and Parsons has demanded a trade as he and the team cannot seem to reach an agreement on a contract extension. That's three massive playmakers on a defense that needs to rebound after a rough 2024 campaign where it ranked 28th in yards allowed per game and 31st in points allowed per game.

Schottenheimer has never been a head coach before and his offensive units have never really taken off. Even when he was in Dallas as the offensive coordinator in 2023, McCarthy was the one who was calling the plays. It's hard to know what type of coaching style Schottenheimer brings to the table in the lead job, and that could lead to some tough breaks early in the season which could cost bettors on the win total.

How to bet the Cowboys in 2025

  • Over 7.5 wins -125 (FanDuel)
  • Dak Prescott Comeback Player of the Year +325 (BetMGM)

I'm banking on a big rebound from the Cowboys offense with Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens representing potentially the best combination of quarterback and top two receivers in the league outside of Cincinnati. That Bengals team finished 9-8 last year in a tough division with the sixth-best offense and 25th-best defense in the league, and I could see a similar fate for the Cowboys this year if key talent stays healthy. While the schedule down the stretch is brutal, home matchups against the Chargers and Vikings are certainly winnable, they get to play the Eagles and Chiefs both at home, and I can also see them stealing a win against either the Lions or Commanders on the road. With the Giants up in Week 18, they may only need to be 5-5 heading into that run to get to eight wins.

Prescott is a great value to win Comeback Player of the Year over Aidan Hutchinson or Christian McCaffrey at any book where he's not the favorite, and I'd play him at +300 or higher to win the award. He had a league-best 36 passing touchdowns in 2023 while throwing for 4,516 yards and finishing second in the MVP race, and I think he could even be in the mix for the MVP award this year if the Cowboys can challenge for the division title. Is there really that much of a difference between the situations of Joe Burrow, who is one of the favorites for the award at FanDuel at +600, and Prescott, who is +4000? Anything above +2000 for Prescott feels like a bargain for MVP.