Fantasy Football week 11 WR preview: A.J. Brown belongs in your lineup and other WRs to target
Everything you need to know about wide receiver for Fantasy Football in Week 11
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2 min read
Last week, I ranked DeVonta Smith over A.J. Brown and felt a little foolish every time I thought about it. The Smith led the Eagles with 69 yards receiving and a touchdown, while Brown caught two passes for 13 yards. Now the question isn't just about starting Smith over Brown. It's whether we should just call Brown an outright sit.
Brown has played eight games this season, and Monday night was the third time he's produced less than four PPR Fantasy points. He has two other games where he has scored between 7.7 and 9.3 points. It has been an absolute disaster; he is frustrated, and the Eagles just keep on winning. All that being said, can you really just sit A.J. Brown?
Probably not.
This week, the Eagles play the Lions, which generally means a shootout. The game only has an over/under of 46.5 yards, which is actually a little low for a Lions game, but the Eagles' implied total of 24.5 still ranks in the upper half for Week 11. This should be a game where Jalen Hurts pass attempts are up, and that should be a good thing for Brown.
In the first run of my Week 11 projections, Brown comes out at WR34. That makes sense, because he currently ranks as WR40 in FPPG. But this is a prime example of a guy who gets ranked higher than his production says he could. Partially because he's A.J. Brown, partially because he could erupt for 28 Fantasy points, like he did in Week 8, at any moment. It's possible you have two receivers you want to start over Brown, but you shouldn't go searching for waiver wire options to start over him. Especially this week.
Here is the rest of the Week 11 WR Preview:
Week 11 WR Preview
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
- 31.2% -- Since Week 7, Khalil Shakir has been targeted on 31.2% of his routes, which ranks sixth amongst qualified receivers.
- 12.3 -- Luther Burden's 12.3 yards per target leads the Bears by a mile. If he becomes a full-time player down the stretch, he could be a league winner.
- 95.8 -- Since Tyreek Hill got hurt, Jaylen Waddle has scored 95.8 PPR Fantasy points. Only five wide receivers have scored more in that stretch.
- 73 -- Troy Franklin leads the Broncos with 73 targets this season. That's seven more than Courtland Sutton.
- 9.3 -- Marvin Harrison has averaged 9.3 targets per game in his last three games with Jacoby Brissett. He could have a monster finish to the season.
- 31.2 -- Jauan Jennings has scored 31.2 PPR Fantasy points in his last two games, which makes him WR11.
- 119 -- Jameson Williams had a season high 119 receiving yards in Dan Campbell's first game calling plays.
- 85.4% -- Christian Watson led the Packers in route participation in Week 10. If Romeo Doubs is out, we could get a breakout game from Watson, but he's still just a boom/bust flex.
WR Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 11 Adds (WR Preview)
Washington led Jacksonville with seven targets in Week 10, and we have not yet received in any indication that Brian Thomas is coming back this week. With Travis Hunter out for the year, there should be plenty of slot snaps for both Washington and Jakobi Meyers. View Washington as a weekly WR3 with WR2 upside in a good matchup.
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Slayton is either a WR3 or a stash add, depending on how long it takes Jaxson Dart to recover from his concussion. If Dart is back this week, expect 10 to 12 PPR Fantasy points like he has the last two weeks. But later in the year, he has more upside than that with Dart because he has had some near-miss deep balls.
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A lot of wide receivers have better projections than Watson this week, including teammate Dontayvion Wicks, but few have more upside. The Packers' receiving corps is depleted, the Giants present a great matchup, and Watson has ramped up to full participation. Unfortunately, as Monday night showed, there is almost no floor with Watson.
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Stashes (WR Preview)
Burden still isn't playing enough to garner flex consideration, but Head Coach Ben Johnson indicated that may be coming. It should be, because when Burden has been on the field, he has earned targets and turned them into production. His 2.74 yards per route run is almost a full yard better than any other Bears receiver.
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WR Preview
DFS Plays
Top DFS Play
Projections powered by
Sportsline
I have Chase projected for three more points than any other receiver, and he is the third-highest-priced wide receiver on the slate. He has a 38% target share with Joe Flacco, and Flacco is throwing more than 40 passes a game. Chase has a higher floor and ceiling than any wide receiver in football.
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Contrarian DFS Play
Projections powered by
Sportsline
Harrison is being targeted like a true number one wide receiver since Jacoby Brissett took over as QB. Last week's efficiency was awful but that happens against Seattle. This week he faces a 49ers defense that has given up 39.7 PPR Fantasy points per game to wide receivers in their last three games.
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WR Preview
Heath's Projections
My full set of Week 11 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. You'll find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 11. Projected stats for all starting wide receivers are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.
