no-saints.jpg
Imagn Images

Drew Brees hasn't played for the New Orleans Saints in five years, and the franchise has yet to figure out its quarterback situation ever since. After going through veteran castoffs like Jameis Winston, Andy Dalton and Derek Carr, the latter of whom retired this offseason, the Saints are deciding which of Spencer Rattler, Jake Haener and rookie second-round pick Tyler Shough will start for the team this year. Rattler and Haener are a combined 0-7 as starters and were selected by the Saints under former head coach Dennis Allen, while Shough is a rookie who will turn 26 in September, joining the NFL a full four years after Jacksonville's Trevor Lawrence, who was in his same high school recruiting class.

Regardless of who's at quarterback, he'll be in an offense featuring a 30-year-old Alvin Kamara and a set of pass catchers whose yardage leader went for a resounding 548 yards. If there's a silver lining offensively, one, the team has a new head coach in Kellen Moore, who's fresh off helping lead Philadelphia to a Super Bowl while leading top-seven scoring offenses in four of his six seasons as an offensive coordinator across three stops. The other bright side is the offensive line is in good shape as Carr had the lowest sack percentage in the league last year when he played, going down just eight times in 10 starts. That unit added tackle Kelvin Banks early in the first round, too.

While this seems like a situation to lean into a youth movement, the Saints brought another familiar face back in at receiver in Brandin Cooks, the team's first-round pick back in 2014. Combined with Kamara (2017 third-round pick) and defensive end Cameron Jordan (2011 first-round pick), the Saints have one foot still firmly entrenched in the past, an uphill battle to compete in the present, and questions surrounding the future of the franchise at the most important position in football.

We're going to take a quick look at the Saints' 2024 season and the rest of their offseason moves before getting into their track record in NFL futures over the last five years. After that, you can find the odds available at top sportsbooks for their 2025 win total along with Super Bowl and playoff odds as well as key player props to know. Finally, we'll take a look at the pros and cons of betting on the Saints in 2025 and give out our best bets.

2024 New Orleans Saints season review

  • Regular season: 5-12 (Last, NFC South)
  • Playoffs: Missed
  • Most losses (12) in a season since going 3-13 in 2005 (season before hiring Sean Payton)
  • Fired head coach Dennis Allen after Week 9 following Saints' longest losing streak since 1999 (7)
  • First team in NFL history to lose seven straight games after winning first two games by 20+ points
  • Snapped streak of 18 consecutive seasons with 7+ wins (fourth-longest all-time) 

2025 New Orleans Saints offseason review


LostAddedDrafted
QBDerek Carr, Ben DiNucci
Tyler Shough (2)
RBJamaal WilliamsCam Akers, Velus JonesDevin Neal (6)
WRMarquez Valdes-ScantlingBrandin Cooks, Donovan Peoples-Jones
TE
Jack Stoll, Seth GreenMoliki Matavao (7)
OLRyan Ramczyk, Lucas Patrick, Shane Lemieux, Oli Udoh, Justin HerronDillon Radunz, Will Clapp, Barry WesleyKelvin Banks (1)
DL
Davon GodchauxVernon Broughton (3)
EDGEPayton Turner, Tanoh KpassagnonJonah Williams, Chris RumphFadil Diggs (7)
LBWille Gay
Danny Stutsman (4)
CBPaulson Adebo, Shemar Jean-CharlesIsaac Yiadom, Jayden PriceQuincy Riley (4)
STyrann Mathieu, Will HarrisJustin Reid, Terrell BurgessJonas Sanker (3)
STAFFDarren Rizzi (HC), Klint Kubiak (OC), Joe Woods (DC)Kellen Moore (HC), Doug Nussmeier (OC), Brandon Staley (DC)

Five-year futures odds and trends

YearSuper Bowl oddsWin totalResultActual winsFinish
2024+100007.5Under54th, NFC South
2023+35009.5Under92nd, NFC South
2022+38008.5Under73rd, NFC South
2021+40009Push92nd, NFC South
2020+100010.5Over12L, Divisional round

Historical betting data via Pro-Football-Reference.

2025 New Orleans Saints futures odds

Odds to …BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuel
Go Over win total4.5 (-150)5.5 (+140)4.5 (-150)4.5 (-130)
Go Under win total4.5 (+125)5.5 (-165)4.5 (+125)4.5 (+110)
Win Super Bowl+30000+40000+40000+40000
Win NFC+15000+15000+16000+15000
Win NFC South+1500+1600+1400+1300
Make playoffs+650+650+850+820
Miss playoffs-1000-1000-1600-1600
Win No. 1 seed+20000+12500+20000+20000

Odds subject to change.

2025 Alvin Kamara props


BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuel
MVP+50000+50000+30000+50000
Offensive POY+15000+12500+15000+15000
Most rush yards+6000+7500+8000+6500
Rush yards O/U
750.5775.5775.5
Rush TDs O/U
4.5
4.5

Odds subject to change.

Reasons to back the Saints

When you come into a season with minimal expectations, there's a possibility of playing more freely. This is a rebuilding year for the Saints, who are going with yet another coach-quarterback combination in the post-Brees era. It's possible Moore replicates some of the early success Sean McVay, Kyle Shanahan, Kevin O'Connell and other offensive-minded head coaches had with lesser quarterbacks, though New Orleans' collection of passers is much less proven. It's possible Shough, who was taken in the second round, finds success in Moore's offense ahead of schedule. Kamara, Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed are not a bad skill group, and the offensive line should be among the best in the league.

The schedule does offer some opportunities with the Saints getting the Giants, Jets and Patriots at home in addition to division matchups against the Panthers and Falcons. When the win totals are set at 4.5 and 5.5, bettors don't need much to go right for New Orleans to get to five or six wins.

Reasons to fade the Saints

Offensively, it likely will be a challenge. Whether it's Shough as a rookie or one of Rattler or Haener, the quarterback will lead an offense that isn't exactly loaded with firepower and will be leaning heavily on a 30-year-old back who has never rushed for more than 1,000 yards. Moore has been great as an offensive coordinator between his time in Dallas, Los Angeles and Philadelphia, but he has his work cut out for him in his first stint as a head coach, especially with a relatively inexperienced coaching staff. 

Defensively, that side of the ball has been a relatively steady unit in recent years, but it slipped considerably last year with the departures of cornerbacks Marshon Lattimore and Paulson Adebo. That side is loaded with aging veterans who might be showing their age, and don't be shocked if we see New Orleans sell off players at the trade deadline if things go poorly, which is the expectation as evidenced by sportsbook odds. There are a lot of reasons for the expectations being so low and oddsmakers generally read these situations correctly.

How to bet the Saints in 2025

  • Over 5.5 wins +140 (Caesars)

The Saints' schedule is just too easy after the first month of the season for me to pay a heavy amount of juice to take their Under. If you think the team is truly terrible and the schedule won't matter, I think the play is either to take them to have the fewest number of wins or at least to play an alt number like Under 4.5 wins. On the flip side, I like playing Over 1.5 divisional wins even at -160 considering the state of the rest of the NFC South, but I'm also willing to consider the traditional Over at +125 or better with a home slate of opponents that includes the Cardinals, 49ers, Giants, Patriots, Buccaneers, Falcons, Panthers and Jets, plus road matchups with the Titans and Dolphins along with their divisional opponents.