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The Chicago Bears entered 2024 with no shortage of hype, especially after taking quarterback Caleb Williams No. 1 overall and receiver Rome Odunze at No. 9, but they largely fell flat on their face, finishing 5-12 after going 4-2 to open the season. Head coach Matt Eberfuls was fired midway through a long 10-game losing streak, which saw the team average a measly 11.8 points per game over that span. 

The Bears have hype around them again, this time with new head coach Ben Johnson, who led the Lions' offense the last three years. Johnson was a prize over the last two coaching cycles, and he joins Chicago after leading Detroit to top-five finishes in both yards and points over the last three years and helped revitalize the franchise and quarterback Jared Goff. Additionally, the Lions went 9-8 in Johnson's first year and will hope the Bears take a big step forward like that in 2025. 

Johnson has wasted no time making his mark on the Detroit offense, rebuilding the team's interior offensive line with the addition of center Drew Dalman via free agency and trading for guards Joe Thuney and Jonah Jackson. That trio combined with a quality tackle duo of Braxton Jones and Darnell Wright gives Chicago the makings of a top offensive line, which was a key to Johnson's success in Detroit. To add to the parallels between the two NFC North rivals, the Bears nabbed tight end Colston Loveland 10th overall in this year's draft and then added receiver Luther Burden in the second round. The Bears' offensive talent level is arguably among the NFL's best right now, and if Williams can take a step forward in Year 2, then Chicago could shine in Johnson's first season in the Windy City.

We're going to take a quick look at the Bears' 2024 season and the rest of their offseason moves before getting into their track record in NFL futures over the last five years. After that, you can find the odds available at top sportsbooks for their 2025 win total along with Super Bowl and playoff odds as well as key player props to know. Finally, we'll take a look at the pros and cons of betting on the Bears in 2025 and give out our best bets.

2024 Chicago Bears season review

  • Regular season: 5-12 (Last, NFC North)
  • Playoffs: Missed
  • 10-game losing streak (tied for longest losing streak in a season in team history)
  • Ranked last in total offense for first time since 2004
  • Fired head coach Matt Eberflus after 4-8 start  

2025 Chicago Bears offseason review


LostAddedDrafted
QB
Case Keenum
RBDarrynton Evans
Kyle Monangai (7)
WRKeenan Allen, DeAndre Carter, Collin Johnson, Nsimba WebsterOlamide Zaccheus, Devin Duvernay, Miles Boykin, Maurice AlexanderLuther Burden (2)
TEGerald Everett, Marcedes LewisDurham SmytheColston Loveland (1)
OLTeven Jenkins, Matt Pryor, Coleman Shelton, Larry Borom, Jake CurhanJoe Thuney, Drew Dalman, Jonah Jackson, Joshua MilesOzzy Trapilo (2), Luke Newman (6)
DLByron CowartGrady JarrettShemar Turner (2)
EDGEDarrell Taylor, DeMarcus Walker, Jacob MartinDayo Odeyingbo
LBJack SanbornSwayze BowmanRuben Hyppolite (4)
CB
Nick McCloud, Shaun Wade, Nahshon WrightZah Frazier (5)
SJaylon Jones, Adrian Colbert, Douglas ColemanAlex Cook
STAFFMatt Eberflus (HC), Shane Waldron (OC), Eric Washington (DC) Ben Johnson (HC), Declan Doyle (OC), Dennis Allen (DC)

Five-year futures odds and trends

YearSuper Bowl oddsWin totalResultActual winsFinish
2024+35008.5Under54th, NFC North
2023+50007.5Under73rd, NFC North
2022+144006.5Under34th, NFC North
2021+66007.5Under63rd, NFC North
2020+50008Push8L, Wild-card round

Historical betting data via Pro-Football-Reference.

2025 Chicago Bears futures odds

Odds to …BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuel
Go Over win total8.5 (+110)8.5 (+115)8.5 (+115)8.5 (+125)
Go Under win total8.5 (-135)8.5 (-145)8.5 (-135)8.5 (-145)
Win Super Bowl+4000+4000+4500+4000
Win NFC+1800+2000+2000+2000
Win NFC North+550+525+500+550
Make playoffs+185+195+160+180
Miss playoffs-225-230-195-225
Win No. 1 seed+1800+2200+2000+2500

Odds subject to change.

2025 Caleb Williams props


BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuel
MVP+3000+3500+2800+3700
Offensive POY+6000+6000+7500+10000
Most pass yards+2500+2000+2500+2000
Pass yards O/U3550.53600.53600.53625.5
Pass TDs O/U22.523.523.522.5

Odds subject to change.

Reasons to back the Bears

An offense that had playmakers around the board finished just 28th in scoring last year, and pairing Johnson with Williams could certainly give that side of the ball a big boost if the second-year QB plays well. Chicago has a new-look offensive line and an intriguing case of weapons for Johnson to play with.

Chicago's defense also figures to be in good hands with new defensive coordinator Dennis Allen. His time as New Orleans' head coach wasn't great, but he always fielded above-average defenses in New Orleans, both as a head coach and coordinator. The Bears have firepower on defense at all levels, from the defensive front with Montez Sweat, Gervon Dexter and Grady Jarrett, to linebacker with Tremaine Edmunds and T.J. Edwards, to the secondary with Jaylon Johnson, Kyler Gordon and Kevin Byard. This defense has the talent and ability to compete with anyone, especially the high-powered offenses it will see in the division. That side of the ball can help the Bears play .500 or better ball this year in the NFC North.

Reasons to fade the Bears

All the pieces are there on offense but rest on the development of Williams at quarterback, and that's not a given considering how much he struggled as a rookie while leading the league in times sacked while only throwing six interceptions, showing a tendency to not be aggressive enough getting rid of the ball and waiting too long for the perfect passing opportunity to arise. It could also take time for the reworked offensive line to gel and if Williams is getting pressured at the same level early in the year as he was last season, he could be in danger of slipping back to old habits and struggling to get things right during the week-to-week march of the season.

The schedule is about as tough as it can be for a last-place team, as Chicago's non-common opponents include road trips to a 49ers team likely to rebound and an improved Raiders squad. Throw in six matchups with playoff teams just in their division and another five against the NFC East and AFC North -- including all four games against the Eagles, Commanders, Ravens and Bengals coming on the road -- and this is a team that is going to have to fight hard just to make it above .500 unless everything clicks quickly.

How to bet the Bears in 2025

  • Over 8.5 wins +125 (FanDuel)
  • Make playoffs +195 (Caesars)
  • Caleb Williams Over 3625.5 passing yards (FanDuel)
  • Caleb Williams passing yards leader +2500 (DraftKings)

Despite the tough schedule, I'm buying in on the Bears to take a big leap this season. The offense looks like it could challenge to be the best in the league depending on Williams, who should see much better protection up front and will be throwing to an even deeper set of pass-catchers than he did last year. Johnson should be able to win shootouts when he has to, but there's also the potential of the defense to be a top-10 unit as well. Even if they finish as low as 20th, I see this as being a team with 10-win potential who could even challenge for a division title depending on how the uncertainty shakes out across the rest of the division, particular in Detroit with the loss of coordinators and in Minnesota with J.J. McCarthy taking the reins. The +195 price to make the playoffs is one of the better value bets on the board for me.

I also believe Williams could see his numbers shoot through the roof after throwing for 3,541 yards last year. Jared Goff averaged at least 261 yards per game in each of Johnson's three season as offensive coordinator after averaging 231.8 in his first season with Detroit. Williams averaged 208.3 yards per game last year, so if he makes it through an entire season healthy then all he'd have to do is match that is get Over the total of 3625.5. If he misses a few games, he can still get over the number by getting to Goff's level of production per game, and if he can stay healthy while elevating his game, he could challenge to lead the league in passing yards as Johnson doesn't have the same rushing attack to rely on in Chicago as he did in Detroit.