Free MLB home run picks, odds for August 19: Mike Trout among best bets for Tuesday HR player props
The Inside the Lines team has been dishing out nightly home run bets all season long -- up nearly 55 units on the year. For more free daily picks across all sports, visit the Inside the Lines blog.

Injuries have largely stopped Angels outfielder Mike Trout from a complete assault on the MLB record books, but the three-time MLB MVP is still a hitter to be feared in his 15th MLB season, especially since he's closing in on 400 home runs for his career. Trout enters a matchup with the Reds on Tuesday sitting on 398 homers, and after missing 80 games or more in four of the last five seasons, he's only missed 28 games so far this year. That relative health has helped him reach 20 homers for the 10th time in his career, and he has a matchup you'll want to take advantage of tonight.
The latest MLB home run odds list Trout for as high as +360 to go yard, and he's one of our top MLB HR picks with the wind blowing out on a warm night in Anaheim. Trout will lead the Angels against the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday at 9:38 p.m. ET. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest bet365 bonus code to receive $150 in bonus bets instantly after your first $5 wager, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's up 54.4 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after nailing Jo Adell (+333) to homer on Sunday, and has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Tuesday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.
Best MLB home run picks for Tuesday, August 19:
- Mike Trout, Angels (+360)
- Mickey Moniak, Rockies (+450)
- Cody Bellinger, Yankees (+450)
- Parlay these picks for +12780 odds at FanDuel (odds subject to change)
MLB Best Home Run Bets 8/19
For more real-time, free picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.
Mike Trout, Angels (+360, FanDuel)
FanDuel is offering a strong price at +360 compared to the consensus line of +300 for Trout to homer. While Trout hasn't been hitting the ball particularly well lately, he's getting on base a ton—walking 12 times over his last eight games—which shows how much pitchers still respect him. Trout has hit 18 of his 20 HRs this season against right-handed pitchers and owns an .869 OPS at home. He has yet to face Hunter Greene in his career, but our model thinks Trout is due for a homer. Greene has been somewhat hittable on the road despite being nearly unhittable at home. Use the latest FanDuel promo code to get $300 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins:
Mickey Moniak, Rockies (+450, DraftKings)
Moniak has raked at Coors this season, slashing .295/.344/.580 in 53 games compared to .215/.250/.416 in 48 games on the road. While he's cooled off a bit in August after crushing the ball in June and July, our model still likes the value here. Moniak has 18 HRs this season, 17 of which have come against right-handed pitchers. Emmet Sheehan has been vulnerable to left-handed hitters, who have a .785 OPS against him this season. With the game in Coors and the total at 12, we set Moniak's line to homer at around +385. Use the latest DraftKings promo code with this bet and get $200 in bonus bets instantly as well as over $200 off on NFL Sunday Ticket as a new user:
Cody Bellinger, Yankees (+450, BetMGM)
Bellinger has struggled on the road this season, which is likely why the line is priced as it is, but he is playing at the Yankees' Spring Training facility tonight. He has just six HRs on the road all season, and one of those did come at Steinbrenner Field in Tampa earlier this year. Rays' starter Shane Baz has a 6.54 ERA at home this season with 13 HRs allowed in 12 starts. He's also been hit hard since the All-Star break—opponents are batting .305 with an .869 OPS against him over his last five starts. We set Bellinger's line to homer at +380, making this a strong value with the listed price at BetMGM, where you can use this BetMGM promo code to get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first wager loses:
Where to bet MLB props on Tuesday
Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Tuesday:
Sportsbook | Bonus offer | Promo code |
---|---|---|
Caesars | ||
BetMGM | ||
FanDuel | ||
DraftKings | Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets instantly and $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket | |
Fanatics | ||
bet365 |
More MLB picks for Tuesday
You've seen the model's MLB HR prop picks for several players on Tuesday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today's best MLB picks from SportsLine's Bruce Marshall, who is on a 99-94-1 roll (+1202) on MLB picks.