2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors
SportsLine's model simulated the PGA Championship 2026 10,000 times and revealed surprising picks

The PGA Championship 2026 is just one days away, as golf's second major tees off on Thursday, May 14, from Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pa. Scottie Scheffler is the defending PGA Championship winner after he prevailed by five strokes at Quail Hollow last year. The latest 2026 PGA Championship odds via FanDuel list Scheffler as the +480 favorite (risk $100 to win $480), with back-to-back Masters winner Rory McIlroy (+950) and Cameron Young (+1200) among the other 2026 PGA Championship contenders.
Jon Rahm (+1500), Ludvig Aberg (+1600) and Xander Schauffele (+1800) are among the other PGA Championship 2026 favorites. Before locking in any 2026 PGA Championship picks, or making any PGA Championship DFS picks or One and Done predictions, be sure to see the 2026 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Visit our DraftKings promo code review to see their latest offers and get started.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
Now that the 2026 PGA Championship field locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or PGA DFS lineups.
2026 PGA Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2026: It projects that Bryson DeChambeau barely cracks the top 10 despite the fact that he was a runner-up in this event the past two years. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters and then had to withdraw from LIV Golf Mexico City with wrist discomfort in April. He has recorded three straight top-five finishes at the PGA Championship, but has also missed the cut twice and finished outside the top 30 two other times at this event. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model projects a strong showing from Tommy Fleetwood, who has longer odds at +2500. The 2025 Tour Championship winner is still looking for his first major win. He's in strong form this season, however, recording five top-10 finishes. He was contending for another top-10 at the Masters this year before a fourth-round 76 dropped him down the leaderboard. Fleetwood has strong metrics off the tee this year, but has struggled with his putting, so if he can have a better weekend on the greens, he has a great shot to be a contender. See who else to pick here.
New to sports trading? Visit our Kalshi promo code review to see their latest offers and get started.
How to make 2026 PGA Championship picks
The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one going off around 60-1 who makes a stunning run for the title. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2026 PGA Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 PGA Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2026 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +480
Rory McIlroy +950
Cameron Young +1200
Jon Rahm +1500
Ludvig Åberg +1600
Xander Schauffele +1800
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Bryson DeChambeau +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2500
Brooks Koepka +3500
Collin Morikawa +4000
Patrick Cantlay +4000
Justin Rose +4500
Justin Thomas +5000
Rickie Fowler +5000
Min Woo Lee +5500
Jordan Spieth +5500
Sam Burns +5500
Russell Henley +5000
Chris Gotterup +5500
Viktor Hovland +5500
Adam Scott +6000
Si Woo Kim +6500
Nicolai Højgaard +6000
J.J. Spaun +6000
Tyrrell Hatton +6000
Robert MacIntyre +7000
Patrick Reed +8000
Hideki Matsuyama +8000
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Maverick McNealy +8000
Sepp Straka +8000
Shane Lowry +10000
Joaquin Niemann +10000
Kristoffer Reitan +10000
Harris English +10000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Ben Griffin +10000
Thomas Detry +10000
Alex Fitzpatrick +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Alex Smalley +10000
Jason Day +15000
Gary Woodland +12500
Matt McCarty +12500
David Puig +12500
Jacob Bridgeman +12500
Harry Hall +15000
Alex Noren +15000
Pierceson Coody +15000
Michael Thorbjornsen +15000
Sungjae Im +17500
Sahith Theegala +17500
Ryan Gerard +17500
Keith Mitchell +17500
Aaron Rai +17500
Nick Taylor +17500
Wyndham Clark +17500
Marco Penge +17500
Rasmus Højgaard +17500
Corey Conners +17500
Haotong Li +22500
Samuel Stevens +22500
Ryo Hisatsune +22500
Max Homa +22500
Daniel Berger +22500
Brian Harman +22500
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500
Taylor Pendrith +25000
Ricky Castillo +25000
Dustin Johnson +25000
Jordan Smith +25000
Bud Cauley +25000
Matt Wallace +25000
Michael Brennan +25000
Tom McKibbin +35000
Ryan Fox +35000
Angel Ayora +35000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +35000
Andrew Novak +35000
Stewart Cink +35000
J.T. Poston +35000
Cameron Smith +35000
Andrew Putnam +50000
Daniel Hillier +50000
Jayden Schaper +50000
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +50000
Bernd Wiesberger +50000
Denny McCarthy +50000
Aldrich Potgieter +50000
Casey Jarvis +50000
Steven Fisk +50000
Richard Hoey +50000
Lucas Glover +50000
Max Greyserman +50000
Michael Kim +50000
Patrick Rodgers +50000
Max McGreevy +50000
Austin Smotherman +50000
Mikael Lindberg +50000
Nico Echavarria +50000
Stephan Jaeger +75000
Sami Valimaki +75000
Chris Kirk +75000
Billy Horschel +75000
John Parry +75000
Garrick Higgo +75000
Matti Schmid +75000
Ian Holt +100000
Tom Hoge +100000
Jimmy Walker +100000
Braden Shattuck +100000
Bryce Fisher +100000
Jhonattan Vegas +100000
Michael Block +100000
Y.E. Yang +100000
Luke Donald +100000
Johnny Keefer +100000
Ben Kern +100000
Elvis Smylie +100000
Timothy Wiseman +100000
Jared Jones +100000
Paul McClure +100000
Derek Berg +100000
Garrett Sapp +100000
Ryan Vermeer +100000
Dan Brown +100000
Adam Schenk +100000
Francisco Bidé +100000
Austin Hurt +100000
Padraig Harrington +100000
Adrien Saddier +100000
Emiliano Grillo +100000
Martin Kaymer +100000
Kota Kaneko +100000
Ben Polland +100000
Brian Campbell +100000
Shaun Micheel +100000
Jason Dufner +100000
Jordan Gumberg +100000
David Lipsky +100000
William Mouw +100000
Michael Kartrude +100000
Joe Highsmith +100000
Mark Geddes +100000
Davis Riley +100000
Tyler Collet +100000
Chris Gabriele +100000
Andy Sullivan +100000
Zach Haynes +100000
Travis Smyth +100000
Ryan Lenahan +100000
Kazuki Higa +100000
Chandler Blanchet +100000
Jesse Droemer +100000
Brandt Snedeker +100000
















