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Two teams consistently in the hunt in the NBA's Western Conference do battle Friday night when the 5-4 Golden State Warriors visit the 5-2 Denver Nuggets. The Warriors got the upper hand in the first matchup between these two teams, taking the contest 137-131 in the first week of the season. Golden State is 3-4 since then, while Denver is 5-1 since that loss. Tipoff at Ball Arena is set for 10 p.m. ET, and the game will air on Prime Video. We've put together a three-leg NBA same-game parlay for this marquee Western Conference showdown with the help of the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times. After its simulations, the model assigns grades for different bets, including prop bets. All odds for this parlay are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.  

Warriors-Nuggets NBA same-game parlay picks

  • Nikola Jokic Under 49.5 points + rebounds + assists (-109)
  • Jimmy Butler Over 24.5 points + rebounds (-114)
  • Over 228.5 (-108)

Final odds at DraftKings: +593 (wager $100 to win $593)

Nikola Jokic Under 49.5 points + rebounds + assists (-109)

Jokic is the PRA king of the NBA as the three-time MVP is once again averaging a triple-double this season, but the model is taking the Under on his PRA prop line Friday night, projecting him to have 48.0. Jokic is averaging exactly 49.5 PRA per game this year, and he had 44 total PRA against the Warriors in that earlier loss. 

Jimmy Butler Over 24.5 points + rebounds (-114)

Butler missed Wednesday's loss to the Kings after leaving Tuesday's win over the Suns due to a side injury. Head coach Steve Kerr said the injury isn't anything serious, and the veteran forward is expected to return to the lineup Friday night in Denver. The model likes the Over on his points + rebounds prop with a projection of 26.1. Butler is averaging 27.0 points + rebounds in games he played at least 27 minutes.

Over 227.5 (-108)

The model thinks this could be a higher-scoring affair. These teams combined for 268 points last time they met, though that was an overtime affair. But both Golden State and Denver have leaned Over early this season, with six of the Warriors' nine games going Over, and five of the Nuggets' seven doing the same. The Over hits in more than 60% of model simulations, and the projected final score is a 123-113 Denver win. Check out the SportsLine Projection Model's recommendations for Warriors-Nuggets, as well as expert picks and best bets, over at SportsLine.

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