Mariners vs. Blue Jays prediction, odds, time: 2025 MLB playoff betting picks for ALCS Game 7 from top model
SportsLine's model simulated Seattle vs. Toronto 10,000 times and revealed its MLB picks for Monday's American League Championship Series Game 7 matchup at Rogers Centre in Toronto
A trip to the 2025 World Series is on the line when the Seattle Mariners battle the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 7 of the American League Championship Series on Monday. Toronto forced a seventh and deciding game with a 6-2 win on Sunday night. The Mariners (90-72), who have never reached the World Series, are in the ALCS for the first time since 2001. The Blue Jays (94-68), who won back-to-back World Series titles in 1992 and 1993, are in the ALCS for the first time since 2016.
First pitch from Rogers Centre in Toronto is set for 8:08 p.m. ET. The Blue Jays have won six of the last nine meetings with the Mariners. Toronto is a -125 favorite on the money line (risk $125 to win $100) in the latest Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 7.5. Before making any Mariners vs. Blue Jays picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters the ALCS and NLCS rounds of the 2025 MLB playoffs a profitable 35-29 on top-rated MLB money-line picks this season. It has excelled making home run prop picks this season, returning nearly 30 units of profit. Anybody following its MLB betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mariners vs. Blue Jays and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Blue Jays vs. Mariners:
Mariners vs. Blue Jays money line | Seattle +111, Toronto -132 |
Mariners vs. Blue Jays over/under | 7.5 runs |
Mariners vs. Blue Jays run line | Toronto -1.5 (+154) |
Mariners vs. Blue Jays picks | |
Mariners vs. Blue Jays streaming | Fubo (Try for free) |
Why the Blue Jays can win
Right-hander Shane Bieber (4-2, 3.57 ERA) is expected to get the start for Toronto. He is 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA in two postseason games. He picked up the win in a 13-4 victory in Game 3 of the series at Seattle. In that game, he pitched six innings, allowing four hits, two earned runs and one walk with eight strikeouts. In seven regular-season starts, he logged 40.1 innings, allowing 34 hits, 16 earned runs and seven walks with 37 strikeouts.
First baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is among the Blue Jays' top hitters. In 156 games during the regular season, he hit .292 with 34 doubles, 23 homers, 84 RBI and 96 runs scored. He is hitting .462 in the ALCS, with nine hits over his last 15 at-bats. He was 2-for-4 with a homer in Sunday's win over Seattle. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Mariners can win
Seattle is expected to counter with right-hander George Kirby (10-8, 4.21 ERA). In 23 starts during the regular season, he pitched 126 innings, allowing 121 hits, 59 earned runs and 29 walks, while striking out 137. He is 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA this postseason, but most of the runs he gave up came in Game 3, when he took the loss in four innings of work. He only gave up three earned runs in 10 innings pitched against Detroit in the Wild Card round.
Among those powering Seattle's offense is first baseman Josh Naylor. He is hitting .341 this postseason, after going 2-for-4 with a homer in Sunday's loss. He has had five multi-hit performances during this year's playoffs. In 54 games with Seattle after being acquired before the trade deadline from the Arizona Diamondbacks, he hit .299 with 10 doubles, nine homers and 33 RBI. In 92 games in 2025, he hit .295 with 20 homers, 92 RBI and 81 runs scored. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Mariners vs. Blue Jays picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.9 combined runs. It says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's MLB picks.
So who wins Mariners vs. Blue Jays, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.
