Free MLB home run picks, odds for Oct. 1: Jackson Merrill is the best bet for Wednesday HR player props

The San Diego Padres have their backs against the wall during the Wednesday MLB schedule, as the Chicago Cubs can close out the best-of-three National League wild-card series. Padres outfielder Jackson Merrill scored the team's lone run in a 3-1 loss on Tuesday, getting driven in by Xander Bogaerts after doubling to lead off the second inning. Merrill hit .264 with 16 homers during the regular season, and he is +700 to go yard in the Wednesday MLB HR odds. 

Merrill had seven home runs in 24 games in September, so SportsLine's Inside the Lines team is backing him with their MLB HR bets on Wednesday. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest DraftKings promo code to get $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 wager wins, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's up 33.44 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after calling Vinnie Pasquantino (+455) and Francisco Lindor (+420) to homer last Thursday and Colson Montgomery (+500) on Friday and (+392) Saturday, and then Hunter Goodman (+492) as well on Saturday. It also nailed two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Wednesday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.

MLB Best Home Run Bets and Prop Picks 10/1

For more real-time, free picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.

Jackson Merrill, Padres (+700, DraftKings)

We are going with a longshot here, but Merrill has been swinging a hot bat as of late. Merrill finished the month of September with 7 HRs in 24 games played. While it looks like the Cubs are going to use an opener in front of LHP Shota Imanaga, we still like the value on Merrill assuming he gets 1 or 2 ABs against right-handed pitchers in this game. We set Merrill's line at +520 to homer, so getting +700 is worth a sprinkle as a longshot. You can bet this prop at DraftKings and get $200 in bonus bets instantly on a winning $5 bet:

Where to bet MLB props on Wednesday

Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Wednesday: 

More MLB picks for Wednesday 

You've seen the model's MLB HR prop picks for several players on Wednesday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Need more from SportsLine? See today's best MLB picks from SportsLine's Angelo Magliocca, who is on an 85-63-1 roll (+1629) on MLB picks.