Free MLB home run picks, odds for August 25: Junior Caminero among best bets for Monday HR player props

Raw power doesn't always translate to home runs, but in the case of Rays third baseman Junior Caminero, rare bat speed has helped him become one of baseball's best power hitters despite a less-than-ideal batted-ball profile. Caminero is second percentile among MLB hitters at hitting the launch-angle sweet spot (conditions most optimal for a home run), but he's still managed to hit 37 homers thanks to 100th percentile barrel speed (78.4 mph). He's homered in back-to-back games entering a Monday matchup with the Guardians at 6:40 p.m. ET, yet he's still available for as high as +400 in the MLB home runs odds.

Caminero's freakish power and a solid matchup are a big reason why he's one of our top MLB HR picks for Monday. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest bet365 bonus code to receive $200 in bonus bets instantly after your first $5 wager, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's up 46.9 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after nailing Eugenio Suarez (+400) to homer on Wednesday, and has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Monday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.

Best MLB home run picks for Monday, August 25:

• Junior Caminero, Rays (+400)
• James Wood, Nationals (+360)
• Riley Greene, Tigers (+400)
• Parlay these picks for +10400 odds at BetMGM (odds subject to change)

MLB Best Home Run Bets 8/25

For more real-time, free picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.

James Wood, Nationals (+360, BetMGM)

We have fair value here, as we set Wood's line at +360 to homer, but several factors tilt this play in his favor. There's favorable HR weather in New York today, and Wood benefits from the short porch in left field as a left-handed hitter. Yankees' SP Cam Schlittler has allowed an .809 OPS at home compared to just .600 on the road. Wood went 0-4 yesterday, but had two multi-hit games in the two games prior, suggesting he may be heating up again. You can bet this prop using the latest BetMGM promo code, where new users can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if their first bet loses:

Junior Caminero, Rays (+400, FanDuel)

Caminero is playing the franchise (Cleveland) that traded him to Tampa Bay—something that likely still haunts the Guardians' front office. He's homered in two straight games, bringing his season total to 37, with 27 of those coming against right-handed pitchers. While Bibee is much better at home than on the road, he has still given up 23 HRs in 25 starts this season. We set Caminero's line at +240 to homer. You can get over $300 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins when you bet $5 using the latest FanDuel promo code:

Riley Greene, Tigers (+400, BetMGM)

Greene hit his 31st home run yesterday and is now batting .288 with 28 of those HRs coming against right-handed pitchers. He also thrives in night games, with a .911 OPS compared to .722 in day games. Tonight, he's playing in hitter-friendly Sacramento and faces JT Ginn, against whom he's 1-3 with a single—putting the ball in play in every at-bat. We set Greene's line at around +300 to homer. Once again, it's BetMGM with the best price here.  

Where to bet MLB props on Monday

Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Monday: 

More MLB picks for Monday 

You've seen the model's MLB HR prop picks for several players on Monday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Need more from SportsLine? See today's best MLB picks from SportsLine's Angelo Magliocca, who is on a 55-39 roll (+1322) on MLB picks.