Free MLB home run picks, odds for Aug. 18: Jose Ramirez among best bets for Monday HR player props

Guardians third baseman Jose Ramirez is a true five-tool player and he's made even more valuable by the fact that he's also a switch-hitter who suffers almost no dropoff from either side of the plate. On Monday, Ramirez and the Guardians will visit the Arizona Diamondbacks and starting pitcher Zac Gallen. The former all-star is sporting a 5.31 ERA entering tonight's action and his 24 home runs allowed are already a career-high, which is a big reason why Ramirez is one of our top MLB home run picks.

The latest MLB home run odds have Ramirez listed for as high as +575 to hit a homer tonight and he's raked against Gallen historically. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest DraftKings promo code to receive $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket and get $200 in bonus bets instantly after your first wager of $5 or more, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's up 57.4 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after nailing Jo Adell (+333) to homer on Sunday, and has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Monday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog, and also see the model's top picks for Cubs vs. Brewers (Game 1) and the model's top MLB props for Monday.

Best MLB home run picks for Monday, August 18:

• Jose Ramirez, Guardians (+575)
• Corey Seager, Rangers (+350)
• Randy Arozarena, Mariners (+475)
• Parlay these picks for +16201 odds at BetMGM (odds subject to change)

MLB Best Home Run Bets 8/18

For more real-time, free picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.

Jose Ramirez, Guardians (+525, BetMGM)

Ramirez doesn't have a hit in his last 3 games, which doesn't occur often for him, so we like the buy-low spot here. Zac Gallen has already allowed a career-high 24 home runs this season, and batters have an .819 OPS against him when hitting from the left side. The switch-hitting Ramirez has hit 21 of his 25 HRs this season as a left-handed batter. He's also 5-9 with a HR against Gallen in his career, so he's seen the ball well against him. We set Ramirez's line to homer at close to +280. It's BetMGM offering the best price here, and you can also use the latest BetMGM promo code to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses:

Corey Seager, Rangers (+350, FanDuel)

Seager is a model favorite whenever he faces right-handed pitchers, against whom he has an .850 OPS this season. He's struggled in August after a big July, but he's such a good hitter that he'll get going. He did break out of a bit of a slump with a 2-5 day yesterday. While Seager doesn't have a HR in his career against Michael Wacha, he is a solid 7-20 against him. You can find this price at FanDuel and also get $300 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins:

Randy Arozarena, Mariners (+475, BetMGM)

Arozarena is having a strong season against left-handed pitchers, hitting .273 with an .829 OPS against them. Ranger Suarez doesn't give up many HRs, but when he does, they tend to come against right-handed batters. Suarez also hasn't been at his best lately, posting a 6.59 ERA over his last 5 starts. We set the line for Arozarena to homer at +390 today, making this a strong value with the listed price available at BetMGM:

Where to bet MLB props on Monday

Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Monday: 

More MLB picks for Monday 

You've seen the model's MLB HR prop picks for several players on Monday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Need more from SportsLine? See today's best MLB picks from SportsLine's Bruce Marshall, who is on a 99-92-1 roll (+1402) on MLB picks.