I've been on the Johnny Cueto bandwagon since its inception. I believed in him as a breakout Fantasy star well before the campaign started to gain momentum. Sadly, I think it's time for me to abandon ship.

I've been in multiple drafts already this spring and I haven't drafted the 27-year-old right-hander once. Kind of strange since I've never avoided him like the plague before. I'm just in the camp of expecting a regression after he won a career-high 19 games in 2012. I don't think it will be as severe, but I kind of view Cueto as this year's Ian Kennedy, who had a regression last season following his breakout 2011 season.

You ask, why? Well, a couple of factors alarm me. First, Cueto struggled at the end of last season before bowing out of the playoffs with an oblique strain. He posted a 4.33 ERA in his final six starts and allowed six homers in that span. He allowed all of nine homers in his first 27 starts. He hasn't been much better this spring, yielding a 4.80 ERA in four spring starts. 

Also, Cueto had a career-high 78.8 percent strand rate in 2012, which was above his career 75.5 percent career rate, according to FanGraphs.com. He also posted a career-high 21.7 percent line drive rate (career average is 19.4 percent) and a career-low 29.4 percent fly-ball rate (career average is 35.8 percent).

Cueto has been drafted ahead of the likes of Max Scherzer, Mat Latos, Jordan Zimmermann, Jeff Samardzija, Jon lester, Brandon Morrow, Matt Moore and Doug Fister in Head-to-Head formats this spring. I hate to say it, but I'd probably take all those players over Cueto on Draft Day.