Hit Parade for Week 16
We get back into the swing of things with a full slate of games and Scott White is here to make sense of all of it in his Week 16 Hit Parade.
The Fantasy Baseball Hitting Planner is your guide to setting your lineup for the upcoming scoring period. Each week, we'll assess Fantasy-relevant hitters based on streaks, matchups, injuries and lineup changes and divide them into five categories: "no-brainers," "advisable starts," "shaky starts," "strictly AL/NL-only" and "don't bother."
These designations are designed to rate each player's Fantasy value for the current week only and have no bearing on his value for the season as a whole.
Any player dealing with injury will have the injury listed in parentheses after his name. His condition will most definitely influence his category designation for the week.
Any players not appearing on these lists are presumed to be below "don't bother" status and are obvious sits in Fantasy.
The information has been updated through Saturday, July 14.
Catcher
Ramon Hernandez returned for the Rockies Friday after missing the previous two months or so with a hand injury, but by now, you'd think rookie slugger Wilin Rosario would have a firm grip on the starting job. Or at least that's the theory. Hernandez has drawn some interest on the trade market, though, and the out-of-contention Rockies can't showcase him without, you know, starting him every now and then. If nothing else, you have to assume he'll spell Rosario more often than Wil Nieves has over the last few weeks, which could limit Rosario's value in the short-term. With the Rockies playing three games at PETCO Park this week, Rosario is benchable anyway, so perhaps you should just sit back and wait to see how the situation unfolds.
      Worth a second look: Jesus Montero, 
      Mariners 
Despite the rumors of him potentially going to the 
      minors, which have seemingly turned the whole Fantasy world against him, 
      Montero gets a reprieve this week -- or at least he should in mixed 
      leagues. The matchups are just too favorable. Not only do the Mariners 
      face the pitiful Royals rotation to open the week, but they have four 
      left-handers on tap. Montero is batting .329 with an .884 OPS against 
      lefties this season. No, really. Also, the Mariners are on the road, 
      where he's hitting a respectable .279 compared to .204 at home. Clearly, 
      Montero still has his uses.
 Approach with caution: J.P.       Arencibia, Blue Jays 
Arencibia homered three times in 
      his last six games leading up to the All-Star break, but they didn't 
      come against pitchers like Phil Hughes 
      (who has stopped allowing homers since ditching the cutter), CC       Sabathia, Hiroki Kuroda, Clay       Buchholz and Josh Beckett. 
      Those are five of the six the Blue Jays face this week. Pretty 
      impressive group. In addition to the 13 homers, Arencibia has a .261 
      on-base percentage, so it's all or nothing with him. This week seems 
      like the kind in which he'd lean toward nothing.
    
      No-brainers: Joe Mauer, Yadier       Molina, Buster Posey, Carlos       Ruiz, Matt Wieters, Brian       McCann 
 Advisable starts: Carlos       Santana, A.J. Pierzynski, Miguel       Montero, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Salvador       Perez, Jesus Montero, Ryan       Doumit 
 Shaky starts: Mike Napoli 
      (quadriceps), Wilin Rosario, Alex       Avila, A.J. Ellis, J.P       Arencibia, Yasmani Grandal, Russell       Martin 
 Strictly AL/NL-only: John       Buck, Geovany Soto, Michael       McKenry, Rod Barajas, Derek       Norris, Kurt Suzuki, Miguel       Olivo, Martin Maldonado, John       Jaso, Josh Thole 
 Don't 
      bother: Ramon Hernandez, Jason       Castro (knee), Devin Mesoraco, Jesus       Flores, Jhonatan Solano, Steve       Clevenger, Ryan Hanigan, Yorvit       Torrealba, Kelly Shoppach, Chris       Snyder, George Kottaras, Jonathan       Lucroy (hand), Chris Iannetta 
      (wrist), Victor Martinez (knee)
    
First base
Outfielder Tyler Colvin has started 13 of the last 14 games for the Rockies, most often at the expense of Todd Helton, with Michael Cuddyer moving over to first base. With the Rockies out of contention and Colvin homering just about every time he plays, you have to believe the 26-year-old will start more often than the 38-year-old to close out the season, especially now that Helton is on the DL with a hip injury. How exactly the at-bats shake out between Colvin, Helton and Cuddyer is anyone's guess at this point, but right now, Colvin is clearly mixed-league material while Helton is not.
      Worth a second look: Adam LaRoche, 
      Nationals 
After a crazy-hot start, LaRoche has spent the last six 
      weeks or so coming back down to earth. But he has historically been a 
      second-half player, hitting .296 with an .890 OPS after the All-Star 
      break compared to .247 and .768 before it. And guess what? It's now the 
      second half. In and of itself, that's not reason to start LaRoche, but 
      considering the Nationals have eight games on tap this week, including 
      seven against right-handed pitchers, chances are LaRoche will make a 
      worthwhile contribution in mixed leagues.
 Approach with caution: Ryan       Howard, Phillies 
If Howard wasn't able to take advantage 
      of his series at Coors Field over the weekend, how do you expect him to 
      deliver against pitchers like Chris Capuano, 
      Clayton Kershaw, Tim       Lincecum and Matt Cain this 
      week? Howard still isn't an everyday player at this stage of his 
      recovery from Achilles surgery, so you really shouldn't need too much of 
      an excuse to sit him in mixed leagues.
    
      No-brainers: Miguel Cabrera, Joey       Votto, Prince Fielder, David       Ortiz, Albert Pujols, Paul       Konerko, Mark Teixeira, Mark       Trumbo, Edwin Encarnacion 
 Advisable 
      starts: Adrian Gonzalez, Billy       Butler, Allen Craig, Joe       Mauer, Adam Dunn, Buster       Posey, Michael Morse, Paul       Goldschmidt, Kevin Youkilis, Corey       Hart, Eric Hosmer, Adam       LaRoche, Michael Cuddyer, Freddie       Freeman 
 Shaky starts: Anthony       Rizzo, Carlos Santana, Justin       Morneau, Ryan Howard, Tyler       Colvin, Michael Young, Mike       Napoli (quadriceps), Chris Davis, 
      Kendrys Morales, Ike       Davis, Daniel Murphy, Logan       Morrison, Carlos Lee, Carlos       Pena, Mark Reynolds, Garrett       Jones, Dustin Ackley, Adam       Lind, Lance Berkman, Lucas       Duda (hamstring)
 Strictly AL/NL-only: Brandon       Belt, Bryan LaHair, Casey       McGehee, Brandon Moss, Chris       Johnson, Yonder Alonso, Justin       Smoak, Todd Helton, James       Loney, John Mayberry, Ty       Wigginton, Jordan Pacheco, Wilson       Betemit, Tyler Moore, Chris       Carter, Juan Rivera, Casey       Kotchman 
 Don't bother: Matt       Carpenter, Travis Ishikawa, Todd       Helton (hip), Mitch Moreland 
      (hamstring), Mike Carp (shoulder), Matt       Adams
    
Second base
It may have gotten lost in the shuffle between Independence Day and the All-Star break, but Matt Carpenter, who had exclusively been a corner infielder and outfielder to that point, got a start at second base on July 5. It wasn't a disaster either. In fact, manager Mike Matheny said afterward he was confident in Carpenter's ability to make plays at the position. Of course, we haven't seen Carpenter play the position since then, but with Lance Berkman back from knee surgery, creating even more of a logjam at first base and the outfield, Carpenter's only hope of getting at-bats might be at second base. He's certainly capable offensively, so NL-only owners should pay close attention to the situation.
      Worth a second look: Neil Walker, 
      Pirates 
Walker has made up some serious ground at the second base 
      position during his 14-game hitting streak, batting .473 (26 for 55) 
      with three home runs to move up to eighth in Head-to-Head leagues. With 
      three games at Coors Field beginning Monday and easy matchups against Ricky       Nolasco and Carlos Zambrano 
      when the Pirates return home, Walker should have even more of that in 
      store this week. Unless you have a true stud at second base, Walker 
      should be an easy call right now.
 Approach with caution: Daniel       Murphy, Mets 
Murphy has been on a nice little run 
      himself, batting .400 (20 for 50) with three homers in his last 13 
      games. Certainly, he deserves to be back in the mixed-league discussion 
      with that kind of performance, but this week might not be the best time 
      to start him. The Mets play only six games and face high-end hurlers 
      like Jordan Zimmermann, Gio       Gonzalez and Chris Capuano in 
      three of them. Plus, they face three lefties, against whom Murphy has 
      hit .263 with a .628 OPS this season.
    
      No-brainers: Robinson Cano, Ian       Kinsler, Jason Kipnis, Ben       Zobrist, Aaron Hill 
 Advisable 
      starts: Brandon Phillips, Dan       Uggla, Jose Altuve, Neil       Walker 
 Shaky starts: Omar       Infante, Chase Utley, Mike       Aviles, Michael Young, Kelly       Johnson, Daniel Murphy, Rickie       Weeks, Howard Kendrick, Danny       Espinosa, Kyle Seager, Marco       Scutaro, Dustin Ackley, Jemile       Weeks, Gordon Beckham, Everth       Cabrera 
 Strictly AL/NL-only: Ruben       Tejada, Alexi Amarista, Ryan       Roberts, Darwin Barney, Ryan       Theriot, Elliot Johnson, Mark       Ellis, Sean Rodriguez 
 Don't 
      bother: Jerry Hairston, Chris       Getz, Jamey Carroll, Brandon       Inge, Chris Nelson, Robert       Andino, Yuniesky Betancourt, Ryan       Raburn, Stephen Lombardozzi, Tyler       Greene, Alexi Casilla, Logan       Forsythe, Jose Lopez, Jeff       Keppinger, Maicer Izturis, Skip       Schumaker, Dustin Pedroia 
      (thumb), Mark Ellis (leg), Brian       Roberts (hip)
    
Third base
Alex Rodriguez sat out three of the Yankees' final 14 games before the All-Star break, which is hardly an earth-shattering observation. It's not an especially encouraging development, though, considering he has only three 20-point weeks in Head-to-Head leagues this season. At age 36, he may need sit more often down the stretch, and if he becomes only a 15-point-per-week guy, he's probably out of the top 12 at third base.
Casey McGehee doesn't figure to enter the top 12 at the position anytime soon, but he was in the top 12 as recently as 2010, which makes his .316 (31 for 98) batting average and six home runs over the last 28 games all the more intriguing. The Pirates have now started him in nine straight. If he continues to get regular playing time, he'll quickly become mixed league relevant.
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| Team | Schedule | |||
| 1. | Royals | SEA4, MIN3 | ||
| 2. | Twins | BAL4, @KC3 | ||
| 3. | Orioles | @MIN4, @CLE3 | ||
| 4. | Rays | CLE4, SEA3 | ||
| 5. | Nationals | @MIA1, NYM3, ATL4 | ||
      Worth a second look: Will Middlebrooks, 
      Red Sox 
Because of the seven games he missed with a hamstring 
      injury before the All-Star break and his 4-for-29 slump before that, we 
      hadn't heard much from Middlebrooks until his solo home run Saturday. 
      But when we last heard from the rookie, it was at Fenway Park, where 
      he's hitting .326 with a .967 OPS this year. Not only are the Red Sox 
      home for all seven of their games this week, but they're facing low-end 
      hurlers like Gavin Floyd, Philip       Humber, Aaron Laffey, Carlos       Villanueva and Henderson Alvarez 
      in five of them. Get Middlebrooks active.
 Approach with caution: Michael       Young, Rangers 
Here's Young's Head-to-Head point totals 
      for the last 11 weeks: 13, 17, 10, 13, 10, 12, 10, 10, 18, 12 and 6. 
      Pretty pathetic, right? If that's all he's been able to muster in 
      standard six- and seven-game weeks, how's he going to make a worthwhile 
      contribution in a five-game week -- and with the Rangers on the road, no 
      less? It's a rhetorical question because you already know the answer.
    
      No-brainers: Miguel Cabrera, Jose       Bautista, David Wright, Adrian       Beltre, Edwin Encarnacion, Mark       Trumbo, Martin Prado 
 Advisable 
      starts: Aramis Ramirez, Kevin       Youkilis, Ryan Zimmerman, Alex       Rodriguez, Pablo Sandoval, Will       Middlebrooks, Hanley Ramirez, Mike       Moustakas, David Freese, Trevor       Plouffe, Brett Lawrie 
 Shaky 
      starts: Mike Aviles, Michael       Young, Daniel Murphy, Chase       Headley, Emilio Bonifacio, Kyle       Seager, Chris Davis, Pedro       Alvarez, Chipper Jones, Mark       Reynolds 
 Strictly AL/NL-only: Casey       McGehee, Chris Johnson, Ryan       Roberts, Todd Frazier, Placido       Polanco, Wilson Betemit, Jordan       Pacheco, Ty Wigginton, Sean       Rodriguez, Alberto Callaspo 
 Don't 
      bother: Jamey Carroll, Elian       Herrera, Cody Ransom, Brandon       Inge, Matt Carpenter, Chris       Nelson, Robert Andino, Jack       Hannahan, Jeff Keppinger, Scott       Rolen, Logan Forsythe, Jerry       Hairston, Juan Uribe, Stephen       Lombardozzi, Jose Lopez, Maicer       Izturis, Jed Lowrie (ankle), Evan       Longoria (hamstring), Lonnie Chisenhall 
      (wrist), Ian Stewart (wrist), Brent       Morel (back), Nolan Arenado, Danny       Valencia, Eduardo Nunez
    
Shortstop
With Andrelton Simmons sidelined for the next six weeks or so with a broken pinkie, the Braves opted to go with Jack Wilson at shortstop ... until Wilson suffered a pinkie injury of his own Friday. Since then, they've acquired Paul Janish from the Reds and recalled rookie Tyler Pastornicky from the minors. They've also shown a willingness to use left fielder Martin Prado at shortstop, even giving him a start there Saturday. Chances are Janish will get the majority of the starts at the position until Simmons returns, but he, like Pastornicky, offers nothing offensively. If Prado mans the position enough to gain eligibility there, though, his already high Fantasy value will go through the roof.
      Worth a second look: Alcides Escobar, 
      Royals 
With a .311 batting average and 13 steals on the year, 
      Escobar has been fairly undervalued in Fantasy, currently ranking 12th 
      at shortstop in Head-to-Head leagues and eighth in Rotisserie. He's been 
      at his best over his last 29 games, batting .364 (39 for 107) with a 
      .980 OPS, and has favorable matchups this week against the Mariners and 
      Twins rotations. Give him a look if you need help at the weak shortstop 
      position.
 Approach with caution: Everth       Cabrera, Padres 
Given his propensity for stealing bases, 
      Cabrera has been gaining momentum as a Fantasy sleeper since his return 
      to the majors on May 17. But this week isn't the week to buy into him. 
      The switch hitter has hit .128 against lefties so far, and the Padres 
      have five -- yes, five -- lefties on tap for this week. Plus, they're at 
      home, where Cabrera, like seemingly all of their hitters, struggles, 
      batting .219 with a .567 OPS.
    
      No-brainers: Jose Reyes, Starlin       Castro, Elvis Andrus, Asdrubal       Cabrera, Jimmy Rollins, Hanley       Ramirez 
 Advisable starts: Derek       Jeter, Trevor Plouffe, Rafael       Furcal, Alcides Escobar 
 Shaky 
      starts: J.J. Hardy, Alexei       Ramirez, Erick Aybar, Mike       Aviles, Emilio Bonifacio, Zack       Cozart, Marco Scutaro, Jhonny       Peralta, Yunel Escobar, Everth       Cabrera 
 Strictly AL/NL-only: Ruben       Tejada, Alexi Amarista, Stephen       Drew, Cliff Pennington, Ryan       Theriot, Sean Rodriguez, Elliot       Johnson, Brian Dozier, Ian       Desmond (oblique)
 Don't bother: Pedro       Ciriaco, Paul Janish, Jamey       Carroll, Willie Bloomquist, Yuniesky       Betancourt, Cody Ransom, Tyler       Greene, Alexi Casilla, Clint       Barmes, Brandon Crawford, Brendan       Ryan, Cesar Izturis, Jed       Lowrie (ankle), Troy Tulowitzki 
      (groin), Dee Gordon (thumb), Andrelton       Simmons (finger), Jason Bartlett 
      (knee), Eduardo Nunez
    
Outfield
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| Team | Schedule | |||
| 1. | Phillies | @LAD3, SF3 | ||
| 2. | Blue Jays | @NYY3, @BOS3 | ||
| 3. | Cubs | MIA3, @STL3 | ||
| 4. | Dodgers | PHI3, @NYM3 | ||
| 5. | Rangers | @OAK2, @LAA3 | ||
Carl Crawford is set to return Monday after having missed the first 3 1/2 months with a surgically repaired wrist ... and then a sprained UCL ... and then, most recently, a strained groin. You get the picture, right? Just because he's active doesn't mean he's healthy. The elbow is the biggest concern going forward. He has altered his throwing motion to compensate and may end up needing Tommy John surgery at season's end. Doesn't sound like an ideal scenario for a bounce-back campaign, does it? If Crawford is able to return to his Tampa Bay form in the weeks ahead, it wouldn't be the shock of the century, but it's not such a slam dunk that you should feel obligated to start him in his first week back.
Quintin Berry, who has been the 31st-highest-scoring outfielder in Head-to-Head leagues since his debut on May 23, has apparently begun to convince manager Jim Leyland that he's more than just a role player. The left-handed hitter has started four straight against left-handed pitchers. Berry still strikes out at an alarming rate for a speedster, but if he's an everyday player, he deserves more attention than he's getting in mixed leagues.
      Worth a second look: Desmond Jennings, 
      Rays and Michael Saunders, Mariners 
Jennings 
      has been searching for himself since returning from a sprained knee in 
      early June, batting .198 with a .566 OPS in 131 at-bats, but it's not 
      like anyone doubts he's a good player. He was the sixth-best outfielder 
      in Fantasy in the three weeks leading up to his injury. A week like this 
      one, when the Rays are facing the Indians and Mariners pitching staffs 
      -- matchups that include low-end hurlers like Zach       McAllister, Josh Tomlin, Ubaldo       Jimenez, Hisashi Iwakuma and 
      whatever Blake Beavan type the Mariners 
      call up from the minors -- could be exactly what he needs to jumpstart 
      his ability. As for Saunders, not only are the Mariners facing the 
      Royals' pitching staff for four games, but they finally get a full week 
      on the road, where the left-handed hitter is batting .299 with an .875 
      OPS. Of the Mariners last 30 games, 21 have come at home, which is why 
      Saunders' overall numbers have tanked. He's still not an automatic start 
      in mixed leagues, but if you need a sleeper this week, he fits the bill.
 Approach 
      with caution: Nick Markakis, Orioles and Alfonso       Soriano, Cubs 
On the one hand, the Orioles have 
      favorable matchups this week against the Twins and Indians pitching 
      staffs, which you'd think would make Markakis an advisable start in 
      mixed leagues. On the other hand, they play four of their seven games at 
      Target Field, a notorious pitcher's park where Markakis has hit .182 
      with a .462 OPS in 33 career at-bats. Considering he just returned to 
      the lineup after missing the last six weeks with a broken hand, you 
      should give him another week to simmer. Soriano did begin the second 
      half with a two-homer game Friday, but his power production has slowed 
      considerably since a 24-game stretch in May and June in which he hit 12 
      homers. At age 36, the free-swinger doesn't have much to offer when he's 
      not hitting homers, and his matchups this week against pitchers like Anibal       Sanchez, Josh Johnson, Mark       Buehrle, Kyle Lohse and Lance       Lynn should keep him grounded.
    
      No-brainers: Ryan Braun, Jose       Bautista, Andrew McCutchen, Carlos       Gonzalez, Josh Hamilton, Mike       Trout, Matt Holliday, Curtis       Granderson, Michael Bourn, Carlos       Beltran, Adam Jones, Justin       Upton, Mark Trumbo, Melky       Cabrera, Matt Kemp, Shin-Soo       Choo, Jason Heyward, Ben       Zobrist, Austin Jackson, Martin       Prado, Josh Willingham, Alex       Rios 
 Advisable starts: Hunter       Pence, Jay Bruce, Adrian       Gonzalez, Shane Victorino, Bryce       Harper, Josh Reddick, Allen       Craig, Desmond Jennings, Alejandro       De Aza, Colby Rasmus, Jacoby       Ellsbury, Alex Gordon, Adam       Dunn, Michael Morse, Corey       Hart, Michael Cuddyer, Trevor       Plouffe, Andre Ethier, Nick       Swisher 
 Shaky starts: Jason       Kubel (hamstring), Dexter Fowler, 
      Nelson Cruz, B.J.       Upton, Michael Saunders, Angel       Pagan, Yoenis Cespedes, Ichiro       Suzuki, Carlos Quentin, Drew       Stubbs, Tyler Colvin, Emilio       Bonifacio, Carl Crawford 
      (elbow), Chris Young, Chris       Davis, Howard Kendrick, Logan       Morrison, Norichika Aoki, Nick       Markakis, Alfonso Soriano, Carlos       Lee, Dayan Viciedo, Denard       Span, Cody Ross, Michael       Brantley, Lorenzo Cain, Lance       Berkman, Torii Hunter (groin), Delmon       Young, Ben Revere, Ryan       Doumit, Garrett Jones, Quintin       Berry, J.D. Martinez, Rajai       Davis, Lucas Duda (hamstring)
 Strictly 
      AL/NL-only: Justin Ruggiano, Brandon       Belt, Gregor Blanco, Todd       Frazier, Bryan LaHair, Seth       Smith, Brennan Boesch, Brandon       Moss, Yonder Alonso, David       Murphy, Alexi Amarista, Cameron       Maybin, Jon Jay, Daniel       Nava, Luke Scott, Jeff       Francoeur, Raul Ibanez, Jordan       Schafer, David DeJesus, Will       Venable, Gerardo Parra, Wilson       Betemit, Ryan Ludwick, John       Mayberry, Juan Pierre, Tyler       Moore, Bobby Abreu, Ty       Wigginton, Leonys Martin, Johnny       Damon, Coco Crisp (shoulder), Matt       Joyce (oblique), Jason Bay 
      (head)
 Don't bother: Matt Carpenter, 
      Kirk Nieuwenhuis, Justin       Maxwell, Elian Herrera, Jarrod       Dyson, Chris Heisey, Ryan       Kalish, Alex Presley (head), Jerry       Hairston, Tony Campana, Skip       Schumaker, Andres Torres, Ryan       Sweeney (hamstring), Stephen Lombardozzi, 
      Juan Rivera, Peter       Bourjos, Carlos Gomez, Willie       Bloomquist, Nyjer Morgan, Giancarlo       Stanton (knee), Mitch Moreland 
      (hamstring), Franklin Gutierrez (head), Mike       Carp (shoulder), Andy Dirks 
      (Achilles), Vernon Wells (thumb), Nolan       Reimold (neck), Brett Gardner 
      (elbow), Jayson Werth (wrist), Grady       Sizemore (back), Travis Snider, 
      Eric Thames, Brett       Jackson, Domonic Brown, Wil       Myers
    
Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us on Twitter @CBSFantasyBB or Scott White at @CBSScottWhite . You can also e-mail us at fantasybaseball@cbsinteractive.com .







                
                







