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Best NFL bets for Monday Night Football

The Bills come into Week 6 hoping to clean up their mistakes from a shocking Week 5 loss to the Patriots, where they committed three costly turnovers and allowed Drake Maye to drive for the winning field goal late. Buffalo faces a well-rested Atlanta team coming off a bye week. The Falcons won a shootout against the Commanders in their last game, with Michael Penix Jr. throwing for 313 yards and Drake London having a 110-yard receiving effort. Buffalo has the second-best passing defense in the league, but can the Bills slow down Bijan Robinson on the ground? The star running back has a great matchup against a team ranked 30th in rush yards allowed per game. The SportsLine Projection Model sees the Bills covering as 3.5-point favorites in 71% of simulations and winning as -209 favorites (wager $209 to win $100) in 78% of simulations, with the latter receiving an "A" grade.

Chicago and Washington met last season in one of the wackiest games of 2024, highlighted by Jayden Daniels finding Noah Brown on a last-second Hail Mary to give the Commanders the victory. It was one of five games Washington won in the final minute, part of a hot finish for the team which helped propel it to the NFC Championship game. Daniels is back after missing some time with a knee issue. He threw for 231 yards and a score in Washington's win over the Chargers. The Bears are coming off a bye week looking to make it three wins in a row after taking down the Cowboys in Week 3 and the Raiders in Week 4. The SportsLine model has Washington covering in 52% of simulations but sees value on the Bears as +205 underdogs (wager $100 to win $205). Chicago wins in 37% of simulations to bring value at these odds. Bet on Bills-Falcons and Bears-Commanders at Caesars here:

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