2025 WNBA Finals: Aces vs. Mercury schedule, Game 4 prediction, odds, pick, where to watch

The 2025 WNBA Finals will resume Friday with Game 4 between the Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury. After another thrilling victory in Game 3, the Aces will have a chance to complete a sweep and win their third championship in the last four years. The only other team in WNBA history to win that many titles in such a span is the now-defunct Houston Comets, who won four in a row from 1997-2000. 

The Mercury will need to win to keep their season alive, but will face a serious uphill battle without one of their star players. Satou Sabally, who was averaging a team-high 21.7 points, six rebounds and three assists in the Finals, left Game 3 in the fourth quarter after a nasty collision and has been ruled out for Game 4 due to a concussion. 

2025 WNBA Finals schedule

• Game 1: Aces 89, Mercury 86 
• Game 2: Aces 91, Mercury 78 
• Game 3: Aces 90, Mercury 88 
• Game 4: Aces (-3) at Mercury, Friday, Oct. 10, 8 p.m. ET -- ESPN/fubo
• Game 5*: Mercury at Aces, Sunday, Oct. 12, 3 p.m. ET -- ABC/fubo 
• Game 6*: Aces at Mercury, Wednesday, Oct. 15, 8 p.m. ET -- ESPN/fubo
• Game 7*: Mercury at Aces, Friday, Oct. 17, 8 p.m. ET -- ESPN /fubo

*If necessary

The Aces entered the season with expectations of contending after their early playoff exit last season, but got off to a disappointing start. They were still below .500 in late July and lost by 53 points to the Minnesota Lynx on Aug. 2. That historic defeat spurred their incredible late-season turnaround, and they closed the regular season on a 16-game winning streak to earn the No. 2 seed. In the playoffs, though, the Aces have not looked so dominant. They needed all three games to defeat the Seattle Storm in the first round, and all five games to get past the Indiana Fever in the semifinals. 

No one was sure what would happen with the Mercury this season after their complete overhaul in the winter. Franchise icons Diana Taurasi (retirement) and Brittney Griner (free agency) departed, and only two members of their 2024 squad returned. They brought in Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally to form a big three with Kahleah Copper, but had a largely untested supporting cast. Their regular-season campaign was choppy at times, in part due to injuries, but they proved they could be a real threat thanks to their top-tier talent. Likewise, their playoff run has been a roller coaster, but they've taken out the reigning champion New York Liberty and top-seeded Minnesota Lynx. 

This is the third Finals appearance in the last four seasons for the Aces, who are seeking their third championship in franchise history. The Mercury, meanwhile, are in the Finals for the first time since 2021, and trying to win a fourth title, which would move them into a tie with the Lynx, Seattle Storm and now-defunct Houston Comets for the most all-time. 

Game 4 Prediction

As we've seen throughout the playoffs, shorthanded teams are not always easy to put away. No one knows that better than the Aces, who nearly lost to the Fever in the semifinals. Still, it's impossible to actually pick the Mercury here. Offense has been a real issue for them throughout the playoffs, and now they're without one of their most dynamic players.  Pick: Aces -3