The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby takes place on Monday at 8 p.m. ET, and the latest Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS gives new users a $50 trading bonus after a $20 deposit. In addition, France is trading at $0.41 per share to win Tuesday's World Cup semifinal against Spain. Trade the Home Run Derby and World Cup matches here with the Polymarket referral code CBSSPORTS and get a $50 bonus after a $20 deposit:
France enters Thursday's 4 p.m. ET quarterfinal as the Polymarket regulation-win favorite at $0.62 per share, with Thursday's best trades including France to win, and Kylian Mbappé to score over 0.5 goals at $0.54 per share. For the full terms and conditions and how to claim the promo, read our Polymarket promo code review.
Best Polymarket trades for Spain vs. France, Home Run Derby
Kyle Schwarber to win the Home Run Derby ($0.23)
Kyle Schwarber of the Philadelphia Phillies is the favorite in the eight-man Home Run Derby field on Polymarket at $0.22 per share, and for good reason. Two factors set him apart from every other participant tonight in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Schwarber is the only left-handed hitter in the bracket, and his home venue in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, carries a park factor of 115 for left-handed hitters in 2026, making it one of the friendliest power environments in baseball for exactly the kind of pull-side swing he brings to the competition. He also enters as the statistical leader of the field, pacing all of Major League Baseball with 32 home runs on the season, a total built on the kind of consistent hard contact that the Home Run Derby swing-count format rewards. Under the current format, a hitter who connects on a home run with his final swing of any round may continue swinging until he does not, giving high-contact left-handed power hitters a structural edge at a park built for them. Schwarber's $0.23 per share on Polymarket gives him the highest implied probability in the field heading into tonight. Claim your $50 trading bonus here for the Home Run Derby with Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS.
More than 2.5 goals in France vs. Spain ($0.50)
France and Spain have produced more than two goals in each of their last three meetings, combining for three goals in the 2021 UEFA Nations League final, three in the 2024 European Championship semifinal and nine in the 2025 UEFA Nations League semifinal. France has averaged 2.67 goals per match through six games at the 2026 World Cup and enters Tuesday's semifinal having recorded 16 goals in those six contests. The total goals contract for France vs. Spain on Polymarket is priced with the more than 2.5 goals side at $0.50 per share, giving it a roughly 50% implied probability of three or more goals on Tuesday in Arlington, Texas. Trade on World Cup matches with the Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS and get a $50 bonus after a $20 deposit:
France to win in regulation ($0.41)
France arrives at Tuesday's semifinal in Arlington, Texas with a perfect 6-0 record at the 2026 World Cup, most recently defeating Morocco 2-0 in the quarterfinal on goals from Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele. France has averaged 2.67 goals per game in the tournament and carries an offense that has scored in every match of the competition. Spain enters at 5-0, having beaten Belgium 2-1 in the quarterfinal on a late Mikel Merino winner on July 10. Polymarket's regulation-only three-way market for France vs. Spain prices France to win in regulation at $0.41 per share, a draw at $0.30 per share, and Spain to win in regulation at $0.29 per share. Trade on World Cup matches with the Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS and get a $50 bonus after a $20 deposit:
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