The 2026 World Cup started on June 11. As the Official Prediction Market Partner of the FIFA World Cup 2026, Kalshi lets you trade markets for any of this year's tournament games, which take place across 16 cities in the United States, Mexico and Canada. That includes the second game of the quarterfinals between Norway and England on Saturday. This Kalshi World Cup guide will help explain trading soccer prediction markets, with valuable information about pricing structure and explanations about some of the most popular World Cup markets.
By the end, you'll have a better understanding of how to use Kalshi to trade on the 2026 World Cup. You'll also find Kalshi World Cup pricing for every group and other popular markets like the World Cup champion and Golden Boot winner. Claim a $15 trading bonus now after making your first $15 worth of trades:
Best Kalshi World Cup promo code
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Kalshi Bonus Offer | |
States Kalshi is Available | All 50 states, Washington, D.C. and U.S. territories (certain markets may not be available in all jurisdictions) |
Kalshi Minimum Age | 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within a state where Kalshi operates |
Kalshi Deposit Methods | Apple Pay, Google Pay, Venmo, PayPal, Cash App, debit cards (U.S. only), bank transfers, wire transfers (minimum $1,000) and crypto deposits |
Kalshi Promo Code Last Verified | July 10, 2026 |
18+. Void where prohibited. Must be located in the U.S. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. New customers only. Must use eligible promo code upon sign-up. The credit expires in 30 days and cannot be withdrawn. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it's appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. See kalshi.com for additional terms and more information. Offer subject to expiry. Sports contracts currently unavailable in NV.
How to sign up for the Kalshi referral code
Tap the CLAIM BONUS button and download the Kalshi app.
Register for a Kalshi account and enter the information requested, including name, address, phone number and SSN. Do not forget the Kalshi referral code CBSSPORTS to lock in the bonus offer.
Once registered, tap the green "Deposit Cash" button, choose your preferred deposit method and follow the prompts.
New users must trade at least $15 in contracts for the $15 trading bonus to be applied to their account.
Claim your Kalshi bonus here, and remember to use the Kalshi referral code CBSSPORTS:
How Kalshi World Cup prediction markets work
Kalshi is a prediction markets site that offers Yes/No event contracts with clearly defined rules about how the contract settles. You purchase shares of an outcome at a given price (between $0.01 and $0.99) and if you're correct, those shares then pay out at $1.00 per share.
For example, if you thought the U.S. Men's National Team was going to win its match against Australia, you could have purchased shares on the United States to win in 90 minutes + stoppage time for $0.66 per share. You could also have traded on Australia to win ($0.16) or a regulation tie ($0.21). If you bought 100 shares saying that the United States will win for $0.66, you'll earn $100 if the USMNT does actually win their opening match.
Share prices are reflective of what the market predicts that probability to be and are subject to change as money rolls in. Here's a guide showing Kalshi share prices along with their equivalent American odds:
Equivalent odds for Kalshi World Cup prediction market prices
- $0.10 per share = +900
- $0.20 per share = +400
- $0.30 per share = +233
- $0.40 per share = +150
- $0.50 per share = +100
- $0.60 per share = -150
- $0.70 per share = -233
- $0.80 per share = -400
- $0.90 per share = -900
Kalshi World Cup odds settings
If you are more comfortable using traditional American sports betting odds than Kalshi's share pricing, you can use the Kalshi setting to change how the pricing is displayed. Go to the menu button (hamburger display), navigate to the settings tab, and then toggle on the sports fan mode. Tap done, and it should convert the pricing to American odds.
Kalshi World Cup winner
This contract is based on the outcome of said event, so if you've purchased shares of France to win the World Cup, you'll only be paid out if France wins the tournament. The tournament began with group play, with 12 different four-team groups that were established by a draw earlier this year. The top two teams from each group, and then eight wild card teams based on points, advance to the knockout rounds.
The single-elimination phase of the tournament begins with the Round of 32 and will be followed by the Round of 16, the quarterfinals, the semifinals, and then the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. The winner of that final match is determined to be the champion, and that's when all World Cup winner trades will be settled. Click here to claim a $15 trading bonus after $15 worth of trades:
Kalshi World Cup Prediction Markets for Key Games
Norway vs. England
This quarterfinal matchup kicks off at 5 p.m. ET on July 11 at Miami Stadium. Erling Haaland and Harry Kane are both among the favorites for the Golden Boot Award, making this an excellent opportunity for each to further his respective candidacy. Below are Kalshi's prices for the contest.
Norway win: $0.24
England win: $0.52
Draw: $0.27
Kalshi World Cup Winner Prediction Markets
We'll list the pricing for each respective team to win the FIFA World Cup. Prices are current as of July 10.
| France | $0.385 |
| Spain | $0.214 |
| Argentina | $0.184 |
| England | $0.156 |
| Norway | $0.065 |
| Switzerland | $0.019 |
Kalshi World Cup Golden Boot Winner
The FIFA World Cup Golden Boot is awarded to the player who scores the most goals throughout the duration of the tournament. Past winners include Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane, Ronaldo and Thomas Muller. Here's a look at the Golden Boot pricing from Kalshi for the 2026 World Cup as of July 10.
| Player | Pricing |
| Kylian Mbappe | $0.46 |
| Lionel Messi | $0.40 |
| Erling Haaland | $0.11 |
| Harry Kane | $0.09 |
| Ousmane Dembele | $0.01 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | $0.01 |
| Lamine Yamal | $0.01 |
| Bradley Barcola | $0.01 |
| Bukayo Saka | $0.01 |
| Ferran Torres | $0.01 |
| Granit Xhaka | $0.01 |
| Julian Alvarez | $0.01 |
| Jude Bellingham | $0.01 |
Kylian Mbappe
The reigning Golden Boot winner has seven goals through five matches, with all five matches ending in wins for a France side that looks like the tournament favorite. Mbappe now has 19 career World Cup goals, trailing only Messi's 21 on the all-time list, and his penalty was the difference in a 1-0 grind past Paraguay in the Round of 16. France meets Morocco in the quarterfinals. He's priced at $0.41 per share.
Lionel Messi
The 39-year-old leads the Golden Boot race with eight goals, and his strike in Argentina's stunning 3-2 comeback win over Egypt was his record-extending 21st career World Cup goal. Messi had a penalty saved earlier in that match before setting up one goal and scoring another as the defending champions erased a two-goal deficit in the final 11 minutes. Argentina faces Switzerland in the quarterfinals with Messi chasing a second straight title. He's priced at $0.41 per share to win the Golden Boot.
Erling Haaland
The Manchester City striker has been the story of the World Cup, scoring seven goals in just four matches to sit one behind Lionel Messi in the Golden Boot race. Haaland bagged a brace against Brazil in the Round of 16 to send Norway to its first-ever World Cup quarterfinal, and he's now scored in 14 straight competitive matches for his country. The 25-year-old won his third Premier League Golden Boot this season with 27 goals for Manchester City. He's priced at $0.13 per share to win the Golden Boot.
Harry Kane
The 2018 Golden Boot winner has six goals at this World Cup, marking the third time an England player has scored six in a major tournament, with Kane accounting for two of the three. The England captain converted a penalty in the wild 3-2 win over Mexico and has now scored 11 goals in his last 12 knockout matches at major tournaments. England takes on Norway and Erling Haaland in the quarterfinals. He's priced at $0.08 per share.
Kalshi World Cup miscellaneous prediction markets
Here are some of the other Kalshi World Cup markets available to you as a trader:
- World Cup Final qualifiers
- World Cup semifinal qualifiers
- World Cup quarterfinal qualifiers
- Group to win the World Cup
- Who will perform the World Cup Final halftime show?
- Will the World Cup winner be a first-time winner?
- Will Donald Trump attend the World Cup Final?
- Highest scoring World Cup group
- Messi vs. Ronaldo: Most World Cup goal contributions
- Furthest advancing host nation
Is Kalshi safe, legal, and trustworthy?
Kalshi is a federally-regulated event contract exchange that allows you to buy and sell shares in outcomes of designated events. It is completely legal, though each respective state may have limitations about which prediction markets can be offered. It's easy to use with multiple deposit and withdrawal options and it is the largest prediction market trading platform in the United States.
Responsible risk management
It's a top priority for Kalshi to look out for its users. Kalshi equips every trader with accessible risk management tools that can be enabled at any given time, including risk management actions like trading break, voluntary opt-out, and a personalized funding cap.
Prediction Markets are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) - an independent agency of the U.S. federal government.
Event contracts trading involves a risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for all investors. Participation in prediction markets is subject to applicable eligibility requirements. Participation may be restricted or prohibited in certain jurisdictions and participants are responsible for ensuring their participation complies with applicable laws and regulations in their jurisdiction.
Kalshi FAQs
Who is favored to win the 2026 World Cup?
France is the favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at $0.383 per share. Other top 2026 World Cup contenders are Spain ($0.214), Argentina ($0.184), and England ($0.156).
Is there sports on Kalshi?
Yes, Kalshi does offer sports prediction markets, but some states might have restrictions on what can be offered. Be sure to check local laws to ensure you're compliant.
Is there a Kalshi World Cup promo code?
Yes, by using Kalshi referral code CBSSPORTS, new users get a $15 trading bonus after completing $15 worth of trades.
