Week 7 NFL player props, picks, odds: Target Dak Prescott Over 268.5 passing yards for Sunday NFL prop bets

Dak Prescott is No. 2 in the NFL in passing yards, yet he's been playing without his top pass-catcher for half the season. That's going to change on Sunday when the Cowboys get CeeDee Lamb back for Week 7, and with Lamb's return, one of the SportsLine Machine Learning Model's best bets for Week 7 NFL player props is for Prescott to go Over 268.5 passing yards for NFL betting. Despite Lamb (ankle) missing the last three weeks, Dallas leads the NFL in total yards per game (387.5) heading into a matchup against the Commanders on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET. In Prescott's last meeting against Washington in 2023, he threw for 331 yards and four touchdowns.

Along with backing Prescott, the model also likes Colts running back Jonathan Taylor Over 89.5 rushing yards and Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice Under 66.5 receiving yards in his first game back from a six-game suspension among its Week 7 NFL player props best bets for online sports betting. The Chiefs could be in line to run the ball often with Kansas City favored by 11.5 points against the Raiders, a big reason why the model is backing Rice Under 66.5 receiving yards against Las Vegas. 

Targeting NFL player props is one way to approach Week 7 NFL betting at online sports betting sites. With NFL props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine's Machine Learning Model can help you find value to add to your Week 7 NFL picks at various sportsbooks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the BetMGM bonus code, which gives new users up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses. 

Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine's Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each player prop. 

Best Week 7 NFL player prop picks:

• Dak Prescott, Cowboys, Over 268.5 passing yards (-113)
• Jonathan Taylor, Colts, Over 89.5 rushing yards (-114)
• Rashee Rice, Chiefs, Under 66.5 receiving yards (-113)

Parlay these picks for +556 odds with a FanDuel promo code, which gives new users $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins: (odds subject to change)

Dak Prescott, Cowboys, Over 268.5 passing yards (-113)

Prescott is averaging 269.5 passing yards per game this season, despite finishing Under this number the last two weeks. However, Prescott didn't have Lamb in the lineup for those contests, and that will change on Sunday. Lamb had more than 1,100 yards in each of the previous four seasons, averaging more than 79 receiving yards per game in three of those contests. That's a key addition for Prescott, who is second in the NFL in passing despite Lamb missing half the season. The Cowboys play the Commanders, who are 23rd in passing defense, allowing 235.2 passing yards per game. Dallas is home for just the third time this season, and Prescott thew for more than 300 yards in each of his first two home games this year. The model projects Prescott for 294 passing yards on Sunday.

Click here to bet Prescott Over 268.5 passing yards at DraftKings, where new users receive $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins and three months of NBA League Pass free.

Jonathan Taylor, Colts, Over 89.5 rushing yards (-114)

Taylor leads the NFL with 603 rushing yards as one of the integral pieces to Indianapolis' shocking 5-1 start to the season. He's averaging 100.5 rushing yards per game, including rushing for 123 yards and a touchdown last week against the Cardinals. The Colts' winning ways are a surprise, but Taylor's production isn't as the 2021 NFL rushing champion and two-time Pro-Bowl running back has been an elite option out of the backfield throughout his six-year NFL career. Taylor had 1,431 rushing yards last season, averaging 102.2 rushing yards per game, and he's continued that production into this fall. Indianapolis is sixth in the NFL in run-play percentage (47.92%), heading into a matchup against the Chargers, and Los Angeles is allowing 5.0 yards per rush, which ranks 28th in the NFL. The model projects Taylor for 105 rushing yards on Sunday.

Click here to bet Taylor Over 89.5 rushing yards at FanDuel, which gives new users $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins.

Rashee Rice, Chiefs, Under 66.5 receiving yards (-113)

The Chiefs have waited six weeks to have Rice back on the field following his six-game suspension, but being in shape and being in football shape are two different beasts, and it's hard to imagine Rice getting a full workload in his season debut. Although he didn't have an injury to rehab from, his conditioning could still be behind other Kansas City players, and the Chiefs' passing game has thrived even without him on the field. Patrick Mahomes is sixth in passing yards (1,514 yards), and Rice will be competing with Xavier Worthy, Travis Kelce and others for Mahomes' attention. The Chiefs are also 12.5-point favorites against the Raiders, which could result in a heavy run script if the game is one-sided, leading the model to find value in Rice's Under on Sunday. The model projects Rice for 55 yards in his season debut.

Click here to bet Rice Under 66.5 receiving yards at DraftKings, where new users receive $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins and three months of NBA League Pass free.

Want more Week 7 NFL picks?

You've seen the model's NFL picks for some popular NFL player props for Week 7. Now, get NFL Week 7 projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Also at SportsLine:

You can also see the model's best bets for every Week 7 NFL game, including Eagles vs. Vikings, Raiders vs. Chiefs and Buccaneers vs. 49ers. Finally, SportsLine expert RJ White, who is 66-46 (+2131) over his last 112 NFL picks, has locked in multiple Week 7 NFL picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best bets.

Want more huge paydays? The model has also built a five-leg Week 7 NFL parlay that would pay almost 25-1. Check out the model's Week 7 NFL parlay only at SportsLine. Visit SportsLine to see the parlay.