Week 14 NFL betting guide, props, spreads: Model, expert, parlay, DFS and season-long fantasy picks revealed
SportsLine's team of Vegas experts and its proven model and experts to get you ready for Week 14 NFL betting
If you're hoping to use NFL betting trends to help influence your Week 14 NFL predictions, you won't get much assistance. Favorites have covered in 51% of games, with underdogs winning versus the spread 49% of the time. What's essentially a flip of the coin doesn't offer any NFL betting advice for a slate of games with slim lines, as no team is favored by more than 8.5 points. There are five games with a spread of a field goal or less, per the Week 14 NFL odds, including Colts vs. Jaguars (+1.5), Vikings vs. Commanders (+1.5) and Dolphins vs. Jets (+2.5).
The Commanders vs. Vikings contest has uncertainty at the QB position for both teams, which could have ramifications on the rest of the skill players. With that, should the likes of Terry McLaurin, Zach Ertz, Justin Jefferson or Jordan Addison factor into NFL player props, plugged into Fantasy football lineups or be a part of your NFL DFS strategy? If you are looking for NFL picks, NFL parlays, Fantasy football rankings or NFL DFS picks for Week 14, SportsLine has you covered with its proven model, Machine Learning Model and team of experts.
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NFL parlay picks could generate massive payouts
SportsLine's model has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL betting picks since its inception, so those picks can confidently be used to fill out NFL parlay picks on betting apps. The model has built a five-team parlay for Week 14 that pays over 25-1, and one of the legs is the Browns (-3.5, 33.5) covering against the Titans. The model has Cleveland covering in over 60% of simulations in an A-rated pick, and the rest of the five-team parlay can be found here.
NFL DFS picks from top experts
SportsLine has a DFS Optimizer that simulates every game 10,000 times and uses info from the SportsLine Projection Model and DFS Professional Millionaire Mike McClure to identify top DFS picks/plays for any slate on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings. It has the Bucs' Baker Mayfield as one of its top value picks at quarterback, while Cleveland's Harold Fannin Jr. is among the best values at tight end for Sunday's main slate. Here are its complete Week 14 NFL DFS rankings.
Senior Fantasy Writer Heath Cummings has locked in his projections for every Fantasy relevant quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end. Not only do you get statistical projections as well as Fantasy point totals for every player in different scoring formats, but Cummings also includes DFS prices and values to help build winning DFS lineups each week. He has the Cardinals' Michael Wilson as a top-10 Fantasy wideout this week. Get his full Week 14 Fantasy and DFS projections right here.
New users can also make picks at Underdog and get $100 in site credits after making a $5 wager:
Fantasy rankings to help you win your matchups
SportsLine's model simulates every game 10,000 times, which has helped it produce better Fantasy rankings than human experts over the last few seasons. It has revealed its Week 14 Fantasy football rankings that can be used to make start-sit decisions. The Dolphins' Darren Waller is projected to be a top-5 Fantasy tight end this week, and the model also has full rankings for every position right here.
Advanced NFL model simulates every game 10,000 times
SportsLine's model is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 on a 49-33 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024 and has revealed picks for every Week 14 NFL game. One of its favorite picks is the Jets (+2.5, 40.5) covering versus the Dolphins, which cashes nearly 60% of the time. You can find the model's picks for every NFL Week 14 game here.
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NFL Vegas expert picks revealed
SportsLine has an expansive team of NFL experts who provide quality betting advice for every game on the schedule. Larry Hartstein, who is 25-15 (+835) over his last 40 Vikings ATS picks, is backing Washington (-1) to cover at home versus Minnesota on Sunday.
"The Commanders gave a spirited performance coming off their bye, losing by one in overtime to Denver. It was Washington's second solid effort in a row. Terry McLaurin's return made a huge difference, as did the presence of Daron Payne and Will Harris on defense. Now Washington visits a reeling Vikings team dealing with internal turmoil. It is unclear at the moment whether J.J. McCarthy and Jayden Daniels will return. Regardless, I like the Commanders to pull out the win." Hartstein's Week 14 NFL picks can be found here.
Cowboys vs. Lions 'Thursday Night Football' picks
The teams that are Thanksgiving Day staples will meet seven days after the holiday as the Cowboys visit Detroit on TNF. The Lions won 47-9 when these teams met last year -- which was Dallas' largest home defeat since 1988 -- but the Cowboys had won each of the prior six matchups. NFL expert R.J. White, who is 34-22-2 (+1064) over his last 58 picks in Lions games, is backing Dallas (+3) to cover on the road.
"The Cowboys are surging while the Lions are slumping, so it's tough to take Dallas when the spread was 6 on the lookahead," said White. "But since that line was posted, the Cowboys outplayed the Chiefs, while the Lions played an even game against the Packers, but lost another key player to injury in Amon-Ra St. Brown. With Trevon Diggs potentially returning for Dallas, this is a spot where we should expect the Cowboys defense to handle the Detroit passing attack in its current form, and defending the run will be key. Even if Dallas is behind, I trust their dynamic passing game to make this a tight game. Grab +3.5 if you see it at any point." Get more 'Thursday Night Football' picks right here.
