The Buffalo Bills will host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET, a matchup that will draw plenty of online sports betting interest, and with the latest DraftKings promo code, new users can receive $300 in bonus bets and three free months of NBA League Pass. The SportsLine model expects Buffalo to continue its regular-season dominance against Kansas City, backing the Bills at +113 NFL odds to upset the Chiefs in Buffalo in its NFL best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook. Other NFL games today include Colts vs. Steelers, Vikings vs. Lions, and Bears vs. Bengals.

In addition, the model projects value in playing the Saints as 14-point underdogs against the Rams and backing the Under on Sunday Night Football (48.5) for Seahawks vs. Commanders. Claim the latest DraftKings promo code, where new users get $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins, plus 3 months of NBA League Pass free: 

Check out our DraftKings promo code review for full details.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it enters Week 10 on a profitable 47-33 combined run on money-line and over/under college football picks since the beginning of 2024. Anybody following its college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Sunday best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook

  • Saints (+14) vs. Rams
  • Bills money line (+110) vs. Chiefs
  • Seahawks vs. Commanders: Under 48.5 points

Combining the model's three picks into a Sunday parlay at DraftKings would result in a payout of +667 (risk $100 to win $667). Bet it at DraftKings here:

Saints (+14) vs. Rams

The Saints are giving rookie quarterback Tyler Shough his first NFL start on Sunday, and although he's a rookie by definition after being selected in the second round of the 2025 NFL Draft, he is also significantly older than other quarterbacks like Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Drake Maye, who are in their second NFL seasons. Shough, 26, is the same age as Trevor Lawrence and the "rookie" played 42 games over seven college seasons before being drafted. That maturity should help him in his first NFL start, and he already had his first significant NFL game experience last week, completing 17 of 30 passes for 128 yards in relief against Tampa Bay. The Rams are 5-2 this season, but only one of their wins have come by more than 14 points. The model projects New Orleans to cover in 59% of simulations. Back New Orleans at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $300 in bonus bets and 3 free months of NBA League Pass:

Bills (+110) to defeat the Chiefs

Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes is the headline of this matchup, but the real difference maker may be coming from the backfield. Bills running back James Cook is second in the NFL with 753 rushing yards on 6.0 yards per carry, and he's coming off rushing for 216 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries (11.4 yards per rush) as the Bills dominated the Panthers, 40-9, last week. The Bills (5-2) looked like the version of themselves from earlier in the season coming out of their bye, as they entered last week off back-to-back losses. The Chiefs are having another strong season at 5-3, but they've only won one game away from Arrowhead Stadium this year.  The model projects the Bills to win in 55% of simulations, despite being the underdog. Back Buffalo at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $300 in bonus bets and 3 free months of NBA League Pass:

Seahawks vs. Commanders: Under 48.5 total points

The Under has hit in three of the last four Commanders games, and the last two Seahawks games have gone Under 46.5 combined points. Three of the last four Seattle games also went Under 46.5 total points. Seattle is off to a 5-2 start with a top 10 offense and defense, ranking fifth in scoring at 27.6 ppg and seventh in defensive scoring at 19.4 ppg allowed this season. The Commanders will be without WR1 Terry McLaurin, who re-aggravated his quad injury. Jayden Daniels may be less than 100% after missing last week with a hamstring injury, leading the model to project the Under to hit in 55% of simulations on Sunday Night Football. Back the Under at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $300 in bonus bets and 3 free months of NBA League Pass:

Want more NFL Week 9 picks?

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