DraftKings Sportsbook NFL picks: Week 11 player props for Rico Dowdle, Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley

Panthers running back Rico Dowdle has been the biggest surprise at his position this season and is ranked third in the NFL in rushing yards. He will face Atlanta on Sunday during the Week 11 NFL schedule, and he is -130 to score a touchdown in the Week 11 NFL odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. SportsLine's proven computer model is backing Dowdle to score on Sunday and has also revealed picks for Ravens running back Derrick Henry and Eagles running back Saquon Barkley.    

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 on a 47-32 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Three Sunday NFL RB prop picks for NFL Week 11 at DraftKings (odds subject to change): 

• Rico Dowdle, Panthers, anytime TD scorer (-130)
• Derrick Henry, Ravens, Over 74.5 rushing yards (-110)
• Saquon Barkley, Eagles, Over 71.5 rushing yards (-113)

Combining the model's three picks into an NFL parlay at DraftKings would result in a payout of +537 (risk $100 to win $537)

Rico Dowdle, Panthers, anytime touchdown scorer (-130, DraftKings)

Dowdle has racked up at least 50 rushing yards in six consecutive games, notching a trio of 100-plus yard performances and five total touchdowns during that stretch. He ranks third in the NFL in rushing yards and has helped Carolina record four wins in its last six games. The Panthers are facing the Falcons on Sunday afternoon during Week 11, and Dowdle scored his first touchdown of the season against Atlanta in Week 3. SportsLine's model has Dowdle scoring in 61% of simulations, while the -130 line implies just a 56% chance. 

Derrick Henry, Ravens, Over 74.5 rushing yards (-110, DraftKings)

Henry is no longer the top running back in the NFL, but he still ranks a modest seventh in rushing yards this season. He has picked up the pace significantly over the past month, recording more than 70 rushing yards in four straight games. The 31-year-old has gone over 115 rushing yards twice during that stretch. He is facing a Browns defense that gave up 83 rushing yards to Jets running back Breece Hall last week, and the model has Henry finishing with 83 yards on Sunday.  

Saquon Barkley, Eagles, Over 71.5 rushing yards (-113, DraftKings)

Barkley rounds out the top 15 in rushing yards this season, going under this number in seven of his first nine games. However, he had his biggest performance of the campaign two games ago, racking up 150 yards against the Giants. He proceeded to tie his season high for rushing attempts (22) against the Packers last week, but Green Bay's sixth-ranked run defense held firm, allowing 2.7 yards per carry. The model expects that type of volume to pay off against Detroit this week, as Barkley is finishing with 77 rushing yards in the latest simulations.