ARLINGTON, Texas -- The Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1) hosting the Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) as Thanksgiving Thursday's afternoon main event presented a matchup of two of the top 10 scoring offenses in the NFL. Both squads lived up to their high-scoring pedigrees with Dak Prescott outdueling Patrick Mahomes for a 31-28 victory.
Thursday's victory runs Dallas' playoff chances up to 21% after starting Week 13 with an 11.4% chance, according to the SportsLine model. The Thanksgiving defeat for Kansas City drops their playoff chances from 63.8% to 46%, according to the SportsLine model.
Mahomes started on fire with touchdowns on Kansas City's first two drives: a 27-yard wide receiver screen to Rashee Rice, and a fourth-and-goal two-yard strike to tight end Travis Kelce in the back of the end zone. However, Dallas' defense locked in after that to force the Chiefs into four consecutive punts.
Prescott threw an interception on Dallas' opening drive on a deep pass into double coverage intended for hot hand George Pickens. Following the sour opening drive, Prescott locked in. He hit wide receiver CeeDee Lamb for a 15-yard touchdown on a vertical route down the right sideline and into the back corner of the end zone to tie the game at seven before Kelce's touchdown put the Chiefs back on top 14-7. Lamb shook off the concerns about his drops to erupt for 112 yards receiving and a touchdown while catching 7 of his 9 targets.
After a 49-yard field goal by kicker Brandon Aubrey, Dallas forced the Chiefs' first punt thanks to a seven-yard sack by edge rusher Jadeveon Clowney. That's when backup running back Malik Davis took center stage. Davis is a veteran undrafted free agent who had spent most of the season being called up and down to and from the practice squad. He just showcased why Dallas signed him to the active roster on Nov. 22 with an explosive 43-yard touchdown run. Davis blew through the middle of the line of scrimmage, and no Chiefs defender was able to get a hand on him. The play was just Davis' second career rushing touchdown with his other coming in the form of a 23-yarder in garbage time of a 54-19 home win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 13 of the 2022 season. That gave the Cowboys their first lead, 17-14, with 3:10 left in the first half.
In the second half, Dallas took control of the game after Prescott marched the Cowboys down for three consecutive scoring drives after a punt to begin the half. Those drives culminated with two field goals with a scrambling three-yard touchdown pass to running back Javonte Williams sandwiched in between. Dallas went for two following the touchdown to Williams, and Prescott scrambled to the left to hit wide receiver George Pickens in the front left corner of the end zone for a toe-tapping catch. That put the Cowboys up 31-21. Mahomes threw a 10-yard touchdown pass to Marquise "Hollywood" Brown, but it was too little too late. Prescott finished with 320 yards passing, two passing touchdowns and an interception on 27 of 39 passing while Mahomes completed 23 of his 34 throws for 261 yards and four touchdowns.
With retooled defense, Cowboys can beat anybody in the NFL
Following their Week 12 comeback win over the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday and the 31-28 win on Thanksgiving, the Cowboys have beaten the last two Super Bowl champions, and they're the first team to beat the prior season's Super Bowl participants in consecutive weeks since the 2016 Atlanta Falcons. That Falcons squad went on to win the NFC and narrowly fall in the first overtime game in Super Bowl history, 34-28.
For years, owner and general manager Jerry Jones lamented Dallas' inability to stop the run, but since acquiring All-Pro defensive tackle Quinnen Williams, the Cowboys rank fourth in the NFL in run defense (69.7 rushing yards per game allowed). Pair that with the league's No. 3 scoring offense (29.3 points per game) that's led by Prescott, Lamb, Pickens and running back Javonte Williams, and Dallas has a shot at potentially running the table to reach the postseason.
CeeDee Lamb's demise was greatly exaggerated
After a couple drops in Dallas' Week 12 win over the Eagles, including one on a late fourth quarter third-and-goal in the end zone, plenty was made of Lamb having issues with drops. His Thanksgiving performance, 112 yards receiving and a touchdown while catching 7 of his 9 targets certainly silenced those doubts in a hurry.
Prescott's trust in his No. 88 was most apparent near the halfway mark in the fourth quarter. Dallas' defense had gotten a stop to force a punt, but after a holding penalty on the play, the Cowboys had to start on their own 10. They maintained a 28-21 lead at that point with 9:26 left to play, so it would have made plenty of sense for Dallas to begin the drive with a run-heavy approach to start melting time off the clock. However, Prescott opted to instead heave a deep ball on a vertical route to Lamb, and he reeled in a jaw dropping, over the shoulder catch for a gain of 51 yards. That set up Aubrey's 26-yard field goal that put Dallas up 10, 31-21, a margin the Chiefs couldn't overcome.
Chiefs are in grave danger of missing the postseason
Kansas City's 6-6 record is their worst 12-game start to a season since 2017. That's when Mahomes was a rookie and riding the bench in the final year of Alex Smith as the Chiefs' starting quarterback. Six defeats are also tied for the most in Mahomes' career as a starting quarterback along with his 2023 mark of 10-6. What's most concerning for Kansas City is their inability to close this season: they're now 1-6 in one-score games in 2025, just a year removed from being 12-0 in one-score games in 2024 -- the most such wins in a season all-time including the playoffs.
If Mahomes' magic can't paper over the team's defensive deficiencies and offensive line inconsistencies, the Chiefs will find themselves watching playoff football from the couch in January for the first time with No. 15 under center.