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Betting the Broncos in 2026: See how Denver's win total, Super Bowl odds are trending and our best bets

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The 2025 Broncos were about as unassuming a No. 1 seed as you'll find, with many expecting at various points throughout the year that teams like the Chiefs and Ravens would finally shake off the cobwebs and take over the top of the conference, or a team like the Bills would run through the postseason. However, Denver topped Buffalo in overtime despite losing starting quarterback Bo Nix early in overtime, and then almost made it to the Super Bowl the following week with backup Jarrett Stidham in a close loss to the Patriots. While the offseason was relatively quiet, the Broncos did make one major move by acquiring receiver Jaylen Waddle to give their offense a boost.

We're taking a look at everything you need to know before making Denver Broncos futures bets below, including odds, trends, 2026 schedule, offseason changes and more before sharing our preseason betting strategy for the team. Odds are via DraftKings.

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Denver Broncos 2026 odds

Odds to …June 1Feb
Go Over win total9.5 (-115)9.5 (-110)
Go Under win total9.5 (-105)9.5 (-110)
Miss playoffs+115
Make playoffs-140
Win AFC West+225
Win AFC+1000
Win Super Bowl+2000+1800

The market is treating the 2025 Broncos as somewhat of a fluke, with the 2026 version not only slightly favored to make the playoffs but sitting third in division odds behind the Chiefs and Chargers. Twelve teams have shorter odds than the Broncos to win the Super Bowl despite how close they came to making the title game last year.

Denver Broncos futures trends

YearSuper Bowl oddsWin totalResultActual winsFinish
2025+25009.5Over14L, AFC Championship
2024+150005.5Over10L, Wild Card Round
2023+45008.5Under82nd, AFC West
2022+168010.5Under54th, AFC West
2021+50009Under74th, AFC West

The Broncos have massively exceeded win total expectations in each of the last two years. However, those seasons have been mirror images of each other in the AFC, where the Broncos had the third-best point differential in the AFC and the best in their division in 2024 while barely making the playoffs as the No. 7 seed before posting the fifth-best point differential in the conference last year as the No. 1 seed.

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Denver Broncos 2025 season review

RecordPy WinsYds/play (Rk)Opp y/p (Rk)DVOA (Rk)
14-311.055.33 (15)4.46 (1)14.4 (7)

It's no surprise to see the Broncos with the best defense on a per-play basis, and the unit was elite against both the pass and run, finishing first per play against the former and third against the latter. The defense also had the top sack rate and red-zone success rate in the league. While the offense was average, it ranked just 25th in yards per pass play but also had the top sack rate on that side of the ball.

Denver Broncos 2026 offseason review


LostAddedDrafted
QB


RBMichael Burton (FB)
Jonah Coleman (4)
WRElijah MooreJaylen Waddle, Michael Woods
TEMarcedes Lewis
Justin Joly (5), Dallen Bentley (7)
OLSam Mustipher
Kage Casey (4)
DLJohn Franklin-Myers
Tyler Onyedim (3)
EDGE


LBDre Greenlaw
Red Murdock (7)
CB


SP.J. LockeTycen AndersonMiles Scott (7)
STAFFJoe Lombardi (OC)

The Broncos lost a few contributors but mostly decided to address those losses internally, starting with offensive coordinator where Davis Webb earns a promotion from passing game coordinator. The one exception was at receiver, where the Broncos traded their first-, third- and fourth-round picks this year for Waddle to give Nix a better set of weapons entering his third year.

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Denver Broncos 2026 schedule

WeekOppNotes
1@KCMon
2JAC
3LAR
4@SF
5@LAC
6SEAThu
7@ARI
8KC
9@CAR
10bye
11LV
12@PITFri
13MIA
14@NYJ
15@LV
16BUFFri
17@NE
18LAC

While the Broncos have to play a first-place schedule, they get a break with their Kansas City trip set for Week 1 as Patrick Mahomes races to make it back for Week 1 after tearing his ACL in December. The AFC East and NFC West brings several tough opponents mixed with a few games where the Broncos should be clear favorites against the Dolphins and Jets, which they'll play back-to-back in Weeks 13 and 14, as well as the Cardinals. Their non-common opponents also could be much worse with matchups against the Steelers, Jaguars and Panthers on tap.

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Denver Broncos futures picks

  • Over 9.5 wins (-115)

While the Broncos certainly overperformed a bit last year on their way to the No. 1 seed, this was still a strong team by all measures that has only gotten better heading into 2026 with Waddle joining the offense. It's possible Nix's ankle injury continues to be an issue once the season starts, but I generally have less concern for that type of injury than I do players coming back from ACL and Achilles tears. Plus, the roster around Nix is so strong that I could see a limited Nix or even Stidham having success. The schedule is particularly brutal early, so it may be smarter to wait and bet the Over during the season, potentially after the Broncos play the Seahawks in Week 6.

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