Tuesday MLB best bets: Top baseball picks for FanDuel include Mariners, Over 7.5 runs in Yankees-Blue Jays

The 2025 MLB Playoffs continue with two ALDS matchups on Tuesday. Game 3 of the Tigers vs. Mariners series begins at 4:08 p.m. ET and features a pitching matchup of Jack Flaherty vs. Logan Gilbert. Then, Game 3 of Yankees vs. Blue Jays begins at 8:08 p.m. ET, and we'll see Carlos Rodon vs. Shane Bieber. The latest MLB odds from FanDuel list Seattle as a -134 favorite on the road with Detroit priced at +114. The Yankees are -156 favorites, while the Blue Jays are +132 underdogs.

With the Seattle vs. Detroit series tied at 1-1, our model is leaning towards the Mariners to take this crucial Game 3. Then, Toronto holds a 2-0 series lead over New York, and the thunderous bats of the Blue Jays (23 runs in the first two games) are why the model is also going over 7.5 runs in that contest. Meanwhile, FanDuel is offering a 30% profit boost to use on MLB postseason action today.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters the second week of the 2025 MLB playoffs a profitable 35-29 on top-rated MLB money-line picks this season. It has excelled making home run prop picks this season, returning nearly 30 units of profit. Anybody following its MLB betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Top MLB betting picks for Tuesday, October 7 (odds subject to change): 

• Mariners money line vs. Tigers (-134)
• Over 7.5 runs in Yankees vs. Blue Jays (-120) 

Combining the model's picks into an MLB parlay at FanDuel would result in a payout of +220 (risk $100 to win $220).

Mariners money line vs. Tigers (-134, FanDuel)

The first two games of this series have epitomized the intensity of playoff baseball. Detroit won Game 1 in Seattle 3-2 after 11 innings and then the two teams combined to score three runs in the eighth inning of another 3-2 contest in Game 2, with Seattle getting the win to level the series. Now the series heads to Detroit, but the pitching matchup looks like it favors the Mariners. Logan Gilbert posted a 3.44 ERA and struck out 173 over 131 innings for Seattle, while Jack Flaherty lost an AL-leading 15 games, posted a 4.64 ERA on the season, and didn't make it out of the fifth inning in his lone postseason start. Seattle wins in 57% of our model's simulations.

Over 7.5 runs in Yankees vs. Blue Jays (-120, FanDuel)

After surviving an intense AL Wild Card series against the Red Sox, the Yankees have looked a little shell-shocked in the first two games of the ALDS. They've been outscored 23-8 as the Blue Jays raced out to a 2-0 series lead. The Yankees will hope to shut down Toronto's offense with Carlos Rodon, but he was pulled after five innings and got saddled with the loss in both of his regular-season starts. The model expects the offenses stay hot here and predicts the over hits 67% of the time.