In my preseason projections, I had Jean Segura hitting four home runs this season. Now that the Brewers' shortstop has reached that total in early May, it appears I have some re-thinking to do.
All four of Segura's homers have come at Miller Park, which is one of the National League's three best home run venues. My meager expectations for Segura's power were largely based on his stats from Double-A Arkansas (seven home runs in 374 at-bats) and Advanced Class A Inland Empire (three home runs in 185 at-bats). However, according to the Minor League Park Multipliers on Baseball Think Factory, those parks have been among the most difficult in which to homer in the Texas and California Leagues, respectively.
An improved hitting environment alone won't make Segura a power hitter, but the display of early season thump makes the 23-year-old a little more intriguing. If you're thinking of selling Segura high, consider holding on to him a little longer.