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Colton Gordon was an eighth-round pick by the Houston Astros in the 2021 MLB Draft, and as a community college pitcher before transferring to the University of Central Florida, there wasn't much hype and anticipation surrounding his selection. Gordon, however, worked his way up through the minors and after posting a 2.55 ERA over eight starts in Triple-A this year, Gordon made his MLB debut on May 14. He's yet to reach the sixth inning in any of his four starts, but he's also allowed three runs or fewer in three of four outings as he's been a reliable enough option for the Astros to maintain his spot in the rotation. Gordon had six strikeouts in his last start and his total strikeouts over/under is set at 4.5 for Friday MLB player props on betting sites. With plus-money odds on various sportsbooks, the model loves the value for Gordon to go Over his strikeouts against the Guardians (+108) on Friday. 

Targeting total strikeouts props is a popular way to attack MLB betting with a full Friday night slate of games available for online sports betting sites. With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB picks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest Caesars Sportsbook promo code.

The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 13-10 run (56%) on all top-rated MLB picks. The model is up 35.86 units on home run prop picks over the last 59 days. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB player props on Friday. Also see the model's top MLB parlay for Friday as well as Yankees vs. Red Sox picks

Best Friday total strikeouts MLB player prop picks:

  • Colton Gordon Over 4.5 total strikeouts (+116)
  • Logan Allen Over 3.5 total strikeouts (-120)
  • Bryce Miller Under 5.5 total strikeouts (-135)

Colton Gordon Over 4.5 total strikeouts (+116)

Gordon has gone Over this total in two of his last three games, including six strikeouts against the Rays on Saturday in his last start, and seven strikeouts against Tampa Bay on May 19. He had 43 strikeouts over 42 1/3 innings in Triple-A this year, and that strikeout rate has carried over into the major leagues with 20 strikeouts over 19 2/3 innings. Gordon has completed five innings in each of his last three starts, and if these trends continue, he should be able to reach five strikeouts again on Friday.

The Astros play the Guardians, who struck out 31 times against the Yankees in their previous three-game series. Cleveland scored only six runs in that series, including zero runs yesterday, and the model projects Gordon to have an efficient outing on Friday. The model projects Gordon for 5.2 strikeouts and FanDuel Sportsbook is offereing the best odds at +116 on this play. For first-time users, a FanDuel promo code gives users $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins. 

Logan Allen Over 3.5 total strikeouts (-120)

Allen returns to the starting rotation on Friday, making his first start since May 25, but when he was used out of the bullpen on Saturday, he had two strikeouts in his one inning for the Guardians. The 26-year-old has gone Over this total in five of his last nine starts, and the model projects him for 4.1 strikeouts on Friday. Allen isn't known as a high-strikeout pitcher, hence his lower over/under total, but Allen has at least four strikeouts in each of his two career starts against the Astros.

Allen had five strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings against Houston last season. The Guardians play Houston in Cleveland on Friday and Allen has been more effective at home with a 3.94 ERA at home compared to 4.36 on the road this year, so he's more likely to last deeper into the game to better his chances of cashing the Over. Mitch Keller had five strikeouts against the Astros over 6 1/3 innings yesterday after recording only one strikeout in his previous start, so this could be a good matchup for Allen to just reach four strikeouts. DraftKings Sportsbook is offereing the best odds at -120 and a DraftKings promo code gives new users $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins. 

Bryce Miller Under 5.5 total strikeouts (-135)

Miller has struggled in each of his last three outings, pitching to a 9.69 ERA in his three May starts. He went Under this total in all three contests as he failed to pitch past the fourth inning in two of three starts and went just five innings in his other outing. He went 20 days between his latest two starts after a stint on the injured list due to right elbow inflammation after allowing seven runs over five innings against the Blue Jays. In his first start back on Saturday, Miller threw just 71 pitches, allowing three runs over four innings with two strikeouts.

The Mariners may be careful with the 26-year-old, as anything involving the elbow is cause for concern around MLB franchises. Miller had a 2.94 ERA last season, so Seattle won't want to jeopardize his future for an early June matchup against the Angels. He's only gone Over this strikeout total in two of nine starts this season, and the model projects Miller for 5.0 strikeouts on Friday. BetMGM is offering the best odds at -135, and a BetMGM promo code gives new users up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses.

Want more total strikeouts picks for Friday?

You've seen the model's MLB total strikeouts picks for some popular props on Friday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Also at SportsLine:

You can also see today's best MLB picks from Matt Severance, who's on a sizzling 143-75 (+1976) roll on his last 218 MLB picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best bets for Friday's MLB schedule, and be sure to see Jacob Fetner's and the Inside the Lines team's best bets for Friday.

Finally, SportsLine expert Bruce Marshall, who is 36-29 (+1469) over his last 65 MLB ATS picks, has an MLB ATS pick locked in for Friday. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from an expert who's up more than 14 units over his last 65 MLB ATS bets.