Free MLB home run picks, odds for Sept. 25: Francisco Lindor among best bets for Thursday HR player props

Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor is a home run shy of his second career 30-30 season and the five-time MLB all-star enters a Thursday night matchup with the Cubs having hit homers in two of his last three games. He'll take on struggling Cubs lefty Shota Imanaga with first pitch scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. Since the start of August, Lindor has a .934 OPS with 23 extra-base hits (nine homers and 14 doubles), so SportsLine's Inside the Lines team is riding the hot hand on Thursday with Lindor as one of their top MLB home runs picks.

The latest MLB HR odds list Lindor as high as +420 tonight and that's a price too good to pass up. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest DraftKings promo code to get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's up 20.85 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after calling Byron Buxton (+340) to homer yesterday, and it has hit two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1. Now, the model and SportsLine's team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Thursday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.

Best MLB home run picks for Thursday, September 25:

• Vinnie Pasquantino, Royals (+455)
• Hunter Goodman, Rockies (+400)
• Francisco Lindor, Mets (+420)
• Parlay these picks for +13680 odds at FanDuel (odds subject to change)

MLB Best Home Run Bets 9/25

For more real-time, free picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.

Vinnie Pasquantino, Royals (+455, DraftKings)

Despite being a left-handed hitter, Pasquantino has found success against left-handed starters, with 7 HRs in 30 such games this season. Mitch Farris has struggled against left-handed hitters in his brief career, allowing a .923 OPS to them. We set Pasquantino's line at +330 to homer, and you can also bet this prop at DraftKings to get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.  

Hunter Goodman, Rockies (+400, FanDuel)

The Mariners clinched the division with a win last night, and teams often struggle the next game after a night of partying. It sounds like Emerson Hancock is making a spot start. Hancock has a 2.08 ERA as a reliever but a 5.47 ERA as a starter. Despite playing in Coors, Hunter Goodman actually has a higher home run rate on the road than at home this season. We set the line at +355 for Goodman to homer, and can use the latest FanDuel promo code to bet this prop and get $300 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins:

Francisco Lindor, Mets (+420, FanDuel)

Shota Imanaga has allowed a home run in each of his last 8 starts, and multiple HRs in 4 of his last 5. Lindor is a solid 2-for-4 with two doubles and no strikeouts in his career against Imanaga. While Lindor didn't record a hit yesterday, he's been swinging a hot bat and homered in each of the prior two games. We set Lindor's line at +315 to homer. You can get $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins at FanDuel:

Where to bet MLB props on Thursday

Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Thursday: 

More MLB picks for Thursday 

You've seen the model's MLB HR prop picks for several players on Thursday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Need more from SportsLine? See today's best MLB picks from SportsLine's Angelo Magliocca, who is on an 83-58-1 roll (+1743.5) on MLB picks.