Winning Fantasy Calls for Week 10
We've arrived at Week 10 with most owners in need of a victory. Our Dave Richard helps you sort through all of your tough Fantasy lineup decisions.
Lions at Bears, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
Jay Cutler's four turnovers did in the Bears in their earlier meeting at the Lions, a high-scoring affair. Cutler should be back after missing time with a groin injury and he'll test a Lions pass defense that has come undone over their last three games.
No-brainers: Matthew Stafford, Reggie Bush, Calvin Johnson; Matt Forte, Brandon Marshall
       Joseph Fauria, TE, Lions: My Projection: 6 FPTS
I 
      projected Fauria for a touchdown because the Bears have started to bend 
      against tight ends. Jimmy Graham had a 
      monster game against them and then Jordan Reed 
      did the same a couple of weeks later. The Lions could lean on two-tight 
      end sets to keep Matthew Stafford 
      protected and it could afford Fauria some targets. If you're desperate 
      you could try going with Fauria again and hope he comes down with some 
      catches and a score.
 Bye-week TE Flow chart:  Delanie       Walker > Joseph Fauria > Brent       Celek > Brandon Pettigrew
    
       Jay Cutler, QB, Bears: My Projection: 21 FPTS
Detroit's 
      pass defense has begun to crack, allowing at least two passing 
      touchdowns in each of its last three (eight overall) and at least 270 
      passing yards in five of its last six. Cutler had 317 yards and two 
      touchdowns -- and four turnovers -- in the Bears' game at Detroit 
      earlier this season. It wouldn't be surprising if he did about as well 
      without nearly as many turnovers.
 I'd start him over:  Nick       Foles, Eli Manning
    
       Alshon Jeffery, WR, Bears: My Projection: 11 FPTS
Jeffery 
      is getting dangerously close to must-start status. He's posted 10-plus 
      Fantasy points in four of his last five games. He has seven-plus targets 
      in all but two games, catching at least five passes in five of them. At 
      an average of 16.3 yards per, you could pencil him in for at least 90 
      yards. At Detroit this year he had over 100 yards and a score. The Lions 
      have allowed multiple receivers to score in each of their last two and 
      three of their last five.
 I'd start him over:  Vincent       Jackson, Denarius Moore, Torrey       Smith
    
       Martellus Bennett, TE, Bears: My Projection: 8 FPTS
Not 
      the best matchup for Bennett -- only one tight end has scored on the 
      Lions this year and only one tight end has had more than 65 yards 
      against them. Of course, Bennett was the tight end who had over 65 yards 
      when he tallied 90 back in Week 4. I like that Bennett had eight targets 
      last week from McCown but do not like his lack of massive stats since 
      the start of the year. Only the matchup at the Lions produced more than 
      six Fantasy points for Bennett in his last six.
 Flow chart:  Timothy       Wright > Jordan Reed > Martellus       Bennett > Heath Miller > Coby       Fleener
    
Bills at Steelers, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
The Bills have hung tough all year but this could be a buzz saw for them. The Steelers' pass game finally got its stride last week playing from behind at New England and the Bills' pass defense only got it together statistically against the pass last week because the Chiefs didn't go nuts throwing downfield (a drop cost them at least one long score). You have to like the Steelers to rebound here, something they've done already once this year when they slammed the Jets after four straight losses.
       Fred Jackson, RB, Bills: My Projection: 13 FPTS
  C.J.       Spiller, RB, Bills: My Projection: 11 FPTS
The week off 
      agreed with Spiller as he looked much improved against the Chiefs. 
      Expect the Bills to give him the kind of workload he began the season 
      with: A lot of run downs and some passing downs but on the sideline for 
      the 2:00 drill and in goal-line situations. That should still leave 
      enough carries for both guys against a Steelers defense that has 
      uncharacteristically allowed 11 touchdowns (five in their last two 
      games) on the season and 129.5 total yards per game to running backs.
 I'd 
      start them over:  Le'Veon Bell, Giovani       Bernard
    
       Steve Johnson, WR, Bills: My Projection: 7 FPTS
After 
      injuries hit Marquise Goodwin and Robert       Woods, signs point to Johnson being the dominant pass catcher 
      for Buffalo's passing game just in time for E.J.       Manuel's return. The problem is that the Bills are playing at 
      the Steelers, who struggled against the Patriots last week but have 
      otherwise done a nice job against wideouts (only two had 10-plus Fantasy 
      points before Week 9). If the Bills can't establish a deep threat it'll 
      leave Johnson in a role where he'll get a lot of short- and mid-range 
      targets but see a lot of coverage for all of them.
 I'd rather 
      start:  Doug Baldwin, Kenny       Stills
    
       Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers: My Projection: 19 FPTS
Three 
      of the last four quarterbacks to pass against the Bills have scored 
      three touchdowns. Seven of nine passers vs. Buffalo have thrown at least 
      two scores. This should set up well for Roethlisberger to continue 
      leaning on his receiving corps in an effort to get the offense 
      rejuvenated for the second half of the season. Hopefully he controls his 
      turnovers.
 Bye-week QB Flow chart:  Nick       Foles > Andy Dalton > Ben       Roethlisberger > Terrelle Pryor 
      > Case Keenum
    
       Le'Veon Bell, RB, Steelers: My Projection: 10 FPTS
The 
      Bills have gone four straight without allowing an opposing running back 
      to score a rushing touchdown (one, Giovani       Bernard, turned a catch into a touchdown) and still have 
      allowed just one rush score on the season to a running back. But three 
      of the last four starters have posted at least 90 total yards on the 
      Bills. That should be a starting point for Bell, who had over 130 total 
      yards last week against the Patriots and at least nine Fantasy points in 
      four of five games.
 I'd start him over:  DeMarco       Murray, Ray Rice, Steven       Jackson
    
       Antonio Brown, WR, Steelers: My Projection: 10 FPTS
  Emmanuel       Sanders, WR, Steelers: My Projection: 9 FPTS
I'd expect 
      a good effort from both receivers. The Bills have allowed at least two 
      touchdowns per game to receivers in three of their last four and 15 
      total to the position in 2013. Non-No. 1 wideouts tend to score more 
      often than No. 1 threats, something that could open the door for 
      Sanders, who's delivered 9 to 14 Fantasy points in three of his last 
      four. Brown is no slouch either -- he has given owners at least eight 
      Fantasy points in five of his last six.
 I'd start Brown over:  Vincent       Jackson, Jordy Nelson 
 I'd 
      start Sanders over:  Harry Douglas, Mike       Wallace
    
       Heath Miller, TE, Steelers: My Projection: 7 FPTS
Buffalo 
      has allowed touchdowns to tight ends in two of its last three, a new 
      weakness considering it gave up just one score to the position through 
      the first six weeks of the year. Miller's targets, catches and yards 
      have dipped over the last three games but he's still running a lot of 
      routes. He's OK as a starting option.
 Flow chart:  Timothy       Wright > Jordan Reed > Greg       Olsen > Heath Miller > Coby       Fleener
    
Bengals at Ravens, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
Simply put, the Ravens have to get their run game going. Ray Rice hasn't looked good in weeks and the Baltimore offensive line continues to be a problem. The Bengals' run defense wasn't too hot last week even before defensive tackle Geno Atkins got hurt. Without him and linebacker Rey Maualuga you should expect Baltimore to test the Bengals' defensive front.
No-brainers: A.J. Green
       Andy Dalton, QB, Bengals: My Projection: 19 FPTS
I 
      wouldn't give up on Dalton after last week. He made a couple of bad 
      throws that put him under the microscope but he also made a lot of great 
      plays that are getting overlooked. Jason Campbell 
      and the Browns posted 260 yards and three touchdowns on Baltimore with 
      an assist from an over-aggressive defense and an underperforming 
      cornerback in Lardarius Webb. I'd 
      expect the Bengals to follow suit and utilize the athleticism of their 
      top receivers to make plays, giving Dalton a chance to rebound. It is 
      worth noting that Dalton has two total touchdowns in four career games 
      against the Ravens.
 Flow chart:  Jay       Cutler > Nick Foles > Andy       Dalton > Ben Roethlisberger 
      > Terrelle Pryor
    
       Giovani Bernard, RB, Bengals: My Projection: 10 FPTS
  BenJarvus       Green-Ellis, RB, Bengals: My Projection: 4 FPTS
On paper 
      this is a tough matchup as the Ravens have allowed just one touchdown 
      and 111.4 total yards per game to running backs this season. Drill into 
      Baltimore's last four games and they're giving up just 95.8 total yards 
      per game to running backs with no touchdowns. While that does include Eddie       Lacy grinding out 120 rush yards and Le'Veon       Bell churning for 93 rush yards in Weeks 6 and 7, the problem 
      is that there isn't a promised workload for either back. Obviously 
      there's more potential with Bernard, who had to have earned more playing 
      time after his excellent work last week against Miami.
 I'd start 
      Bernard over:  Ray Rice, Steven       Jackson 
 I'd rather start over Green-Ellis:  Jacquizz       Rodgers, Peyton Hillis and Andre       Brown
    
       Marvin Jones, WR, Bengals: My Projection: 9 FPTS
While 
      Jones' stats stunk last week I was impressed by his athleticism and 
      speed after the catch. He can make plays, something teammate Mohamed       Sanu didn't do last week. Sanu's drops could lead to even more 
      playing time for Jones, who had 54 pct. of the snaps compared to Sanu's 
      63 pct. The Ravens secondary played poorly last week (two touchdowns to Davone       Bess and 122 yards to Greg Little? 
      Really?!) and could be ultimately focused on containing Green, 
      opening up the chance at Jones being effective.
 Flow chart:  Riley       Cooper > Torrey Smith > Marvin       Jones > Steve Smith > 
      Falcons WRs
    
       Joe Flacco, QB, Ravens: My Projection: 14 FPTS
Flacco is 
      surprisingly shaky at home this year -- he has one game with two 
      touchdowns there versus three on the road. Playing the Bengals without Geno       Atkins up front helps his cause. Cincinnati's pass defense has 
      done well against mediocre quarterbacks lately, holding down Geno       Smith and Ryan Tannehill to 
      one rush TD and no passing scores. I find Flacco tough to trust outside 
      of being a bye-week option.
 I'd rather start:  Carson       Palmer, Ryan Tannehill
    
       Ray Rice, RB, Ravens: My Projection: 9 FPTS
It looks to 
      me like Rice is lacking explosion in part because of his hip injury, a 
      strong offensive line and a playcaller willing to give him a big dose of 
      work. All three might be connected -- the Ravens may not be willing to 
      push Rice because of his health and because the blocking in front of him 
      is sub par. I'd really dislike Rice if the Bengals were at full strength 
      but the Dolphins' tandem ran roughshod over them last week even before Geno       Atkins got hurt. The weirdest part is that Rice has been 
      playing more over his last couple of weeks compared to the early portion 
      of the season.
 No. 2 RB Flow chart:  Mike       James > Lamar Miller > Ray       Rice > Saints RBs > Cardinals RBs
    
       Torrey Smith, WR, Ravens: My Projection: 9 FPTS
  Marlon       Brown, WR, Ravens: My Projection: 8 FPTS
This will be a 
      challenge for these receivers as the Bengals have played really well 
      against wideouts. Only two have over 100 yards receiving, another three 
      have posted between 80 and 99 yards. Only three receivers have hit 
      double digits in Fantasy points against Cincinnati. So the matchup is 
      bad. But Brown has seven-plus Fantasy points in five of seven games, a 
      mark Smith has matched or exceeded in six of his eight games this 
      season. I'd expect both to be efficient but not necessarily dominant.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Alshon Jeffery, Riley       Cooper, Denarius Moore, Marvin       Jones
    
Eagles at Packers, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
The defense that gets in the opposing quarterback's face the most will win. Foles really hasn't been bothered by a pass rush in any of his starts -- that could change this week. And Wallace, even with a week of practice and with the Eagles' tepid blitz packages, still cannot be given the benefit of the doubt as a capable quarterback. If there's an edge it's that Eagles defensive coordinator Bill Davis used to work with Packers defensive coordinator Dom Capers and could conceivably coach up the offense on what to expect.
No-brainers: LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson; Eddie Lacy
       Nick Foles, QB, Eagles: My Projection: 21 FPTS
Foles 
      remains an enigma given his amazing performance last week, one in which 
      he got a major assist by a sloppy Raiders defense. That might have 
      partially been because the Eagles' fast-break offense was in full 
      effect. They'll likely try to do that again but this could be the first 
      time this season Foles sees a pass rush come after him. In his big games 
      and in his clunker against Dallas, Foles had time to throw. He was just 
      way off against the Cowboys and took a little while longer to make 
      decisions. The Eagles made it clear they want him to just throw and not 
      think -- the Packers will try to force him into some mistakes. Now, the 
      Packers tried to do that last week vs. the Bears and they got burned, 
      but it was just the second time in six games they allowed a quarterback 
      to throw multiple touchdowns. I wouldn't take an unnecessary risk and 
      start him over a reliable option but I would still take him over any 
      quarterback you have some doubt about.
 I'd start him over:  Eli       Manning, Robert Griffin III, Andy       Dalton
    
       Riley Cooper, WR, Eagles: My Projection: 10 FPTS
While 
      I'm not gung-ho on Foles, I am fine with Cooper as a good No. 2 Fantasy 
      receiver and a great Flex choice. The numbers support it as much: In the 
      three games Foles started this year Cooper has averaged 5.0 catches on 
      6.3 targets for 115.7 yards with four total touchdowns. Cooper didn't 
      have more than two catches or 30 yards in any of the Eagles' other 
      games. Of the nine touchdowns the Packers have allowed to receivers this 
      year, only two have come in the last three weeks -- and they came 
      against the Bears on Monday, the only offense they've faced since Week 4 
      that sported legit multiple receiving threats.
 I'd start him over:  Denarius       Moore, Torrey Smith, Golden       Tate
    
       Seneca Wallace, QB, Packers: My Projection: 15 FPTS
I 
      would expect a better game from Wallace than the one we saw on Monday 
      but not necessarily one with a ton of stats. It helps that he has a 
      great downfield target in Jordy Nelson 
      and good short- and mid-range options in James       Jones, Jarrett Boykin and his 
      tight ends and running backs, but his arm isn't what I'd call very good. 
      It's absolutely a couple of steps down from Aaron       Rodgers in terms of strength and accuracy. A mostly vanilla 
      game plan with a couple of deep shots are probably in the cards. He's 
      not worth the risk, particularly against a pass defense that has allowed 
      five passing touchdowns and picked off eight interceptions in their last 
      five games.
 I'd rather start:  Jake       Locker, Ryan Tannehill
    
       James Starks, RB, Packers: My Projection: 4 FPTS
The 
      Packers should aim to lean on their ground game for a while since 
      Rodgers is out and that should benefit Starks since Eddie       Lacy can't handle all of the reps beyond what he's already 
      giving them. This could mean as many as 10 touches per week for Starks 
      -- he's scored on long runs each of the last two weeks, which could 
      either be construed as a sign of a breakout or a sign of a fluke. The 
      Eagles have allowed a rushing score to a running back in two of their 
      last three but just 3.8 yards per carry to opposing rushers in that span.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Donald Brown, Jonathan       Stewart
    
       Jordy Nelson, WR, Packers: My Projection: 10 FPTS
  James       Jones, WR, Packers: My Projection: 5 FPTS
  Jarrett       Boykin, WR, Packers: My Projection: 4 FPTS
I'd expect 
      Nelson to remain the most explosive of the Packers receivers but 
      considering the quarterback I'd revise expectations. The Packers might 
      try to run their way to a victory, capping the amount of times Wallace 
      would throw. By comparison, Rodgers averaged 35.6 pass attempts per 
      game, a number Wallace might have a hard time reaching. Eleven receivers 
      have posted 10-plus Fantasy points on Philadelphia this season with 
      another four getting eight or nine Fantasy points, so they could allow 
      some numbers.
 I'd start Nelson over:  Marvin       Jones, Dolphins WRs, Steve Smith 
 I'd 
      rather start over Jones and Boykin:  Jermaine       Kearse, Chris Givens
    
Seahawks at Falcons, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
Atlanta will focus on putting Matt Ryan in a position to not turn the ball over. Seattle will try to make the opposite happen with aggressive play. The Seahawks can win by pressuring Ryan, a formula that worked for the Cardinals two weeks ago. But Ryan even struggled last week without a ton of pressure in his face. Though the Seahawks defense has allowed some points and yards in recent games I'd still expect them to chase down Ryan.No-brainer: Marshawn Lynch
       Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks: My Projection: 21 FPTS
The 
      Falcons were one passing yard shy of allowing another 20-point 
      quarterback last week. It would have been the sixth in eight games. 
      Every single quarterback they've faced has posted at least two 
      touchdowns but only one of the last four has gotten to 250 yards through 
      the air. The Falcons have also picked off three passes in their last 
      two. Wilson has totaled at least two scores in four of his last five, 
      adding some decent rushing numbers along the way. Though the offensive 
      line is a concern for him the matchup is good enough for Wilson to be 
      considered a safe starting option.
 I'd start him over:  Nick       Foles, Robert Griffin III, Eli       Manning
    
       Golden Tate, WR, Seahawks: My Projection: 8 FPTS
  Doug       Baldwin, WR, Seahawks: My Projection: 8 FPTS
Baldwin got 
      the chance to play a bunch last week, just as much as Tate to be exact 
      (87 pct. of the snaps). Baldwin's numbers were way better but that might 
      have been because of how the Bucs chose to defend the receivers. The 
      Falcons' secondary is leaky, giving up 11 passing touchdowns on the year 
      including four in their last three games (none last week to Carolina). 
      If the Falcons put up any kind of a fight then expect these two to get 
      some decent numbers to help pace your Fantasy team.
 I'd start Tate 
      over:  Michael Floyd, Cecil       Shorts 
 Low-end WR Flow chart:  Marlon       Brown > Doug Baldwin > Mike       Brown > Lance Moore
    
       Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons: My Projection: 17 FPTS
Though 
      Ryan is back at home, where he's played many great games, I don't see 
      this matchup working out well for him even if Roddy       White is back. Each of the last four quarterbacks to play the 
      Seahawks have posted 19 Fantasy points or less, three getting under 15 
      Fantasy points. The Seahawks have allowed two quarterbacks (Matt Schaub, Andrew       Luck) to score multiple touchdowns and post over 20 Fantasy 
      points against them. Ryan's play has been scattershot and the Falcons 
      might try to continue pushing a balanced offense like they did last week.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Eli Manning, Ben       Roethlisberger
    
       Steven Jackson, RB, Falcons: My Projection: 8 FPTS
  Jacquizz       Rodgers, RB, Falcons: My Projection: 5 FPTS
The stats 
      say this will be a good matchup for the Falcons run game. The Seahawks 
      have allowed an average of 175.5 rush yards per game against rookie 
      running backs in their last two games! Jackson's no rookie and isn't the 
      dominator he was in the past but was able to bring a physical rushing 
      style last week against the Panthers. He ran well on the edges and even 
      had a 2-yard touchdown that was called back by a penalty. I'd expect 
      another decent dose of work for S-Jax with Quizz picking up the rest.
 Flow 
      chart:  Giovani Bernard > Steven       Jackson > Ben Tate > Darren       Sproles > Jacquizz Rodgers 
      > Rashad Jennings
    
       Harry Douglas, WR, Falcons: My Projection: 8 FPTS
  Roddy       White, WR, Falcons: My Projection: 7 FPTS
With White in, 
      the responsibilities for the Seahawks defense become more difficult and 
      in turn could improve the fortunes for both receivers. We don't have a 
      good idea of just how effective White will be but if the Falcons put him 
      on the field after letting him struggle earlier this year then he must 
      be close to ready. One problem: Vincent Jackson, 
      Larry Fitzgerald, Reggie       Wayne and your pick among the receivers in Tennessee and St. 
      Louis all have posted ugly stats against the Seahawks over the team's 
      last six games. On average the Seahawks are allowing 117.1 yards per 
      game to receivers.
 Flow chart:  Emmanuel       Sanders > Harry Douglas > Brian       Hartline > Roddy White > DeAndre       Hopkins
    
       Tony Gonzalez, TE, Falcons: My Projection: 10 FPTS
Two 
      of the three passing touchdowns allowed by the Seahawks last week went 
      to tight ends, though one was on a surprise jump pass. Those two pushed 
      the Seahawks' total scores to tight ends to three, meaning they allowed 
      just one in their first eight games. Only two tight ends have posted 
      10-plus Fantasy points against them. Gonzalez came up with a score last 
      week on a sharp pass from Ryan from 17 yards out. Benching Gonzalez is 
      darn near impossible but you should expect to see him blanketed more 
      often than not, especially in the red zone.
 I'd start him over:  Timothy       Wright, Jordan Reed, Antonio       Gates
    
Rams at Colts, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
The contributions the Rams have gotten from Zac Stacy and their defense over the last two weeks has kept them in games no one (including me) gave them a chance to win. That combined with the Colts' nature to either play from behind or play in close games leads me to believe the Rams will play strong but fall short.
       Zac Stacy, RB, Rams: My Projection: 13 FPTS
We're 
      approaching must-start status with Stacy, and why not? The guy has 
      chewed up the Panthers, Seahawks and Titans for double-digit Fantasy 
      points in consecutive weeks and takes on a Colts defense that allowed 
      125.3 total yards per game to running backs. Of the four backs with at 
      least 20 touches against the Colts this season, three have posted at 
      least 10 Fantasy points (seven total rushers have hit the 10-point 
      mark). Stacy has at least 20 touches in each of his last four. Count on 
      him.
 I'd start him over: Bills RBs, Frank       Gore, DeMarco Murray
    
       Chris Givens, WR, Rams: My Projection: 6 FPTS
The Colts 
      have not done well with highly-targeted receivers. All but one of the 
      seven receivers with 10-plus targets have posted at least nine Fantasy 
      points in a standard league and 15 points in a PPR. So who's that guy 
      for the Rams? Chris Givens leads the 
      way with 13 targets in the two games Kellen       Clemens has started, no one else has even 10.
 I'd rather 
      start: Titans WRs, Jerricho Cotchery
    
       Jared Cook, TE, Rams: My Projection: 4 FPTS
Like Givens, 
      Cook is also getting a lot of targets from Clemens, picking up 13 over 
      the last two weeks. He's turned them into six catches for 67 yards and a 
      touchdown, which for Cook isn't bad. But save for two tight ends, one 
      being Julius Thomas, the Colts have 
      been fantastic against the position, holding all but one to under 50 
      yards receiving with just one touchdown through eight games. The only 
      way Cook delivers is if he scores and I don't like his chances to do so.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Garrett Graham, Brandon       Pettigrew
    
Andrew Luck, QB, Colts: My Projection: 21 FPTS
      The Rams have gotten their act together against opposing quarterbacks, 
      quietly holding each of the last six they've faced to 18 Fantasy points 
      or less. Of those six, four had a run game to supplement the offense. 
      Indianapolis hasn't found its stride on the ground just yet so it could 
      mean more work for Luck, who has three passing touchdowns in each of his 
      last two and at least two passing touchdowns (and at least 21 Fantasy 
      points) in four of his last five.
 I'd start him over:  Cam       Newton, Jay Cutler, Nick       Foles
    
       Donald Brown, RB, Colts: My Projection: 5 FPTS
  Trent       Richardson, RB, Colts: My Projection: 5 FPTS
The Colts 
      spoke this week of utilizing Richardson as a receiver more and 
      continuing to work with him on his runs. I want to see it before I 
      believe it. It's too bad because the Rams have allowed four rushing 
      touchdowns and a 4.1 yards per carry average over their last three 
      games. Donald Brown is the safer play; 
      he's produced more Fantasy points than Richardson in two of the Colts' 
      last four games, coming within one point of T-Rich last week. It feels 
      like Richardson's only saving grace is a goal-line job.
 I'd rather 
      start:  Andre Ellington, Shonn       Greene
    
       T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts: My Projection: 13 FPTS
In the 
      Rams' last four games they've held every receiver to 93 yards or less 
      with three scores allowed. It suggests the unit has turned the corner 
      against receivers, but they've struggled with speedy, big-play wideouts 
      like Golden Tate and others. Hilton 
      fits that mold and has to be considered a starter after the 12-target, 
      three-score performance he had last week.
 I'd start him over:  Pierre       Garcon, Hakeem Nicks, Antonio       Brown
    
       Coby Fleener, TE, Colts: My Projection: 6 FPTS
The Rams 
      continue to play well against tight ends -- only one has scored on them 
      this year and none have had even nine Fantasy points. Fleener continues 
      to play inconsistent football in part because of his opportunities. How 
      he gets only five targets last week when Luck attempted 40 passes is a 
      mystery to me.
 I'd rather start:  Timothy       Wright, Greg Olsen, Heath       Miller
    
Jaguars at Titans, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
Expect both teams to get their run games going. You might expect that from the Titans given the success they had last week (and lack of success passing) but believe it or not the Jaguars have had some success running the football. With Justin Blackmon gone and a week off to re-tool the offense and potential coach up the inexperienced O-line, the Jaguars could find themselves making progress against the Titans' suspect run defense.
No-brainers: Chris Johnson
       Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jaguars: My Projection: 11 FPTS
The 
      numbers suggest a killer matchup for MJD, but it comes with a caveat. 
      Over their last four games the Titans have allowed starting rushers 
      seven touchdowns and an average of 145.5 total yards per game. This is 
      to one guy in each game including multiple touchdowns to three straight 
      starters! The caveat? Tennessee has taken on Jamaal       Charles, Marshawn Lynch, Frank       Gore and Zac Stacy, four very 
      reputable runners. Jones-Drew hasn't been quite as good as those guys 
      but had over 110 total yards in his last game against the tough 49ers 
      defense and has seen 19-plus touches in three of his last four. Expect 
      the Jaguars to lean on him.
 I'd start him over:  Le'Veon       Bell, DeMarco Murray
    
       Cecil Shorts, WR, Jaguars: My Projection: 7 FPTS
  Mike       Brown, WR, Jaguars: My Projection: 7 FPTS
Expect to see 
      these two play the most for the Jaguars with Brown taking over for the 
      suspended Justin Blackmon. While the 
      targets should be plentiful -- Shorts has had at least 10 in every game 
      he's finished this year -- the Titans have been terrific against 
      opposing receivers. Only two have scored on them, only one has had over 
      100 yards and none in their last three games have had more than seven 
      Fantasy points (12 in a PPR).
 I'd rather start:  Marlon       Brown, Doug Baldwin
    
       Jake Locker, QB, Titans: My Projection: 15 FPTS
The 
      momentum Locker built up over four weeks came to a halt in St. Louis 
      last week, scaring Fantasy owners from using him again. The Jaguars have 
      gotten a little bit better against the pass (just two passing touchdowns 
      allowed over their last two games) but it's been because they've 
      struggled against the run and quarterbacks haven't had to pass against 
      them. That's the feeling here -- the Titans will reel in Locker and keep 
      him limited much like they did last week, giving him mediocre numbers.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Case Keenum, Carson       Palmer
    
       Kendall Wright, WR, Titans: My Projection: 6 FPTS
  Nate       Washington, WR, Titans: My Projection: 6 FPTS
Jacksonville 
      hasn't yielded big numbers to receivers in part because it hasn't been 
      challenged much. Only two wideouts have scored on the Jags through their 
      last three games with none getting more than 78 yards. This includes the 
      Broncos' studs. I wouldn't count on either Titans wideout if I could 
      help it.
 I'd rather start:  Roddy White, 
      Mike Brown
    
Raiders at Giants, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
This has the makings of the Giants extending their win streak to three games. Oakland comes across the country expected to be without Darren McFadden and with a defense that was outclassed by Philadelphia a week before. I'd count on the Giants working out some kinks in their offense during their bye and testing the Raiders' shaky secondary.
       Terrelle Pryor, QB, Raiders: My Projection: 19 FPTS
After 
      giving up multiple touchdowns to six straight quarterbacks to begin the 
      season the Giants have been fantastic against the pass in their last 
      two. Granted, they've corralled the likes of Josh       Freeman, a hobbled Michael Vick 
      and rookie Matt Barkley in those games, 
      but Pryor hasn't been a great passer by any stretch. He has one game 
      this year with two total touchdowns and has had 16 Fantasy points or 
      less in three straight.
 I'd rather start:  Eli       Manning, Andy Dalton
    
       Rashad Jennings, RB, Raiders: My Projection: 5 FPTS
There 
      are two reasons why I won't start Jennings with confidence: His track 
      record and his opponent. In eight of his last nine starting 
      opportunities he's had less than 10 Fantasy points including once 
      already this year. It's as if Jennings comes up big when you least 
      expect it and comes up small when you need him. But it won't matter 
      anyway because the Giants' run defense has radically improved. Since 
      Week 4 the Giants have allowed one rushing touchdown, one receiving 
      touchdown and two 100-total-yard games to running backs. In that span 
      they've allowed just 2.5 yards per carry. They're tough.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Andre Ellington, Ben       Tate
    
       Denarius Moore, WR, Raiders: My Projection: 9 FPTS
If 
      the Raiders fall behind, Moore is the one with the best chance to scoop 
      up some numbers. But it's been slow for him lately -- he hasn't scored 
      in two straight and his chemistry with Pryor is being questioned. To be 
      fair, he's still had only one real rotten game with Pryor. The Giants 
      have allowed eight touchdowns to receivers but none in their last two 
      games though poor quarterback play was a factor in both.
 I'd start 
      him over:  Emmanuel Sanders, Steve       Smith
    
       Eli Manning, QB, Giants: My Projection: 20 FPTS
The 
      Giants say they're not buying the Raiders to be as bad as the Eagles 
      made them look last week but it wouldn't be a surprise if they tried to 
      do some of the same things. Expect to see Manning take some shots 
      downfield and potentially run some no-huddle offense. There will be big 
      bull's-eye targets on Raiders corner D.J. Hayden and safety Brandian       Ross, but it's worth noting the Raiders haven't allowed 
      back-to-back 20-point Fantasy games to quarterbacks this season.
 Bye-week 
      QB Flow chart:  Nick Foles > Eli       Manning > Andy Dalton > Ben       Roethlisberger
    
       Peyton Hillis, RB, Giants: My Projection: 9 FPTS
  Andre       Brown, RB, Giants: My Projection: 6 FPTS
How the Giants 
      use both backs will be tough to predict but here's a scenario: Because 
      Brown is coming back from a broken leg and isn't quite in game shape, 
      he'll be limited to certain plays while Hillis remains the starter. It's 
      not ideal and it won't last that way for the rest of the season but it's 
      a fair expectation against a Raiders run defense that has allowed a 
      rusher to get at least 10 Fantasy points in each of their last six games.
 Flow 
      chart:  Ray Rice > Peyton       Hillis > Pierre Thomas > Andre       Brown > Darren Sproles
    
       Victor Cruz, WR, Giants: My Projection: 13 FPTS
  Hakeem       Nicks, WR, Giants: My Projection: 12 FPTS
  Rueben       Randle, WR, Giants: My Projection: 7 FPTS
I'd be worried 
      if the Giants receivers can't get fired up here. Six of the 10 
      touchdowns the Raiders have allowed to receivers have come in their last 
      four games including four last week against the Eagles. The Raiders have 
      also allowed 203.0 yards per game to receivers, a huge amount over the 
      course of the season. We've seen Cruz and Nicks come close to scoring 
      touchdowns lately -- this is the right opponent to get over the hump 
      against.
 I'd start Cruz and Nicks over:  Alshon       Jeffery, Antonio Brown, Jordy       Nelson 
 I'd rather start over Randle:  Cecil       Shorts, Marlon Brown
    
Panthers at 49ers, Sun., 4:05 p.m. ET
I wouldn't necessarily expect a low-scoring game here as both offenses have been darn good lately. The Panthers have averaged 32.5 points per game over their last four while the Niners have averaged 34.8 points per game over a five-game winning streak. While the Panthers have masked defensive issues, the Niners still remain suspect against the run, something Carolina is sure to try and exploit.
No-brainers: Frank Gore, Vernon Davis
       Cam Newton, QB, Panthers: My Projection: 21 FPTS
Newton's 
      been throwing the ball real well lately and will step up against a 
      Niners pass defense that has allowed two or more scores to quarterbacks 
      in two of their last three games. Cam has totaled two scores in three of 
      his last four and has posted a ridiculous 72.3 completion percentage in 
      those four games with two interceptions. Keeping Newton in the pocket 
      will be a goal of the Niners but they also have to contain receivers' 
      yardage after the catch -- two of the last four scores they've allowed 
      have been long catch-and-runs.
 I'd start him over:  Jay       Cutler, Nick Foles, Robert       Griffin III
    
       Jonathan Stewart, RB, Panthers: My Projection: 6 FPTS
  DeAngelo       Williams, RB, Panthers: My Projection: 4 FPTS
  Mike       Tolbert, RB, Panthers: My Projection: 4 FPTS
Here's a 
      breakdown from last week: Tolbert played 56 pct. of snaps to Williams' 
      39 pct. and Stewart's 24 pct. But Williams led the way in touches with 
      15, Stewart had 13 and Tolbert had nine. Stewart had the most total 
      yards with 65 to Williams' 54 and Tolbert's 37, but Tolbert scored for 
      the sixth time in six games. After a tough start to the season the 
      Niners run defense has allowed just two touchdowns to running backs over 
      its last five games (one receiving), giving up an average of 116.0 total 
      yards per game in that time. The Niners have allowed four rushing 
      touchdowns from inside the 5 but none since Week 3. Factoring these 
      numbers among three players makes for three Fantasy problems.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Ben Tate, Shonn       Greene
    
       Steve Smith, WR, Panthers: My Projection: 8 FPTS
    
      Smith will still get the occasional deep-ball target but he's used more 
      underneath than in the past. Receivers like him have put up modest 
      numbers against the Niners this season including Cecil       Shorts and Kendall Wright over 
      San Fran's last two games. I wouldn't expect a huge game from him -- the 
      Niners have allowed 149.8 yards to receivers over their last four games 
      -- but Smith should be serviceable as a low-end No. 2 candidate.
 Flow 
      chart:  Marvin Jones > Torrey       Smith > Steve Smith > Mike       Wallace > Lance Moore
    
       Greg Olsen, TE, Panthers: My Projection: 8 FPTS
Olsen's 
      come alive over his last two games, scoring in both and posting a 
      minimum of eight Fantasy points. But the 49ers have allowed just 39.8 
      yards per game to tight ends this season with three scoring. Olsen has 
      twice scored in three straight games in his career, once as a Panther. 
      Even with a difficult matchup it's hard to call him a 'sit.'
 I'd 
      start him over: Heath Miller, Martellus       Bennett
    
       Colin Kaepernick, QB, 49ers: My projection: 22 FPTS
The 
      metrics suggest sitting Kaepernick because the 
      Panthers have held every single passer they've faced to 17 Fantasy 
      points or less, a list that includes Russell       Wilson ... and really that's about it. Others like Eli       Manning and Matt Ryan (without 
      his top receivers) are among the group but it's not like they've faced a 
      slew of dynamic athletes like Kap. To start him is to count on him 
      keeping up his rushing workload -- he's beasted for 12 and 17 Fantasy 
      points just on his rushing prowess in his last two games, bringing back 
      an element of his game that makes the Niners offense more dangerous. The 
      more pressure the Panthers put on Kap, the more likely he takes off for 
      some positive gains. He also will test the Panthers secondary, which has 
      looked great all year but, again, they haven't played a lot of top-shelf 
      talent. I'm buying into Kaepernick coming out of the bye with no rust 
      and with an uptick in passing numbers on top of his rushing yardage 
      thanks to the return of veteran Mario Manningham.
 I'd 
      start him over:  Russell Wilson, Cam       Newton
    
       Anquan Boldin, WR, 49ers: My Projection: 6 FPTS
Boldin's 
      lack of numbers lately along with the Panthers' ability to contain 
      receivers of his ability make him an easy player to get away from. The 
      Panthers did a great job capping Vincent Jackson 
      to 79 yards and that's actually the third-highest amount of receiving 
      yards the Panthers have allowed in their last six games. Boldin has been 
      under that amount without a score in four straight.
 I'd rather 
      start:  DeAndre Hopkins, Jerricho       Cotchery
    
Texans at Cardinals, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
Bruce Arians' familiarity with the Texans defense could go a long way in keeping the Cardinals in the game. As the offensive coordinator with the Colts last year, Arians directed his run game to positive results in both games with a deep pass for a score in each. That kind of experience is going to help Carson Palmer get some decent numbers.
       Case Keenum, QB, Texans: My Projection: 18 FPTS
I'm 
      impressed with Keenum's willingness to throw deep, something that 
      definitely props up his 10.5 yards per attempt average. It also looks 
      like the Texans will trust him and not coddle him like they might have 
      with T.J. Yates. Keenum will even run a little bit -- everything helps. 
      The Cardinals pass defense in much improved after a three-week skid to 
      begin the year, holding all but one of the last five passers they've 
      faced to 19 Fantasy points or less. Keenum might fall short of even than 
      number but still be serviceable. I like his next three games -- all at 
      home against the Raiders, Jaguars and Patriots -- better than this game.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Ben Roethlisberger, Terrelle       Pryor
    
       Ben Tate, RB, Texans: My Projection: 7 FPTS
On the year 
      the Cardinals are allowing 3.2 yards per carry to running backs with 
      only two touchdowns allowed to the position, but a lot of teams didn't 
      have a back get the chance to have even 15 carries against them. In 
      fact, four running backs have had 20 carries vs. the Cardinals and the 
      rest have had 12 or fewer. But the four with 20 or more carries averaged 
      -- surprise, surprise -- 3.2 yards per carry, though two did quite well 
      and two stunk. Tate's banged up and might only have a chance to get 
      around 15 carries given the Texans might not have a lead to cling to.
 Flow 
      chart:  Steven Jackson > Andre       Ellington > Ben Tate > Shonn       Greene > Rashad Jennings
    
       Andre Johnson, WR, Texans: My Projection: 14 FPTS
  DeAndre       Hopkins, WR, Texans: My Projection: 6 FPTS
The Cardinals 
      pass defense has started to crack, allowing two touchdowns and 199.0 
      receiving yards per game to wideouts. That's huge for Andre       Johnson's outlook and it could even be a factor for DeAndre       Hopkins if the Texans can't move the chains on the ground.
 I'd 
      start Johnson over:  DeSean Jackson, 
      Giants WRs
 I'd start Hopkins over:  James       Jones, Jarrett Boykin
    
       Garrett Graham, TE, Texans: My Projection: 5 FPTS
There's 
      been talk about Graham being a potential start this week because of the 
      matchup. Arizona has allowed eight touchdowns to tight ends this season. 
      That's darn near impossible to overlook but Graham hasn't been great 
      since becoming the primary tight end for the Texans (no games with even 
      50 yards). Over the last two games Graham has caught seven of 14 targets 
      from Keenum for 84 yards and no touchdown. He nearly had a touchdown on 
      a long catch at Kansas City but has otherwise not even had a single 
      red-zone target with Keenum. I think he's a risky choice.
 I'd 
      rather start:  Coby Fleener, Brent       Celek
    
       Carson Palmer, QB, Cardinals: My Projection: 18 FPTS
Don't 
      look now but the Texans have allowed a pair of three-touchdown passers 
      in their last three games. It's cause for concern as is the three measly 
      interceptions they have on the season. Palmer might add to that total 
      but the combination of the Cardinals' improved play from their receivers 
      and Bruce Arians' familiarity with the Texans defense could open the 
      door for Palmer to be a decent bye-week Fantasy quarterback.
 Bye-week 
      QB Flow chart:  Andy Dalton > Case       Keenum > Carson Palmer > Matt       Ryan > Ryan Tannehill
    
       Andre Ellington, RB, Cardinals: My Projection: 8 FPTS
  Rashard       Mendenhall, RB, Cardinals: My Projection: 4 FPTS
The 
      Cardinals would be foolish to lean on Mendenhall more than Ellington 
      after the rookie pummeled the Falcons two weeks ago but the veteran will 
      see a good dose of playing time. Over their last four games the Texans 
      have allowed three touchdowns and 128.5 total yards to running backs. 
      That's enough to expect some good numbers from Ellington with Mendenhall 
      vulturing away maybe half of the snaps in the game.
 Ellington flow 
      chart:  Peyton Hillis > Pierre       Thomas > Andre Ellington > Andre       Brown 
 I'd rather start over Mendenhall: Colts RBs, Jacquizz       Rodgers
    
       Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Cardinals: My Projection: 13 FPTS
  Michael       Floyd, WR, Cardinals: My Projection: 8 FPTS
Look for 
      both receivers to get some opportunities to put up big stats. The Texans 
      allowed three passing touchdowns to T.Y. Hilton last week and four total 
      to receivers over their last three games. In that span the Texans have 
      allowed 127.0 yards per game to wideouts, which isn't a ton, but the 
      Cardinals should test that number after seeing how Hilton was able to 
      beat the Texans secondary in a number of ways.
 I'd start 
      Fitzgerald over:  T.Y. Hilton, Eric       Decker 
 I'd start Floyd over:  Roddy       White, Kenny Stills
    
Broncos at Chargers, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
This should be a high-scoring fiesta, but it could be closer than you might think. Denver's secondary remains under duress and even if Von Miller attacks the Chargers' offensive line, Philip Rivers has become awesome at getting rid of the football. Also don't forget that Chargers head coach Mike McCoy was the Broncos' offensive coordinator for four years and knows that personnel well really well. This might not only be a close game, but an AFC West upset.
No-brainers: Peyton Manning, Knowshon Moreno, Demaryius Thomas, Wes Welker, Julius Thomas; Keenan Allen
       Eric Decker, WR, Broncos: My Projection: 12 FPTS
I won't 
      tell you to steer clear of Decker this week, especially considering the 
      matchup, but he hasn't gone consecutive games with a touchdown yet this 
      year. He also hasn't posted over 100 yards in consecutive games ever in 
      his pro career. But what he has done is caught at least five passes in 
      all but two games. Not only are they allowing 213.4 yards per game this 
      year to receivers but of the 15 receivers to catch at least five passes 
      against the Bolts this year nine have had at least eight Fantasy points. 
      Finally, one streak worth noting: Decker has scored in three straight 
      against the Chargers.
 I'd start him over:  Hakeem       Nicks, Alshon Jeffery
    
       Philip Rivers, QB, Chargers: My Projection: 22 FPTS
Rivers 
      has done poorly in games where he hasn't been needed to throw and 
      outstanding in pretty much every other matchup. I don't think the 
      Chargers can afford to run the ball a ton, so count on Rivers this week. 
      The Broncos have held two of the last three quarterbacks they've faced 
      to single-digit Fantasy points but those were Chad       Henne and Robert Griffin III. 
      Five other quarterbacks have topped 20 Fantasy points against them. With 
      help from coach Mike McCoy, Rivers figures to have a solid battle plan 
      against the division rival.
 I'd start him over:  Colin       Kaepernick, Cam Newton
    
       Danny Woodhead, RB, Chargers: My Projection: 11 FPTS
  Ryan       Mathews, RB, Chargers: My Projection: 5 FPTS
Typically 
      teams end up not being able to run on the Broncos because of the score 
      -- only three backs have had over 15 carries against them this year. 
      That should point to a productive week for Woodhead, who doesn't 
      typically get a lot of carries but does get plenty of catches. Only two 
      running backs have had at least four catches against the Broncos this 
      season but both found their way to at least 10 Fantasy points (Ray Rice, Marcel       Reece). Woodhead has at least four catches and 75 total yards 
      in each of his last six games. The Broncos are allowing 9.1 yards per 
      catch to running backs this year with four receiving touchdowns. Mathews 
      won't get the workload needed to be a good Fantasy option -- I am 
      benching him in my 14-team league where I can start three running backs 
      but I'll look for him next week at Miami.
 I'd start Woodhead over:  Maurice       Jones-Drew, Mike James 
 I'd 
      rather start over Mathews:  Jonathan Stewart, 
      Donald Brown
    
       Antonio Gates, TE, Chargers: My Projection: 8 FPTS
There's 
      no doubting the matchup for Gates -- the Broncos have allowed four tight 
      ends in eight games to hit the eight-point Fantasy mark and Gates has 
      scored in two of his last three against the Broncos. But there is 
      doubting Gates, who looks slower than ever when running routes. The 
      targets have been there for him -- an average of 8.1 per game and at 
      least eight in four of his last five. But in those five games Gates has 
      been better than eight Fantasy points once and it was back in Week 4. 
      That means he's been under that eight-point mark in four straight. He's 
      not the best tight end you can get this week.
 Flow chart:  Timothy       Wright > Jordan Reed > Antonio       Gates > Martellus Bennett > Greg       Olsen
    
Cowboys at Saints, Sun., 8:30 p.m. ET
Maybe Rob Ryan can make up for losing to his brother by beating his former employer. Ryan will obviously have familiarity with the Cowboys personnel and the basics of their scheme but the Cowboys' brass will have a much better knowledge of what to expect from Ryan, whose defense has begun to slump in recent weeks.
No-brainers: Tony Romo, Dez Bryant; Drew Brees, Jimmy Graham
       DeMarco Murray, RB, Cowboys: My Projection: 10 FPTS
I 
      don't know how the Cowboys can manage to give Murray just four carries 
      last week but they should strongly reconsider making amends this week. 
      That's because the Saints have allowed 125 rushing yards per game and 
      four touchdowns (at least one per game) to running backs over their last 
      three. It appears three AFC East teams have found the weakness of Ryan's 
      defense. Murray's track record when he gets a lot of carries is well 
      known and it would make a lot of sense for the Cowboys to lean on him to 
      try and get an early lead on the Saints at their place. Last week was 
      disappointing but coach Jason Garrett has already said the team will 
      "strive" for balance this week.
 I'd start him over:  Mike       James, Lamar Miller, Giovani       Bernard
    
       Terrance Williams, WR, Cowboys: My Projection: 10 FPTS
Something 
      weird happened last week: Williams didn't score a touchdown. OK, maybe 
      it's not weird that he didn't come up with a score in what would have 
      been a fifth straight game but chances are he can get back on the board 
      this week. The Saints have allowed six touchdowns to receivers this year 
      but four have come in their last four games. The Saints are also giving 
      up 172.0 yards per game to receivers, a number the Cowboys might aim to 
      top given the matchup and the need to put up some points.
 I'd 
      start him over:  Jordy Nelson, Marvin       Jones
    
       Jason Witten, TE, Cowboys: My Projection: 11 FPTS
I 
      whiffed badly on Witten last week because I didn't think the Cowboys 
      would need him. In the first half he was nearly invisible, catching two 
      passes for 13 yards as the Cowboys were down 10-6. Then Romo found 
      Witten on back to back plays for 52 yards and a touchdown to pull ahead. 
      Point is, when Romo needed to move the chains and put up points, he 
      found his trusted tight end. This matchup against the Saints suggests 
      he'll need him again. The Saints haven't allowed a tight end to score 
      since Week 4, though the only "name" tight end in that group was Martellus       Bennett.
 I'd start him over:  Timothy       Wright, Jordan Reed
    
       Pierre Thomas, RB, Saints: My Projection: 8 FPTS
  Darren       Sproles, RB, Saints: My Projection: 6 FPTS
The Cowboys 
      run defense has been brutalized of late, allowing 116.6 rush yards, 54.6 
      receiving yards and five rushing touchdowns over their last five games. 
      A normal play caller might see those numbers and attack with a huge dose 
      of the run but Sean Payton has Drew Brees 
      and Jimmy Graham at his disposal, so 
      there will be a lot of passing. On the year Saints running backs are 
      averaging 19 carries per game but also 10.6 catches per game, so they'll 
      get a lot of use. How it will be split between them and also Mark       Ingram might drive Fantasy owners nuts.
 Flow chart:  Steven       Jackson > Pierre Thomas > Ben       Tate > Darren Sproles > 
      Panthers RBs
    
       Kenny Stills, WR, Saints: My Projection: 8 FPTS
  Lance       Moore, WR, Saints: My Projection: 7 FPTS
Dallas' defense 
      has yielded 192.7 receiving yards per game to receivers this season, a 
      number that fits right into the Saints agenda. The problem is that Jimmy       Graham will eat into those stats some because he's more 
      receiver than tight end. What helps these guys is playing at home: 
      Stills has averaged 63.3 yards per game with two touchdowns in the 
      Superdome while Moore has long been a more appealing Fantasy choice. If Marques       Colston plays then both guys take a further hit since he 
      should, in theory, take targets away from both.
 Flow chart:  Cecil       Shorts > Kenny Stills > Rueben       Randle > Lance Moore > 
      Titans WRs
    
Dolphins at Buccaneers, Mon., 8:40 p.m. ET
The Bucs nearly won last week with a big dose of the run game and sharp play by quarterback Mike Glennon. They can do the same thing this week against a weaker defense and potentially pull off the first win of the season. I would expect a staunch effort from the Dolphins after dealing with off-field distractions all week, so it won't be easy for the Bucs.
       Ryan Tannehill, QB, Dolphins: My Projection: 17 FPTS
Tannehill 
      is still looking for his first game of the season with 20-plus Fantasy 
      points. He'll look for it against a Bucs defense that has allowed at 
      least 25 Fantasy points to four straight quarterbacks. The catch is that 
      those quarterbacks have all been prominent names, the least known being Nick       Foles. Additionally, three of those four have rushed for a 
      touchdown to help push their stats north. It's possible Tannehill runs 
      for a score for a second straight week and he has thrown for multiple 
      touchdowns in three of his last six but turnovers and the basic fact 
      that he hasn't done it yet this year make him a risk.
 Bye-week QB 
      Flow chart:  Case Keenum > Carson       Palmer > Ryan Tannehill > Jake       Locker > Mike Glennon
    
       Lamar Miller, RB, Dolphins: My Projection: 10 FPTS
Over 
      the last two weeks Miller has had at least 16 carries and three catches 
      per game with good yardage averages. The coaching staff has finally seen 
      what we've seen and has dedicated the run game to him. At least it seems 
      that way. Please let it stay that way. The Bucs' run defense has allowed 
      10-plus Fantasy points to five running backs in their last four games, 
      proof positive that the Dolphins can get some good production out of 
      Miller assuming they give him the workload.
 I'd start him over:  Ray       Rice, Peyton Hillis
    
       Brian Hartline, WR, Dolphins: My Projection: 8 FPTS
  Mike       Wallace, WR, Dolphins: My Projection: 8 FPTS
The Bucs 
      started using Darrelle Revis against 
      opposing No. 1 receivers two weeks ago. In that time those wideouts have 
      been slammed for under 50 yards per game with no touchdowns. But last 
      week it was supporting receivers to score on the Seahawks and post 
      10-plus Fantasy points. That could make Hartline a sneaky sleeper this 
      week while Wallace, who has 10 Fantasy points or less in six straight, 
      might spend Monday on some sort of island.
 I'd rather start:  Emmanuel       Sanders, Golden Tate
    
       Charles Clay, TE, Dolphins: My Projection: 6 FPTS
Clay 
      has been under 10 Fantasy points for three straight weeks, scoring once 
      in that span. Worse yet, he has just 66 yards on nine catches in those 
      last three contests. The Bucs have allowed just one touchdown in their 
      last six games to a tight end, holding down the likes of Tony       Gonzalez and Greg Olsen to 
      under 50 receiving yards each. Clay will need to find the end zone to be 
      a beneficial Fantasy option.
 I'd rather start:  Heath       Miller, Coby Fleener
    
       Mike Glennon, QB, Buccaneers: My Projection: 14 FPTS
Glennon's 
      been great -- over his last four games he's totaled seven touchdowns 
      versus one interception with an average of 243 yards per game. He's hit 
      the 19-point mark in three of four. But the Dolphins' cornerbacks have 
      played very well all year and will make things tough on Glennon. This 
      could be a tough game for the rookie.
 I'd rather start:  Carson       Palmer, Matt Ryan
    
       Mike James, RB, Buccaneers: My Projection: 10 FPTS
James 
      was very impressive last week, romping the Seahawks in Seattle for 158 
      yards on 28 carries. That game should instill some confidence in the 
      coaching staff to lean on James in this game against a Dolphins defense 
      that has had a hard time wrapping up running backs. Miami has allowed 
      13-plus Fantasy points to running backs in each of their last seven 
      games! It would be a shocker if he had fewer than 15 carries and also 
      struggled.
 I'd start him over:  Lamar       Miller, Giovani Bernard
    
       Vincent Jackson, WR, Buccaneers: My Projection: 10 FPTS
Jackson's 
      due for a good game after struggling for two weeks in a row but it might 
      have to wait until Week 12 vs. the Falcons. That's because the Dolphins 
      have been incredible vs. receivers: Only one has caught a touchdown and 
      only four have gone over 100 yards (A.J. Green did it last week). If 
      Glennon goes back to targeting Jackson over and over then he could be 
      the fifth receiver to hit the century mark but it'll be a challenge for 
      him to score.
 I'd rather start:  Alshon       Jeffery, Antonio Brown
    
       Timothy Wright, TE, Buccaneers: My Projection: 9 FPTS
I'm 
      looking for a big game from Wright. The Dolphins have allowed six 
      touchdowns to tight ends on the season. A lot of that has come from 
      early in the year but Wright has basically played the role of Tony       Gonzalez or Greg Olsen the past 
      few weeks. He's the No. 2 receiver for the Bucs and should see a good 
      amount of targets.
 I'd start him over:  Antonio       Gates, Martellus Bennett
    
Redskins at Vikings, Thu., 8:25 p.m. ET
I'd expect a lot of rushing from both teams. The Vikings got Adrian Peterson back into his usual workload last week and will aim to keep him going to stay competitive. The Redskins have the talent to attack either way and while their passing game is superior, they will test the Vikings' front seven and probably use play-action after establishing the run.
No-brainers: Alfred Morris, Pierre Garcon; Adrian Peterson
       Robert Griffin III, QB, Redskins: My Projection: 20 FPTS
I 
      didn't like that last week Griffin attempted one pass and one rush 
      inside the opponent's 10-yard line over 11 plays. I also don't like that 
      his rushing production has dwindled back to early-season levels, which 
      isn't good. It could be because he got banged up in games against the 
      Bears and Broncos and the Redskins just want to keep him upright. The 
      Vikings have allowed multiple passing touchdowns and thus 20-plus 
      Fantasy points to 6 of 8 quarterbacks this season, something Griffin's 
      done just once in his last six games. Turnovers might not be an issue 
      for him -- the Vikings secondary has just three of the team's eight 
      interceptions on the year, two by injured safety Harrison       Smith.
 Flow chart:  Nick Foles 
      > Eli Manning > Robert       Griffin III > Andy Dalton > Ben       Roethlisberger
    
       Jordan Reed, TE, Redskins: My Projection: 9 FPTS
Last 
      week was the first time in five games and second time all season that 
      Reed didn't pick up six-plus targets. Worse yet he had three targets on 
      the Skins' first drive and then was barely heard from again. He 
      definitely saw a lot of action (75 pct. of the snaps) so it wasn't an 
      injury or anything else. Hopefully he gets more work against a Vikings 
      defense that allowed a huge game to Jason Witten 
      last week and at least seven Fantasy points to every tight end that's 
      had eight-plus targets. All of the other tight ends to face Minnesota 
      have had four or less. Reed seems like a good Fantasy option.
 I'd 
      start him over:  Antonio Gates, Martellus       Bennett
    
       Greg Jennings, WR, Vikings: My Projection: 6 FPTS
All 
      but three of the No. 1 receivers to play Washington this year have 
      posted 10-plus Fantasy points so far. But a lot of those guys were 
      sneaky and/or dominant. Jennings is neither. Take away Jennings' wild 
      game against the Steelers in London back in Week 4 and he's not only had 
      eight points or less in every game but five points or less in all except 
      for two total. He's just not the same receiver he once was and even with 
      a fair matchup there's just not much confidence in him.
 I'd rather 
      start:  Steve Johnson, Lance       Moore
    
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