Week 14 is a strange week in Fantasy Football. In my leagues it seems about a third to half of the league has something to play for. The rest of the league is either eliminated or has already locked up their bye or playoff spot. I can't help those of you eliminated, and the rest of this article is for those teams that are fighting for position in Week 14. But at the top I would like to offer some help for those teams who have already locked in their playoff seeding.
For starters, congratulations. Now, let's take a look at the playoff schedule at the wide receiver position. This is a position where we need stashes to emerge more than any other. I don't have 24 wide receivers I want to start this week. But I do have a few lower end guys I believe could emerge.
It will not surprise any of you to learn that Luther Burden is at the top of that list. He still leads the Bears in yards per route run (2.20), targets per route run (22.8%), and yards per target (9.65). He has played half of the offensive snaps each of the last two weeks. If we could bump that up to 67% I truly believe we could have a must-start wide receiver. And he is still only rostered in 25% of leagues.
Fellow rookie Pat Bryant is even less rostered at 5%. In Week 13 he ran 77.1% of the Broncos routes, playing over Troy Franklin for the first time all season. He has 13 targets in his last two games and scored 13.2 Fantasy points against the Chiefs in Week 11. Denver is at home in Week 16 and Week 17 and Bo Nix has been much better playing in Denver. I don't think he is as likely to break out as Burden, but his roster rate should be much higher.
Other rookies I would like to stash are Jayden Higgins, Isaac TeSlaa, Matthew Golden. Also, the top guy on the waiver wire this week could be better than all these guys, but I put him in the section below because you could also start him this week.
29.8% -- In his last three games Adonai Mitchell has a 29.8% target rate. That ranks sixth in the NFL. Make sure he is rostered in your league.
85.7% -- Since joining the JaguarsJakobi Meyers has caught 85.7% of his targets. I am starting him as. WR2 this week.
27.6 -- Michael Wilson averaged 27.6 PPR FPPG in two games without Marvin Harrison Jr. If Harrison is out this week, start Wilson.
33 -- A.J. Brown has 33 targets in his last three games. He's back.
2.27 -- Christian Watson is averaging 2.27 yards per route run this year and has been the Packers number one target as of late. Start him in Week 14.
8 -- Emeka Egbuka has been frustrating iin the second half, but he still has at least eight targets in six straight games. I am not going away from him.
31.1% -- Terry McLaurin led the Commanders with a 31% target share in his return despite playing less than half the snaps. I am starting him this week.
All year long we have lamented the weakness of the wide receiver position. In Week 14 the rarest of things could save us. We have a player who is 5% rostered who is top six in target share over the past three weeks and just finished as WR6 in Week 13. Mitchell is a an outstanding route runner who seemingly always gets open and often disappoints when the ball comes his way. He is the top waiver add at any position this week and worth whatever FAB you have left if you are desperate at wide receiver. Over the next three weeks he faces the Dolphins, the Saints, and the Jaguars. Those aren't all great matchups on paper, but there isn't a shutdown corner in his future.
Wicks doesn't have the rest of season upside that Mitchell does, but he outscored him in Week 13. View him as a touchdown dependent flex and hope the Bears put the Packers in a position to pass the ball a little more in Week 14.
Vele has 15 targets in his last two games and looks like the clear WR2 in this offense behind Chris Olave. The Saints are perpetually playing from behind and they are an up temp offense, so there is a reasonable chance for seven targets per game from Vele rest of season. I am not sure he has much upside, but he should have a decent floor that keeps him in the borderline WR3 conversation.
Assuming Marvin Harrison is out, Wilson will be the chalk you don't want to fade at the wide receiver position. He had 33 targets in two games without Harrison and scored more than 21 Fantasy points in both. Because Harrison came back last week, Wilson's price is all the way down at $5,700. He's a top-12 receiver without Harrison.
Yes, Jefferson has been a disaster lately. More accurately, his QBs have been awful. That's why he's cheap and that's why no one wants to play him. But the Commanders have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL and Jefferson is still an elite wide receiver. It only takes a few accurate passes from McCarthy and Jefferson can do the rest of the work.
WR Preview
Heath's Projections
My full set of Week 14 Fantasy football projections for every position are now available on Sportsline. You'll find them here. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 14. Projected stats for all starting wide receivers are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.