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Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry combined for nearly 4,000 rushing yards last year, while Ja'Marr Chase won the Receiving Triple Crown, but it was Jahmyr Gibbs who topped the NFL with 20 touchdowns. With the timeshare between him and David Montgomery now leaning in Gibbs favor, he's on the shortlist for consideration as the top overall pick in 2025 Fantasy football drafts. However, Ben Johnson no longer calling plays in Detroit can't be overlooked and could have a ripple effect for Detroit's playmakers as Fantasy football picks 2025.

New Lions' OC, John Morton, called plays at the NFL level just one year, with the 2017 Jets, and they ranked bottom 10 in both yards and points. The talent is certainly different with Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Gibbs and Montgomery around, but taking head coach and OC changes into account is an underrated component of a winning Fantasy football strategy. Before setting your 2025 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2025 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud might take a step back in his second season. He finished as QB18 and anybody who avoided drafting him early dodged a major headache in their Fantasy football lineups. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020, nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021 and calling Rachaad White's breakout in 2023. Additionally, it has called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. 

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2025 Fantasy football rankings for PPR and non-PPR leagues, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2025 Fantasy football sleepers

One of the 2025 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Browns tight end David Njoku. The 29-year-old is coming off the best per-game season of his career, finishing as the TE4 in Fantasy points per game. He missed seven games with hamstring and ankle issues, which have kept him under the radar heading into the 2025 season.

Njoku ranked fifth in target share and seventh in receiving yards per game among 47 qualified tight ends, per Fantasy Points Data. He was the TE2 in PPR Fantasy points per game in five appearances with quarterback Joe Flacco in 2023, and Flacco is set to be the starter in Cleveland this season. The model has Njoku ranked ahead of tight ends like Mark Andrews, Darren Waller and T.J. Hockenson, who are all going off the board before him in average Fantasy drafts. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2025 here.

Top 2025 Fantasy football breakouts

One of the 2025 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Bears receiver Rome Odunze. Drafted No. 9 overall in 2024, Odunze disappointed as rookie with a stat line of 54-734-3. He was a clear third in the Bears' pecking order, but with Keenan Allen's departure, Odunze moves up a spot. He did excel in one aspect and that's getting downfield as his average depth of target of 13.9 yards was second-best in the NFL amongst those with 50-plus receptions.

Part of Odunze's underwhelming stats came from a disjointed Bears offense, but that should be improved with Ben Johnson's arrival and Caleb Williams having a year under his belt. Odunze was targeted 15 times in the endzone in 2024, which was seventh-most in the NFL, despite him ranking 37th in total targets, so Williams clearly likes him in that all-important area. The biggest progression in an NFL player's career is often between his first and second seasons, so this combo of factors makes Odunze a 2025 Fantasy football breakout candidate. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2025 here.

Top 2025 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Titans wide receiver Calvin Ridley as one of its 2025 Fantasy football busts. Ridley missed the 2022 season due to a gambling suspension, but he has recorded back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons since returning. He finished with 1,017 receiving yards and four touchdowns last year, despite dealing with mediocre quarterback play.

He could take a step forward with rookie quarterback Cam Ward at the helm, but his current ADP is relying too heavily on that outcome. The Titans also added Tyler Lockett and Van Jefferson to their roster this offseason, and there may be continuity issues with the offensive line with just one returnee starting in the same spot as last year. SportsLine's model has Ridley ranked behind receivers like Courtland Sutton, Jakobi Meyers and Jerry Jeudy, who are all available later in most Fantasy drafts. See more Fantasy football busts 2025 here.

How to find proven 2025 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising wide receiver you aren't even thinking about being taken in the early rounds of 2025 Fantasy football drafts. This wide receiver is listed as a shocking top-15 option ahead of stars like A.J. Brown and Tyreek Hill. You can only see who it is, and the 2025 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2025 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which WR shocks the NFL with a top-15 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2025 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called C.J. Stroud's disappointing sophomore season in 2024, and find out.