Fantasy football rankings 2025: Sleepers, breakouts and busts by model that predicted Stroud's rough year

Jordan Love had monumental pressure on him when he took over as the Packers' starting quarterback in 2023 after two legends in Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers preceded him. After playing behind Rodgers for two years, Love proved ready for the starting role, leading the Packers to a 9-8 season and a postseason victory over second-seeded Dallas after throwing for 4,159 yards during the season. Last year, the Packers went 9-6 in Love's 15 games, and the Packers lost to the eventual Super Bowl champion Eagles in the first round of the playoffs. Love was QB5 in Fantasy football in 2023 before finishing as QB17 last year, so which version of Love should you expect when entering 2025 Fantasy football drafts?

Love was one of the first 10 quarterbacks selected in nearly every Fantasy football draft last season, but after his passing yards per game decreased from 244.6 per game to 225.9 last year, can you rely on Love as your QB1 in the 2025 Fantasy football season? Fantasy football rankings drastically change annually, and the 2025 Fantasy football rankings are no different, as it's a challenge to weigh the previous season with the year before and then project what's to occur next. Before setting your 2025 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2025 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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Last year, the model accurately predicted that Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud might take a step back in his second season. He finished as QB18 and anybody who avoided drafting him early dodged a major headache in their Fantasy football lineups. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020, nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021 and calling Rachaad White's breakout in 2023. Additionally, it has called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. 

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2025 Fantasy football rankings for PPR and non-PPR leagues, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2025 Fantasy football sleepers

One of the 2025 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Seahawks running back Zach Charbonnet. Despite being the RB2 on Seattle's depth chart, the model views Charbonnet as a top 30 Fantasy football running back, in part due to the starter's inability to play a full season. Kenneth Walker III has missed at least two games in all three of his NFL seasons, including missing six games last year. Charbonnet played at least 75% of snaps in all six games Walker missed last season, and averaged 100.3 total yards per game during those contests.

Whether you draft Walker or not, Charbonnet is a valuable top 30 running back because history shows he'll get opportunities and that he'll produce when given those chances. The third-year running back had nine touchdowns last season, including three in games Walker played, so he has a role even with Walker on the field. The Seahawks didn't make any significant running back signings and waited until the seventh round in the 2025 NFL Draft to select one, so there shouldn't be any significant challengers to Walker and Charbonnet for touches. When Walker's sidelined, Charbonnet becomes a must-start and given his ADP, the model views Charbonnet as a viable 2025 Fantasy football sleeper. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2025 here.

Top 2025 Fantasy football breakouts

One of the 2025 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty. Selected sixth overall in the NFL Draft, Jeanty joins Las Vegas after a standout college career at Boise State, where he amassed over 1,800 total yards and 19 touchdowns in his final collegiate season. Known for his exceptional balance, tackle-breaking ability, and reliable hands as a pass-catcher, Jeanty brings a versatile, three-down skill set to the pro level.

He's expected to be the focal point of the Raiders' ground game from Day 1 and could flourish under new offensive coordinator Chip Kelly, who has a strong track record of getting the most out of explosive running backs. First-year head coach Pete Carroll is also known for emphasizing the run, making Jeanty's situation even more appealing. With his all-around ability and favorable offensive scheme, Jeanty has the potential to be a Fantasy football gamechanger right out of the gate. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2025 here.

Top 2025 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson as one of its 2025 Fantasy football busts. Wilson posted three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons to begin his career despite spotty quarterback play in New York, with Zach Wilson struggling and Aaron Rodgers failing to live up to expectations at an advanced age. Now he'll be reunited with former Ohio State teammate Justin Fields and there's at least some optimism for their chemistry to help improve Wilson's production.

However, Fields-led offenses in Chicago and Pittsburgh haven't exactly been high-flying. As a starter, he has averaged just 175.2 passing yards per game during his career and in the only season where he started at least 15 games, Cole Kmet led the Bears in catches (50), yards (544) and touchdowns (7). Fields should elevate the New York running game and Wilson will be his favorite target, but the model expects passing volume to be down and lists him as its WR25 despite the fact that he's been the 15th receiver off the board on average. See more Fantasy football busts 2025 here.

How to find proven 2025 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising wide receiver you aren't even thinking about being taken in the early rounds of 2025 Fantasy football drafts. This wide receiver is listed as a shocking top-15 option ahead of stars like A.J. Brown and Tyreek Hill. You can only see who it is, and the 2025 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2025 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which WR shocks the NFL with a top-15 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2025 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called C.J. Stroud's disappointing sophomore season in 2024, and find out.