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PIkcing a tight end in your 2025 Fantasy football draft can be tricky, because a team with a strong passing game doesn't guarantee its tight end will produce a ton of fantasy points. Such was the case in 2024 for Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid, who is a talented player in Buffalo's pass-heavy offense, but was a TE15 in Fantasy football through Week 9. An injury derailed the rest of Kincaid's season, making him an overall Fantasy football bust.

If Kincaid can rebound in 2025, he could end up being a steal in Fantasy football drafts. Is drafting Kincaid worth the risk, or are you better off drafting a tight end with less of a chance of being a Fantasy football bust? Before finalizing your 2025 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2025 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert would fall well short of his ADP (RB23). The result: A season after rushing for over 1,000 yards and scoring 21 total touchdowns despite sharing time with De'Von Achane, Mostert fell out of favor in Miami and finished as RB60 after managing only 439 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020, nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021 and correctly predicting C.J. Stroud would take a step back in 2024. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. 

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2025, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2025 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2025 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco. A seventh-round pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, Pacheco quickly earned Andy Reid's trust with his hard-charging running style, and wound up leading Kansas City in rushing in 2022 and 2023. However, he's coming off an injury-plagued season in 2024 and there are other issues with his game as well.

His 17.9% route participation ranked 54th among NFL running backs in 2024 and his 8.4% juke rate ranked 55th. That lack of reliability as a receiver and an inability to make tacklers miss led to the Chiefs favoring Kareem Hunt down the stretch last season. Hunt is back to vy for touches and the organization also signed Elijah Mitchell and drafted Brashard Smith this offseason. Those are all big reasons why the model ranks Pacheco as its RB40 despite the fact that he's the 26th running back off the board on average in early 2025 Fantasy football drafts.

Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2025 have identified: Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill. After four straight seasons of posting over 1,200 receiving yards, Hill took a few steps back in 2024 when he only totaled 959 yards on 81 receptions and six touchdowns through 17 games. An early-season thumb injury was the culprit last year, and he has already been questionable in 2025 preseason play because of an oblique injury.

Hill also turns 31 this season, so his speed and endurance also come into question. He was considered a WR1 for several seasons, but last year's letdown has impacted his ADP heading into 2025. He is no longer considered a first-round Fantasy football draft acquisition, making him one of the Fantasy football busts to avoid. See which other Fantasy football busts 2025 to pick here.

How to find proven 2025 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also fading one of the first five running backs off the board in early 2025 Fantasy football drafts. The model ranks this player falling outside the top 10 entirely and failing to live up to his first-round price tag. You can only see who it is, and the 2025 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2025 Fantasy Football busts should you be steering clear of? And which first-round RB shockingly falls out of the top 10 of the positional rankings? Visit SportsLine now to get 2025 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that helped managers avoid a disastrous Raheem Mostert season in 2024.

2025 Fantasy football ADP

(PPR, via CBS)

1. Ja'Marr Chase (1.70)
2. Bijan Robinson (2.59)
3. Saquon Barkley (3.15)
4. Jahmyr Gibbs (3.91)
5. CeeDee Lamb (7.23)
6. Justin Jefferson (7.44)
7. Derrick Henry (8.28)
8. Christian McCaffrey (9.14)
9. Ashton Jeanty (11.63)
10. Josh Jacobs (12.05)