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Only the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles exited Week 4 with undefeated records, while three teams (Saints, Jets, Titans) are still pursuing their first victories in the Week 5 NFL schedule. At DraftKings, sports bettors can wager on these trends to continue or fortunes to reverse in simply betting a winner, or hundreds of other NFL betting options with the latest DraftKings promo code, which offers new users $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins when online sports betting.
The SportsLine model recommends backing one of these trends to continue convincingly, with the Bills covering an 8.5-point spread as home favorites against the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football as one of its Sunday best bets at DraftKings. The Bills are 7-3 over the last five seasons against the Patriots. The model is expecting multiple dominating victories in the Week 5 NFL schedule, including the Lions (-10.5) covering against the Bengals in its Sunday best bets at DraftKings in 57% of simulations. The model is also projecting the Commanders vs. Chargers (-2.5) to go Over 47.5 points as quarterback Jayden Daniels returns to the lineup, also in 57% of simulations. Claim the latest DraftKings promo code here, where new users get $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
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The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and is a profitable 37-24 combined on money-line and over/under college football picks since the beginning of 2024. Anybody following its college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Sunday best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Lions (-10.5) vs. Bengals
- Commanders vs. Chargers Over 47.5 total points
- Bills -8.5 vs. Patriots
Combining the model's three picks into a Saturday college football parlay at DraftKings would result in a payout of +634 (risk $100 to win $634). Bet it at DraftKings here:
Lions (-10.5) vs. Bengals
Any panic around the Lions following their 27-13 loss to the Packers in Week 1 in the first game since losing offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn to head coaching jobs this offseason has certainly subsided with a 31-point victory against the Bears, a 24-point victory against the Browns and knocking off the Baltimore Ravens, 38-30, on the road to improve to 3-1. The Lions have scored at least 34 points in three straight games, averaging 41.3 ppg in those contests. Meanwhile, the Bengals have scored only one touchdown in the last two weeks, with Jake Browning taking over for Joe Burrow (toe). The model projects the Lions to cover the spread in 52% of simulations for this 4:25 p.m. ET start.
Commanders vs. Chargers Over 47.5
Not having Jayden Daniels in the lineup hasn't led to a significant downgrade for the Washington offense, but the Commanders will certainly welcome the return of their electrifying quarterback. Daniels (knee) returns on Sunday after missing the last two games, but the Commanders still averaged 34 points per game without Daniels. The Chargers defense offers a tougher challenge than the Raiders and Falcons, though, and Washington had the No. 6 offense in the NFL last year (28.8 ppg) with Daniels as QB1. Meanwhile, Justin Herbert is off to a strong start with the Chargers, who are more pass-heavy this year than in recent seasons. The Chargers are fifth in the NFL in passing yards per game (249 yards), while Washington ranks 27th in passing defense, allowing 248.5 passing yards per game. The model projects the Over to hit in 57% of simulations.
Bills -8.5 vs. Patriots
The Bills (4-0) have won three straight games by at least 10 points, and the model projects that trend to continue on Sunday Night Football. Buffalo has won four straight against the Patriots at home, and covered this spread in two of the four contests. The Bills have the No. 2 scoring offense (33.3 ppg) and rank second in yards per contest (404 yards) behind a balanced offensive attack with Josh Allen at quarterback and James Cook leading the backfield. Cook is second in the NFL in rushing yards (401) with at least one touchdown in all four games. Meanwhile, the Patriots (2-2) lost the only game they've played this season against a team that made the playoffs last year, falling to the Steelers, 21-14, at home. Opposing teams are completing 71.2% of passes against New England, the fourth-worst completion percentage against in the NFL, leading the model to project the Bills to cover the spread in 68% of simulations.
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