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The Week 5 NFL schedule includes a handful of high-profile matchups and right now you can use BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS to receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses or $150 in bonus bets if your first bet of $10 or more wins depending on where you live. Seahawks vs. Buccaneers, Bengals vs. Lions and Chargers vs. Commanders all feature teams that are above .500 playing in the late window.

Picks from all three of those games are among our Sunday NFL best bets on BetMGM Sportsbook today from the SportsLine Projection Model and our team of experts. Get the newest BetMGM bonus code and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos. Get started now:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every game 10,000 times. The model is on a sizzling 39-20 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024 and is a profitable 37-24 combined on money-line and over/under college football picks since the beginning of 2024. Anybody following its college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.  

Best Sunday NFL predictions at BetMGM

  • Buccaneers money line vs. Seahawks (-+155)
  • David Montgomery Over 53.5 rushing yards (-110)
  • Over 47 points: Chargers vs. Commanders (-110)

Combining these three picks into a Sunday NFL parlay at BetMGM would result in a payout of +581 (risk $100 to win $581). Bet it at BetMGM here:

Buccaneers money line vs. Seahawks (+155)

Bucky Irving and Mike Evans are both out, but Tampa Bay's offensive depth gives it a fighting chance in this matchup. Rachaad White will slide back into the starting role at running back after piling up over 2,500 scrimmage yards and scoring 18 touchdowns the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Chris Godwin returned from a knee injury last week and Emeka Egbuka has emerged as a NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate to soften the blow of losing Evans. Seattle has been turnover-prone and that's a big reason why the model has Tampa Bay winning in 45% of simulations despite an implied win probability of 40%.

David Montgomery over 53.5 total rushing yards in Lions vs. Bengals (-110)

"Lions RB David Montgomery is excited to be playing for the first time in his hometown of Cincinnati. Montgomery grew up rooting for the Bengals, but is likely to be their nemesis in this matchup. The Bengals have allowed 150+ rushing yards to opposing RBs in consecutive weeks," SportsLine NFL expert Daniel Vithlani said. "Montgomery has spoken in interviews about his sister (who was paralyzed in a car accident) coming to watch him play this Sunday. He will have all the motivation in the world to go off for a big game, and I expect a player's coach like Dan Campbell to feed him the rock, knowing what this game means to him. I like Monty to surpass this rushing yards total, and to score against Cincy."

Over 47 points: Chargers vs. Commanders (-110)

Justin Herbert looked out of sorts in a stunning loss to the Giants last week, but he'd been playing arguably the best football of his career leading up to that point. Meanwhile, the Commanders are expected to get Jayden Daniels back after he missed the last two weeks with a knee injury. This has the potential to be a great quarterback duel and the model predicts that the Over hits in 53% of simulations.

Want more college football picks for Sunday, October 5?

You've seen some of the model's Sunday best bets. Now, get against the spread, total and money-line picks for every college football game on the schedule, all from the model that's simulated every game 10,000 times. 

Also at SportsLine:

You can also see weekend MLB picks from legendary handicapper Bruce Marshall, who is 171-150-3 (+3666) over his last 324 MLB picks. See his best bets right here.