Ravens vs. Dolphins: NFL player props for Derrick Henry, De'Von Achane for Thursday Night Football Week 9
Two of the best running backs in the NFL will be on display in Thursday Night Football, but is Derrick Henry or De'Von Achane the better play for player props?
Two great running backs who get it done in different ways square off on Thursday Night Football in Week 9 Derrick Henry and the Baltimore Ravens head to South Beach for a date with De'Von Achane and the Miami Dolphins. Henry is a bruising back who will be a Hall of Famer when it's all said and done, while Achane is a speedster who can break away from any defender in the league. Henry isn't putting up the lofty numbers we're used to, but he's averaging 4.7 yards a carry and is on his way to another 1,000-yard campaign. He should be able to take advantage of Lamar Jackson's return, too, and feast against a subpar Miami run defense. Achane is averaging 5.0 yards per carry this year and is a bright spot on a lackluster Dolphins team. He's scored seven touchdowns this year and showcased great receiving ability out of the backfield.
So which running back should you be backing when it comes to NFL player props? Here, we use the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, to help make our picks. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the SportsLine model's game forecast for Ravens vs. Dolphins in addition to its prop grades and expert picks and best bets.
Carries props
Derrick Henry: 17.5 (Over -116, Under -110)
De'Von Achane: 12.5 (Over -104, Under -122)
Top pick: Derrick Henry Over 17.5 carries (3 stars)
The model expects another big workload for Henry, who is projected to have 19.5 carries against the Dolphins. Henry has had 21 and 24 carries over his last two games, and perhaps the Ravens will lean on the star back to help ease Jackson back into action since he's been out for roughly a month.
Rushing yards props
Derrick Henry: 89.5 (Over -113, Under -111)
De'Von Achane: 56.5 (Over -112, Under -112)
Top pick: Derrick Henry Over 89.5 rushing yards (3.5 stars)
Neither of these defenses have performed well this year, but with Jackson back, the advantage offensively is with Baltimore. Henry has cleared this line just twice this year, but once was two games ago. Miami is also allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game this year, which bodes well for Henry in this matchup.
