Free MLB player props, odds for August 3: Use Oneil Cruz, Jacob deGrom and Cal Raleigh in Sunday MLB props

Jacob deGrom enters Sunday with a 10-3 record on the season and a 2.55 ERA. He's made 21 starts already this season after making only 35 combined over the previous four years and has recorded 130 strikeouts over 123 2/3 innings, putting him in the conversation for the AL Cy Young Award. However, he hasn't matched up particularly well against a loaded Mariners lineup that includes Julio Rodriguez, Randy Arozarena and Cal Raleigh. That's a big reason why deGrom under 6.5 strikeouts (+114 in the latest MLB odds) is one of our top MLB player props for Sunday.

We're also playing Oneil Cruz to steal a base (+215) and Cal Raleigh to homer (+280), and have included a complete list of best MLB prop bets. When it comes to MLB betting, MLB player props are a great way to find value at online sports betting sites. With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine's proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB prop picks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest Fanatics Sportsbook promo code, where new users can get 10x $100 No Sweat Bets in FanCash:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 19 of the 2025 MLB season a profitable 27-22 on top-rated MLB money-line picks. It has excelled in making home run prop picks this season, returning 47.3 units of profit entering Sunday. Anybody following its MLB picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Best Sunday MLB player prop picks:

• Oneil Cruz, Pirates, over 0.5 stolen bases (+215 at DraftKings). Bet at DraftKings and get $150 in bonus bets instantly.  
  
• Jacob deGrom, under 6.5 strikeouts (+114 at FanDuel). Bet at FanDuel and get $150 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins.   
• Cal Raleigh, Mariners, over 0.5 home runs (+280 at BetMGM). Bet at BetMGM and get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses. 

Oneil Cruz, Pirates, over 0.5 stolen bases (+215)

Cruz is known for his prodigious power and also having one of the strongest arms in MLB history, which makes it that much more ridiculous that he's 95th percentile among MLB players in sprint speed despite being 6-foot-7 and weighing 240 pounds. He's already stolen a career-high 34 bases this season and the model would set his line for stolen bases on Sunday at +156.

Jacob deGrom, Rangers, under 6.5 strikeouts (+100)

It's been a brilliant comeback season for deGrom, who only made 35 combined starts over the last four years while battling a multitude of injuries. However, his 9.5 K/9 rate is his lowest since 2016 and he hasn't been particularly good against the Mariners this season. He's made two starts against them and has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and only seven strikeouts over nine innings.

Cal Raleigh, Mariners, over 0.5 home runs (+280)

The calendar just turned to August and Raleigh has already set an MLB record for most home runs by a switch-hitting catcher. His 42 homers this year leads the MLB and the Home Run Derby champion hasn't looked phase in the second half like some HR Derby participants can be. He has four home runs over his last 10 games and the model sets his line to homer today at +228 while multiple books have him priced as high as +280. You can bet this prop at bet365, where you can get $150 in bonus bets with a $5 bet. 

MLB HR, stolen base, strikeouts prop cheat sheet

The SportsLine Model was developed and is powered by the Inside the Lines team. You can find all of the team's picks and content at our blog, which has all our personal best bets for free. The system is simple. We take the strongest SportLine Model projected values vs the best available prices at the time we publish our content. In most cases, lines move in 'our direction' so you should bookmark the blog, follow us on social, and make it a habit of checking for updates throughout the day to maximize your expected value. 

The table below shows today's projected leading Home Run, Stolen Base and Strikeout Leaders. We include the projection and for HRs and SBs the money line we'd set for over 0.5 a HR/SB. You can use this cheat sheet to compare it to your book's line and if your book's line is significantly higher than ours (and you like the player) then you would want to consider that bet. 

For example, Oneil Cruz is projected for the 3rd most HRs but most SBs today. You can get him Yes to hit a HR at +280 on FanDuel. But there is more money line unit value on his stolen base yes at bet365 who is charging +225. Our HR lines are only 3 percentage points different (we have it at 26%, +280 implies 29%). The difference in our SB implied % is more significant at 39% for our model and 30.8% for the +225. For the Starting Pitcher's strikeouts compare our line to the betting line. If we have 5.4 and the line is 5.5 it could be good value if the under is +100 or more. But if it's -120 then not so much. Two of our leading Strikeout props are Framber Valdez and Jacob deGrom, both of which we lean under 6.5 Ks. The best deGrom under 6.5 is +140 on FanDuel who is charging -150 (Caesars -160) on that under. So if you were choosing between these 2 under plays we would go with deGrom.

More MLB picks for Sunday 

You've seen the model's MLB props for several players on Sunday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.

Need more from SportsLine? See today's best MLB picks from SportsLine's Bruce Marshall, who is on a 76-66-1 roll (+1580) on MLB picks.