Free BetMGM MLB player props, Aug. 12 odds: Best bets for $150 sportsbook bonus with bonus code CBSSPORTS
The Inside the Lines team has been dishing out nightly home run bets all season long -- up nearly 60 units on the year.

The Braves are in the midst of a disappointing season, but they have a chance to play spoiler against the NL East rival New York Mets on Tuesday. The Mets are fighting for a playoff spot but have lost 11 of their last 12 games. On Tuesday, the Braves will send right-hander Spencer Strider (5-9, 4.04 ERA) to the mound. Strider gave up 11 hits in just 4.2 innings of work in his last outing, but also recorded six strikeouts against the Brewers. Strider has now recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six starts. He is -115 to finish with over 6.5 strikeouts against the Mets on Tuesday, which is one of the MLB props that SportsLine's Inside the Lines team is targeting.
Other MLB prop bets to back at BetMGM Sportsbook on Tuesday include Oneil Cruz to steal a base (+275) and Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run (+300). When it comes to MLB betting, our model can help new users take advantage of the best sportsbook promos like the latest BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS, which awards new users up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses:
Best Tuesday MLB player prop picks:
- Oneil Cruz, Pirates, over 0.5 stolen bases (+275 at BetMGM).
- Kerry Carpenter, Tigers, over 0.5 home runs (+300 at BetMGM).
- Spener Strider, Braves, over 6.5 strikeouts (-115 at BetMGM).
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 21 of the 2025 MLB season a profitable 31-23 on top-rated MLB money-line picks. It has excelled in making home run prop picks this season, returning nearly 60 units of profit. Anybody following its MLB betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Oneil Cruz, Pirates, over 0.5 stolen bases (+275)
Cruz ranks second in the majors with 34 stolen bases this season, but his last successful stolen base came on July 25th. Cruz has recorded a hit in three of his last four games, so he's giving himself opportunities to swipe a bag consistently. On Tuesday, Cruz and the Pirates will face Freddy Peralta and the Milwaukee Brewers. Peralta has struggled with walks in recent weeks, walking 12 batters in his last four starts, and gave up seven hits in his last outing against Pittsburgh. Cruz has the third-highest stolen base projection with a model line of +250, but you can find this price at BetMGM and also use the latest BetMGM bonus code, offering up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if first bet loses:
Kerry Carpenter, Tigers, over 0.5 home runs (+300)
Carpenter went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run, two total runs scored and four RBI in Sunday's 9-5 win over the Angels. Carpenter has been productive at the plate in August, as he's batting .276 with four home runs and 10 RBI across 10 games this month. On Tuesday, Carperter and the Tigers take on the Chicago White Sox, a pitching staff that ranks 19th in the MLB with a 4.14 ERA. Bet on Carpenter to homer at BetMGM, where new users can get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if first bet loses:
Spencer Strider, Braves, over 6.5 strikeouts (-115)
Strider is at the top of the strikeout projections list despite averaging one less (6.0) in road starts vs. home and coming in under 6.5 strikeouts in his last two outings. However, Strider has had success against the Mets this season. In fact, Strider has recorded 16 K's in two starts against New York in 2025, giving up just seven hits and four earned runs across 11 innings. The model is predicting that Strider finishes with 7.19 strikeouts on average, creating value on the over. Bet this MLB prop at BetMGM, where new users can get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if their first bet loses:
MLB HR, stolen base, strikeouts prop cheat sheet
The SportsLine Model was developed and is powered by the Inside the Lines team. You can find all of the team's picks and content at our blog, which has all our personal best bets for free. The system is simple. We take the strongest SportsLine Model projected values vs the best available prices at the time we publish our content. In most cases, lines move in 'our direction' so you should bookmark the blog, follow us on social, and make it a habit of checking for updates throughout the day to maximize your expected value.
The table below shows today's projected leading Home Run, Stolen Base and Strikeout Leaders. We include the projection and for HRs and SBs the money line we'd set for YES HR/SB. You can use this cheat sheet to compare it to your book's line and if your book's line is significantly higher than ours (and you like the player) then you would want to consider that bet.
Spencer Strider is at the top of the strikeout projections list despite averaging 1 less (6.0) in road starts vs home and coming in under 6.5 his last 2 outings. Perhaps that means he's due. If you like over 6.5 the best price is Hard Rock at -115.
Talking about 'he's due' there's Oneil Cruz and his 3rd highest stolen base projection with a model line of +250. He has not stolen a base in his last 15 despite our liking (and losing on) his value for several of his last few games. There is a wide range of prices on him to have a SB with Fanatics offering just +270, but FanDuel all the way up to +410 due to this drought.
RANK | HR | SB | K |
8/12 | PLAYER | HR PROJ | PROP LINE | PLAYER | SB PROJ | PROP LINE | STARTER | K PROJ |
1 | Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.363 | +175 | Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.293 | +241 | Spencer Strider (ATL) | 7.19 |
2 | Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.343 | +192 | Jose Caballero (NYY) | 0.288 | +247 | Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.93 |
3 | Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.326 | +207 | Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.286 | +250 | Jack Flaherty (DET) | 6.56 |
4 | Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.291 | +244 | Luis Robert (CHW) | 0.275 | +264 | Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.08 |
5 | Riley Greene (DET) | 0.284 | +252 | Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.266 | +276 | Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.04 |
6 | Nick Kurtz (ATH) | 0.283 | +253 | Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.244 | +310 | George Kirby (SEA) | 5.89 |
7 | Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.26 | +285 | CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.242 | +313 | Robbie Ray (SF) | 5.89 |
8 | Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.245 | +308 | Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.231 | +333 | Jacob Lopez (ATH) | 5.8 |
9 | Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 0.241 | +315 | Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.22 | +355 | Shane Baz (TB) | 5.78 |
10 | Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.234 | +327 | David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.219 | +357 | Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.6 |
11 | Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.232 | +331 | Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.218 | +359 | Ben Brown (CHC) | 5.59 |
12 | Jasrado Chisholm (NYY) | 0.228 | +339 | Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.216 | +363 | Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.52 |
13 | Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.226 | +342 | Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.211 | +374 | Emmet Sheehan (LAD) | 5.25 |
14 | Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.224 | +346 | Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.205 | +388 | Dustin May (BOS) | 5.11 |
15 | Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.224 | +346 | Jasrado Chisholm (NYY) | 0.202 | +395 | Brady Singer (CIN) | 5.02 |
16 | Manny Machado (SD) | 0.223 | +348 | Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.2 | +400 | Dean Kremer (BAL) | 5.02 |
17 | Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.223 | +348 | Dylan Crews (WAS) | 0.199 | +403 | Victor Mederos (LAA) | 5.01 |
18 | Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.222 | +350 | Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.195 | +413 | Nestor Cortes (SD) | 4.99 |
19 | Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.221 | +352 | Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.191 | +424 | Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.71 |
20 | Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.219 | +357 | Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.19 | +426 | Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.7 |
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