Expect a Close Battle in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

St. Louis Blues vs Boston Bruins

The Bruins are favored to win based on simulations and the current odds, and home field advantage is a big reason why. The projected score is BOS 2.9 and STL 2.7, and Boston is winning 54% of simulations. At -169 on the moneyline, Vegas gives the Bruins a 63 percent chance of winning. The moneyline has moved from its opening value which indicates people are wagering more money on the Bruins to win. They both have 5 wins head-to-head in recent seasons but the Bruins get the large edge in profit at +-107 to 49 units. The average moneyline for the Bruins was -90 indicating they were slightly favored, on average. In these games the Bruins averaged 3.1 goals per game and the Blues 2.1.

EXPECTATIONSODDS o5VEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
St. Louis Blues+1502.22.739%46%2.1 (5 Wins)
Boston Bruins-1692.82.961%54%3.1 (5 Wins)

VEGAS is the expected score based on the moneylines and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the moneylines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups

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