Kansas City
Chiefs
Stadium Arrowhead Stadium
12-4-0 Overall | 5-1 AFC WEST 1st
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense115.9320.435.3
Defense132.1295.126.3
Schedule
Preseason
Week 2Sat  8/10
vs
Bengals
8:00pm
Week 3Sat  8/17
@
Steelers
7:30pm
Week 4Sat  8/24
vs
49ers
8:00pm
Week 5Thu  8/29
@
Packers
8:00pm
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/8
@
Jaguars
CBS1:00pm
Week 2Sun  9/15
@
Raiders
CBS4:05pm
Week 3Sun  9/22
vs
Ravens
CBS1:00pm
Week 4Sun  9/29
@
Lions
FOX1:00pm
Week 5Sun  10/6
vs
Colts
NBC8:20pm
Week 6Sun  10/13
vs
Texans
CBS1:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

2019 SEASON PROJECTION

The Chiefs 2019 season may look a lot like their 2018 season. Their neutral win percentage projects over 16 games to a similar record. Their current odds to win Super Bowl 54 are 6/1, 14.3%. Based on simulations they are a good bet to win the Super Bowl with a 16.7% chance. They are also a good bet to win the conference with a 27% chance at 3/1, 25%.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their 2018 season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 10.1 wins. Their 12 actual wins was above expectation. They won more games than expected at home and on the road. They went 5-3 on the road and were expected to win 4.2. Their 87.5% home win percentage was much better than expected (73.7%). Anyone who backed the Chiefs in all of their games on the money line would have earned a +121 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +240 profit risking 110 to win 100 (9-6 ATS). The Chiefs have turned an ATS profit on the road but have lost at home. Below is a recap of all 16 regular games.

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
73 Allegretti, Nick G6-431004/21/19960Illinois
51 Attaochu, Jeremiah LB6-325201/17/19936Georgia Tech
87 Bell, Blake TE6-625208/07/19915Oklahoma
64 Boyd, Dino T6-43000Cincinnati
21 Breeland, Bashaud DB5-1119501/30/19926Clemson
7 Butker, Harrison K6-320507/14/19953Georgia Tech
--- Caldwell, Josh RB5-112200Northwest Missouri State
55 Clark, Frank DE6-326506/14/19935Michigan
2 Colquitt, Dustin P6-321005/06/198215Tennessee
84 Custis, Jamal WR6-52130Syracuse
80 Davis, Felton WR6-321102/25/19970Michigan State
1 Davis, Rashard WR5-917509/14/19951James Madison
46 Davison, Raymond LB6-32250California
12 Dieter, Gehrig WR6-220802/24/19932Alabama
76 Duvernay-Tardif, Laurent G6-532102/11/19916McGill (Canada)
75 Erving, Cameron G6-531308/23/19925Florida State
27 Fenton, Rashad DB5-1119302/17/19970South Carolina
26 Fields, Mark CB5-1019210/10/19960Clemson
72 Fisher, Eric T6-731501/05/19917Central Michigan
1 Fortson, Jody TE6-422612/07/19950Valdosta State
6 Fox, Jack P6-222409/01/19960Rice
23 Fuller, Kendall CB5-1119802/13/19954Virginia Tech
75 Golditch, Zack G6-62600Colorado State
85 Grayson, Davon WR6-218709/05/19950East Carolina
74 Hamilton, Justin DT6-231507/27/19934Louisiana
17 Hardman, Mecole WR5-1018703/12/19980Georgia
50 Harris, Darius LB6-223802/11/20300Middle Tenn.
4 Henne, Chad QB6-322207/02/198512Michigan
10 Hill, Tyreek WR5-1018503/01/19944West Alabama
59 Hines, D'Juan LB6-123509/13/19942Houston
53 Hitchens, Anthony ILB6-023506/10/19926Iowa
60 Hunter, Ryan T6-532204/01/19951Bowling Green
34 Hyde, Carlos RB6-022909/20/19906Ohio State
90 Ivie, Joey DT6-329501/22/19951Florida
95 Jones, Chris DE6-631007/03/19944Mississippi State
30 Jones-Quartey, Harold DB5-1121008/06/19933Findlay
82 Keizer, Nick TE6-425105/02/19951Grand Valley State
87 Kelce, Travis TE6-526010/05/19897Cincinnati
19 Kemp, Marcus WR6-421008/14/19952Hawaii
92 Kpassagnon, Tanoh LB6-728906/14/19943Villanova
50 Lee, Darron ILB6-123210/18/19944Ohio State
8 Litton, Chase QB6-523310/05/19951Marshall
40 Lovett, John QB6-323002/11/20300Princeton
24 Lucas, Jordan SS6-019008/02/19934Penn State
15 Mahomes, Patrick QB6-323009/17/19953Texas Tech
38 Marshall, Marcus RB5-1020002/11/20300James Madison
32 Mathieu, Tyrann FS5-918505/13/19927LSU
52 McCray, Robert LB6-228003/24/19961Indiana
66 McKenzie, Kahlil G6-332001/03/19972Tennessee
41 Miller, Herb CB6-219011/11/19970Florida Atlantic
43 Monroe, Dakari DB5-1119102/11/20300San Jose State
70 Murphy, Pace T6-630803/02/19942Northwestern State-Louisiana
67 Murray, James C6-530405/05/19952Holy Cross
56 Niemann, Ben LB6-323307/27/19952Iowa
91 Nnadi, Derrick NT6-131705/09/19962Florida State
44 O'Daniel, Dorian LB6-122309/04/19942Clemson
90 Ogbah, Emmanuel DE6-427511/06/19934Oklahoma State
99 Okafor, Alex DE6-426102/08/19917Texas
--- Okeke, Chidi T6-531512/26/19960Tennessee State
--- Parker, Ron DB6-020608/17/19878Newberry
1 Pringle, Byron WR6-120511/17/19932Kansas State
59 Ragland, Reggie ILB6-225209/23/19934Alabama
30 Reaser, Keith CB6-019007/31/19913Florida Atlantic
62 Reiter, Austin C6-330011/27/19914South Florida
11 Robinson, Demarcus WR6-120309/21/19944Florida
99 Saunders, Khalen DT6-032408/09/19960Western Illinois
71 Schwartz, Mitchell T6-532006/08/19898California
42 Sherman, Anthony RB5-1024212/11/19889Connecticut
9 Shurmur, Kyle QB6-422511/06/19960Vanderbilt
39 Smith, Tremon DB6-019007/20/19962Central Arkansas
49 Sorensen, Daniel DB6-220803/05/19906BYU
31 Soroh, Andrew DB6-221002/11/20300Florida Atlantic
57 Speaks, Breeland OLB6-328512/18/19952Ole Miss
83 Thompson, Cody WR6-220501/11/19960Toledo
25 Thompson, Darwin RB5-820002/12/19970Utah State
22 Thornhill, Juan CB6-020510/19/19950Virginia
40 Wade, D'Montre DB6-020012/22/19941Murray State
96 Walker, Cavon DT6-227807/04/19941Maryland
35 Ward, Charvarius CB6-120005/16/19962Middle Tenn.
14 Watkins, Sammy WR6-121106/14/19936Clemson
25 Watts, Armani DB5-1120503/19/19962Texas A&M
88 Wells, David TE6-626005/02/19951San Diego State
26 Williams, Damien RB5-1122404/03/19926Oklahoma
31 Williams, Darrel RB6-122904/15/19952LSU
98 Williams, Xavier NT6-230901/18/19925Northern Iowa
54 Wilson, Damien OLB6-024505/28/19935Minnesota
41 Winchester, James LS6-324008/06/19895Oklahoma
77 Wylie, Andrew T6-630908/19/19942Eastern Michigan
82 Yelder, Deon TE6-425503/06/19952Western Kentucky