Sacramento
Kings
Stadium Golden 1 Center
39-43 Overall | WESTERN 9th
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Pacific Division114.2115.3
Schedule
Regular season
Tue  4/2
vs
Houston
L105-130
Thu  4/4
vs
Cleveland
W117-104
Fri  4/5
@
Utah
L98-119
Sun  4/7
vs
New Orleans
L129-133
Wed  4/10
@
Portland
L131-136
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

PLAYOFF FORECAST

They have a 3% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 0.6% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the West is 0.1%. While not mathematically eliminated they are winning the championship in under 0.1% of simulations.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 35.6 wins. Their 39 actual wins was above expectation. Their strength was at home. They went 15-26 on the road and were expected to win 14.6. They won 24 at home and were expected to win 20.9.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 55.4% (#20 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.2) than expected (113.1). On the road they average 113.4 (111.6 expected), and at home 114.9 ppg (114.7 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 56.9 true FG% (#23 in League). Team defense is trending down allowing opponents to shoot 61.9% in their last 7 games. They allow 115.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 115.3. They are allowing 117.1 (116.2 expected) on the road, and at home 113.5 ppg (114.4 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 2.6 per game (#24 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 2.4 per game (#1 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Kings in all of their games would have earned a +131 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +650 profit risking 110 to win 100 (45-35 ATS). The Kings have lost ATS on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
35 Bagley III, Marvin PF6-1123403/14/19990Duke
40 Barnes, Harrison SF6-822505/30/19926North Carolina
88 Bjelica, Nemanja PF6-1023405/09/19883No College
8 Bogdanovic, Bogdan SG6-620508/18/19921No College
33 Brewer, Corey SF6-918603/05/198611Florida
13 Burks, Alec SG6-621407/20/19917Colorado
00 Cauley-Stein, Willie C7-024008/18/19933Kentucky
3 Ferrell, Yogi PG6-018005/09/19932Indiana
5 Fox, De'Aaron PG6-317512/20/19971Kentucky
32 Gabriel, Wenyen F6-920503/26/19970Kentucky
20 Giles, Harry PF6-1024004/22/19980Duke
0 Guy, Kyle G6-116708/11/19970No College
24 Hield, Buddy SG6-421412/17/19922Oklahoma
0 James, Justin F6-719001/24/19970No College
9 Johnson, B.J. SF6-720012/21/19950Syracuse; La Salle
41 Koufos, Kosta C7-024502/24/198910Ohio State
10 Mason III, Frank PG5-1119004/03/19941Kansas
50 Swanigan, Caleb PF6-925004/18/19971Purdue
19 Williams, Troy SF6-721812/30/19942Indiana