|TEAM STATS||PTS/G||OPP PTS/G|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
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They were up 2-0 against the eventual champ. This projection assumes Khris Middleton does stay with the team and if so they should be right back at the Top Seed in the East. They have an 86.5% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 59.3% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the East is 34.5%. They have 22.2% chance of winning the championship.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP
The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 56.8 wins. Their 60 actual wins was above expectation. They won more games than expected at home and on the road. Their 80.5% home win percentage was better than expected (76.1%). They won 65.9% on the road which was better than expected (62.3%).
STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.9% (#3 in League). The team shooting has declined to 53.7% in their last 7 games. They average 118.1 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 116.5. On the road they average 116.4 (115.7 expected), and at home 119.9 ppg (117.3 expected).
DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 53 true FG% (#1 in League). They allow 109.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 110.2. They are allowing 110.7 (111.7 expected) on the road, and at home 107.8 ppg (108.8 expected).
REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +4.8 per game (#1 in league).
TURNOVERS (BELOW AVERAGE): They have an average turnover margin of -0.3 per game (#16 in league).
TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG
Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Bucks in all of their games would have earned a +22 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +1180 profit risking 110 to win 100 (47-32 ATS). They are profitable against the spread at home and on the road.
|34||Antetokounmpo, Giannis||PF||6-11||242||12/06/1994||5||No College|
|23||Brown, Sterling||SG||6-6||232||02/10/1995||1||Southern Methodist|
|50||Colson, Bonzie||PF||6-6||225||0||Notre Dame|
|24||Connaughton, Pat||SG||6-4||209||01/06/1993||3||Notre Dame|
|12||Frazier, Tim||PG||6-1||170||11/01/1990||4||Penn State|
|17||Gasol, Pau||PF||7-0||250||07/06/1980||17||No College|
|77||Ilyasova, Ersan||SF||6-10||235||05/15/1987||10||No College|
|22||Middleton, Khris||SF||6-8||222||08/12/1991||6||Texas A&M|
|41||Mirotic, Nikola||PF||6-10||250||02/11/1991||4||No College|
|21||Snell, Tony||SG||6-7||213||11/10/1991||5||New Mexico|