Denver
Nuggets
Stadium Pepsi Center
54-28 Overall | WESTERN 2nd
TEAM STATSPTS/GOPP PTS/G
Northwest Division110.7106.7
Schedule
Postseason
Wed  5/1
vs
Portland
L90-97
Fri  5/3
@
Portland
L / 4OT137-140
Sun  5/5
@
Portland
W116-112
Tue  5/7
vs
Portland
W124-98
Thu  5/9
@
Portland
L108-119
Sun  5/12
vs
Portland
L96-100
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

PLAYOFF FORECAST

They have a 43.5% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 21.7% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the West is 10.5%. They have 3.6% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 50.6 wins. Their 54 actual wins was above expectation. They exceeded expectations at home. They went 20-21 on the road and were expected to win 21.2. They won 34 at home and were expected to win 29.4.

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (AVERAGE): Their true FG% is 55.5% (#17 in League). They average 110.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 111.9. On the road they average 107.2 (110 expected), and at home 114.1 ppg (113.8 expected).

DEFENSE (AVERAGE): They are an average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 55.2 true FG% (#13 in League). They allow 106.7 pts per game vs an expected value of 108.1. They are allowing 109.8 (109.7 expected) on the road, and at home 103.6 ppg (106.5 expected).

REBOUNDING (STRENGTH): They significantly outrebound opponents by an average of +3.5 per game (#5 in league).

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.2 per game (#12 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Nuggets in all of their games would be down -436 units. Against the spread, they have lost -200 units risking 110 to win 100 (42-40 ATS). The Nuggets have lost ATS on the road, but at home they have turned a profit.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
5 Barton, Will SG6-619001/06/19916Memphis
25 Beasley, Malik SG6-519511/26/19962Florida State
0 Bol, Bol C7-220811/16/19990No College
3 Craig, Torrey SF6-721512/19/19901South Carolina Upstate
6 Goodwin, Brandon PG6-218010/02/19950Central Florida; Florida Gulf
14 Harris, Gary SG6-421009/14/19944Michigan State
41 Hernangomez, Juancho PF6-923009/28/19952No College
15 Jokic, Nikola C7-025002/19/19953No College
20 Lydon, Tyler PF6-1022504/09/19961Syracuse
7 Lyles, Trey PF6-1023411/05/19953Kentucky
4 Millsap, Paul PF6-824602/10/198512Louisiana Tech
11 Morris, Monte PG6-317506/27/19951Iowa State
27 Murray, Jamal PG6-420702/23/19972Kentucky
24 Plumlee, Mason PF6-1123503/05/19905Duke
1 Porter Jr., Michael PF6-1021006/29/19980Missouri
0 Thomas, Isaiah PG5-918502/07/19897Washington
8 Vanderbilt, Jarred PF6-921404/03/19990Kentucky
45 Welsh, Thomas C7-025502/03/19960UCLA