Must DFS Play (Cruz) and Fade (Garver) Advice

Nelson Cruz

There are 5 other options at $3600 (Ian Desmond, Avisail Garcia, Whit Merrifield, Andrew Benintendi, Mitch Haniger) and Cruz is the best option of these 6. Shin-Soo Choo (11.2 FP), Hunter Pence (8.4 FP), Michael Brantley (9.5 FP), Jay Bruce (9.1 FP), and Jason Heyward (9.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Cruz but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 10.7 FPs, a value reached in 67 of 185 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 44%.

There are 4 other options at $4800 (Alex Gordon, Hunter Renfroe, Austin Riley, Nick Senzel) and Cruz is the best option of these 5. Shin-Soo Choo (8.5 FP), Hunter Pence (6.3 FP), Starling Marte (8.4 FP), Christian Yelich (9.6 FP), and Charlie Blackmon (9.1 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Cruz but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.5 FPs, a value reached in 68 of 185 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 39%.

Nick Markakis and Rowdy Tellez are also good values on both FanDuel and DraftKings on 6/12.

Mitch Garver

Garver is not the best option on DraftKings with a projected 2.9 DK pts (#33 among catchers). He is the #2 highest priced catcher ($5100). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.3K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Jeff Mathis (3.3 FP), Yadier Molina (7 FP), Robinson Chirinos (4.7 FP), Brian McCann (4.7 FP), and Chris Iannetta (4.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.6 FPs, a value reached in 45 of 134 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for catchers expected to start is 45%.

Projected for 3.9 FanDuel pts Mitch Garver is the #67 ranked C/1Bs. He is the #13 highest priced C/1Bs ($3400). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Garver is worth $1.4K. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Miguel Cabrera (10.9 FP), Jeff Mathis (4.3 FP), Yadier Molina (9.1 FP), Robinson Chirinos (6.5 FP), and Brian McCann (6.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.3 FPs, a value reached in 40 of 134 games (30%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 44%.

Christian Yelich and Hunter Pence are also bad values on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

This information was last updated at 6/12/2019 8:05:49 AM. SportsLine has a Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet and Optimal Lineups based on the latest computer projections. It also features lineups from DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine for more.

TODAY'S GAMES (AVG O/U 9.4) AND PROJECTED FANTASY LEADERS

CHICAGO CUBS VS COLORADO ROCKIES O/U 12.5 (o-109, u-112)

  • Cole Hamels (SP) 33.1 FD $7.2K, 17.7 DK $8.1K
  • Antonio Senzatela (SP) 22.9 FD $6.2K, 10.4 DK $4.5K
  • Nolan Arenado (3B) 14.1 FD $4.8K, 10.5 DK $5.1K
  • Javier Baez (SS) 13.3 FD $4.3K, 10.1 DK $5.5K
  • Anthony Rizzo (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 13.1 FD $4.7K, 9.8 DK $5.6K

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES O/U 11 (o100, u-121)

  • David Hess (SP) 23.1 FD $6K, 12 DK $4.1K
  • Edwin Jackson (SP) 21.2 FD $5.7K, 10.3 DK $5.3K
  • Justin Smoak (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 12.6 FD $3.3K, 9.4 DK $4.8K
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (3B) 12.3 FD $3.1K, 9.4 DK $4.2K
  • Jonathan Villar (SS FD, 2B DK) 12.4 FD $3.1K, 9.3 DK $4.6K

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS ATLANTA BRAVES O/U TBD (Sim Projects: 10.5)

  • Mike Soroka (SP) 33.7 FD $10.6K, 17.3 DK $10.9K
  • Mitch Keller (SP) 22.1 FD $5.5K, 10 DK $7K
  • Freddie Freeman (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 15.8 FD $4.4K, 11.7 DK $5.6K
  • Ronald Acuna (OF) 15.2 FD $4.1K, 11.3 DK $5.3K
  • Nick Markakis (OF) 13 FD $2.9K, 9.6 DK $4.1K

TEXAS RANGERS VS BOSTON RED SOX O/U 9.5 (o-108, u-113)

  • Lance Lynn (SP) 29.3 FD $9.4K, 14.3 DK $9K
  • Rick Porcello (SP) 27.1 FD $7K, 13.5 DK $7K
  • Mookie Betts (OF) 12.8 FD $4.2K, 9.6 DK $4.4K
  • Xander Bogaerts (SS) 11.6 FD $4K, 8.8 DK $4.3K
  • Elvis Andrus (SS) 11.4 FD $3.7K, 8.8 DK $4.9K

CINCINNATI REDS VS CLEVELAND INDIANS O/U 9.5 (o-103, u-120)

  • Zach Plesac (SP) 27.1 FD $8.4K, 14 DK $7.4K
  • Anthony DeSclafani (SP) 23.3 FD $6.3K, 12.2 DK $6.7K
  • Francisco Lindor (SS) 12.8 FD $3.9K, 9.7 DK $5.2K
  • Carlos Santana (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 12.3 FD $3.5K, 9 DK $4.6K
  • Jose Ramirez (3B) 11.9 FD $3.1K, 8.9 DK $3.5K

SEATTLE MARINERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS O/U 9.5 (o100, u-122)

  • Jose Berrios (SP) 35.9 FD $9.6K, 19 DK $10.3K
  • Cory Gearrin (SP) 19.9 FD $5.5K, 9.3 DK $4K
  • Nelson Cruz (OF) 14.2 FD $3.6K, 10.5 DK $4.8K
  • Jorge Polanco (SS) 13.7 FD $4K, 10.3 DK $5K
  • Max Kepler (OF) 13.2 FD $3.7K, 9.7 DK $4.9K

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES O/U 9.5 (o100, u-120)

  • Merrill Kelly (SP) 29.9 FD $7.7K, 15.6 DK $8K
  • Zach Eflin (SP) 29.6 FD $8.5K, 15.6 DK $8.7K
  • David Peralta (OF) 12.5 FD $3.7K, 9.7 DK $4.4K
  • Rhys Hoskins (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.4 FD $4.2K, 8.4 DK $4.4K
  • Bryce Harper (OF) 11.1 FD $4.1K, 8.2 DK $4.2K

DETROIT TIGERS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS O/U 9 (o-113, u-108)

  • Danny Duffy (SP) 27.8 FD $6.9K, 13.8 DK $7.4K
  • Daniel Norris (SP) 24.3 FD $6.1K, 12.7 DK $5K
  • Adalberto Mondesi (SS) 14.6 FD $3.8K, 11.1 DK $5.6K
  • Whit Merrifield (OF FD, 2B DK) 14 FD $3.6K, 10.6 DK $4.8K
  • Alex Gordon (OF) 12 FD $3.5K, 9 DK $4.8K

OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS O/U TBD (Sim Projects: 8.5)

  • Yonny Chirinos (SP) 27.9 FD $6.5K, 14.7 DK $10.4K
  • Brett Anderson (SP) 21.5 FD $6.6K, 10.2 DK $5.6K
  • Yandy Diaz (3B FD, 1B DK) 10.4 FD $3.5K, 7.9 DK $3.9K
  • Austin Meadows (OF) 10.3 FD $4.1K, 7.8 DK $5.2K
  • Marcus Semien (SS) 10.2 FD $3.5K, 7.8 DK $3.7K

ST LOUIS CARDINALS VS MIAMI MARLINS O/U 8 (o-108, u-113)

  • Miles Mikolas (SP) 31.2 FD $7.6K, 16.7 DK $7.2K
  • Marcell Ozuna (OF) 12.8 FD $4.3K, 9.6 DK $5.4K
  • Matt Carpenter (3B) 11.5 FD $3.3K, 8.6 DK $4.4K
  • Paul Goldschmidt (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.2 FD $3.8K, 8.6 DK $4.2K
  • Paul DeJong (SS) 10.9 FD $3.7K, 8.3 DK $4.4K

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS HOUSTON ASTROS O/U 7.5 (o100, u-120)

  • Justin Verlander (SP) 42.2 FD $11.1K, 23.5 DK $11.3K
  • Brandon Woodruff (SP) 25.1 FD $8.9K, 12.9 DK $7.6K
  • Christian Yelich (OF) 12.7 FD $4.7K, 9.6 DK $5.7K
  • Alex Bregman (SS FD, 3B DK) 10.9 FD $4.1K, 8.1 DK $4.9K
  • Mike Moustakas (2B) 9.7 FD $3.8K, 7.4 DK $4.7K

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS O/U 7.5 (o102, u-124)

  • Joey Lucchesi (SP) 30.1 FD $7.9K, 17.1 DK $9.6K
  • Shaun Anderson (SP) 25.7 FD $6.5K, 12.8 DK $6.6K
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (SS) 12.9 FD $3.6K, 10 DK $4.7K
  • Eric Hosmer (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 12.1 FD $2.9K, 9.2 DK $3.9K
  • Wil Myers (OF) 11.5 FD $2.8K, 8.7 DK $4.1K