Does Nunez's Latest FanDuel Projection Justify His $2.2K Salary?

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 5.5 FanDuel pts Eduardo Nunez is the #35 ranked second baseman. He is the #39 highest priced second baseman ($2200). Based on the projection, Nunez is worth $1.7K. There are 6 other options at $2200 (Wilmer Flores, Josh Harrison, Jose Peraza, Jose Rondon, Tony Kemp, Dylan Moore) and Nunez is ranked #4 among the 7. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Daniel Descalso (7.4 FP) and Carlos Sanchez (6.6 FP). Ildemaro Vargas (4.4 FP), David Bote (5.4 FP), Harold Castro (5 FP), Luis Rengifo (4.9 FP), and Luis Arraez (5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Nunez but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.5 FPs, a value reached in 95 of 186 games (51%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 43%.

  • 6/26 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: BOS 5.4 (#6 Most Today) vs CHW 3.6 (#28 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 5.46 Fantasy Points (#34), 2.5 plate appearances (#31), 0.259 BA (#22), 0.679 OPS (#37), 0.05 HR (#36), 0.33 RBI (#27), 0.3 runs (#34), 0.04 stolen bases (#22),
Lower SalaryE. NunezHigher Salary
D. Descalso (7 FP)6 FPI. Vargas (4 FP)
C. Sanchez (7 FP)#39 Second BaseD. Bote (5 FP)
 
 
H. Castro (5 FP)
 
 
L. Rengifo (5 FP)
 
 
L. Arraez (5 FP)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Nunez is projected for 4.1 DraftKings points and is fairly ranked. He is the #45 highest priced second baseman ($3300). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Nunez is worth $2.3K. There are 2 other options at $3300 (Ian Kinsler, Jed Lowrie) and Nunez is ranked #2 among the 3. Instead of Nunez consider these better options at lower salaries: Robinson Cano (7.5 FP), Gordon Beckham (6.4 FP), Daniel Descalso (5.6 FP), Starlin Castro (6.7 FP), and Joe Panik (5.4 FP). Brad Miller (2.7 FP), Marco Hernandez (2.4 FP), Ildemaro Vargas (3.4 FP), Yairo Munoz (3.6 FP), and David Bote (4.1 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Nunez but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6 FPs, a value reached in 67 of 186 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 37%.

Nunez is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

In week 15 rankings vs other second basemen these are 3 better options at lower start percentages: Gordon Beckham (14.8 FP), Greg Garcia (10.4 FP), and Dawel Lugo (13.6 FP). Starting in 1% of leagues he is expected to produce 10.6 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #37 second baseman of the week, but he is projected to be the #39 second baseman.

Lower Start%E. Nunez WK 15Higher Start%
G. Beckham (15 FP)10 FPL. Forsythe (6 FP)
G. Garcia (10 FP)#37 Second Base 
D. Lugo (14 FP) 
 

He is projected for 9.7 fantasy points in week 15 (#39 2B) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
9.68 (#39) 
Avg0.281 (#14) 
 
OPS0.682 (#25) 
 
Home Runs 
0.31 (#41) 
Runs 
1.79 (#40) 
RBI 
1.97 (#34) 
Stolen Bases0.24 (#29) 
 

  • Based on 6/26 start percentages, Eduardo Nunez is valued behind Holt and above Arraez but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 15.
  • Jul 2Jul 3Jul 4Jul 5Jul 6Jul 7
    1.7 FP @TOR1.4 FP @TOR1.5 FP @TOR1.7 FP @DET1.9 FP @DET1.5 FP @DET

    Eduardo Nunez last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/25 vs CHW0 FP, 4 FD, 2 DK0-2, 1 RBI
    6/24 vs CHW4 FP, 13 FD, 10 DK2-4, 2 RBI
    6/23 vs TOR2 FP, 9 FD, 7 DK1-3, 1 R
    6/22 vs TOR1 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-3
    6/21 vs TOR0 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-3

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among second basemen is #41. Ranking by ownership percentage (3%), Eduardo Nunez is expected to be the #39 second baseman for the rest of the season. Eduardo Nunez's market rank is slightly better than our current projections indicate. He is projected for 112 fantasy points in 53 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#53) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Eduardo Nunez behind Arraez and above Robertson and the projections agree.

    Lower Own%E. Nunez ROSHigher Own%
    G. Beckham (178 FP)112 FPL. Forsythe (84 FP)
    G. Garcia (131 FP)#39 Second BaseB. Holt (110 FP)
    D. Lugo (161 FP) 
     
    M. Freeman (122 FP) 
     
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    112 (#41) 
    Avg 
    0.258 (#34) 
    OPS 
     
    0.667 (#50)
    Home Runs 
    4 (#37) 
    Runs 
    22 (#42) 
    RBI 
    23 (#35) 
    Stolen Bases4 (#19) 
     
    Strikeouts35 (#15) 
     

    He has more relative strengths than weaknesses which makes him a better value in leagues that score based on production in individual categories.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 5.2 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 2 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL5.2 FP per Week42
    Week 16 (4 games 1.5 per game)
    Week 24.5 (6 games 0.8 per game)
    Week 34 (3 games 1.3 per game)
    Week 4-1.5 (2 games -0.8 per game)-6.7
    Week 69.5 (2 games 4.8 per game)+4.3
    Week 73 (4 games 0.8 per game)
    Week 81.5 (4 games 0.4 per game)-3.7
    Week 99.5 (3 games 3.2 per game)+4.3
    Week 105.5 (4 games 1.4 per game)
    Week 119 (5 games 1.8 per game)+3.8
    Week 123 (5 games 0.6 per game)
    Week 139 (4 games 2.2 per game)+3.8
    Week 144 (2 games 2 per game)

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 5.7 points and on DraftKings it was 4.4 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 10 and 15.2 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All5.7 ($2.2K)15 G, 18 B4.4 ($3.4K)11 G, 15 B
    6/25 CHW3.5 ($2.1K)--2 ($3.3K)-2.4
    6/24 CHW13 ($2.1K)+7.310 ($2.6K)+5.6
    6/23 TOR9.2 ($2.2K)+3.57 ($3K)+2.6
    6/22 TOR3 ($2.2K)--3 ($3.3K)--
    6/21 TOR3 ($2.2K)--3 ($3.1K)--
    6/19 @MIN15.2 ($2.2K)+9.512 ($2.9K)+7.6
    6/16 @BAL3 ($2.3K)--3 ($3.2K)--
    6/14 @BAL9.2 ($2.3K)+3.57 ($3.6K)+2.6
    6/13 TEX0--0--
    6/12 TEX0 ($2.2K)-5.70 ($2.8K)-4.4
    6/10 TEX0 ($2.3K)-5.70 ($3.1K)-4.4
    6/9 TB0 ($2.3K)-5.70 ($3.4K)-4.4
    6/8 TB0 ($2.4K)-5.70-4.4
    6/7 TB0 ($2.4K)-5.70 ($3.4K)-4.4
    6/6 @KC15 ($2.3K)+9.312+7.6
    6/4 @KC25.7 ($2K)+2018 ($3.5K)+13.6
    6/2 @NYY12.7 ($2K)+710+5.6
    6/1 @NYY3 ($2K)--2 ($3.2K)-2.4
    5/31 @NYY3 ($2K)--3 ($3.1K)--
    5/29 CLE0 ($2.1K)-5.70 ($3.3K)-4.4
    5/26 @HOU15.7 ($2.2K)+1012 ($2.8K)+7.6
    5/24 @HOU3 ($2K)--3 ($3.2K)--
    5/23 @TOR12.7 ($2K)+710 ($3.6K)+5.6
    5/19 HOU0 ($2K)-5.70 ($3.2K)-4.4
    5/17 HOU0 ($2K)-5.70 ($3K)-4.4
    5/15 COL0 ($2.1K)-5.70 ($3.2K)-4.4
    5/14 COL15 ($2.1K)+9.310 ($3.6K)+5.6
    5/12 SEA0 ($2.2K)-5.70 ($3.5K)-4.4
    5/10 SEA3 ($2.2K)--3 ($3.6K)--
    5/8 @BAL3 ($2.2K)--3 ($4K)--
    5/6 @BAL6.5 ($2.2K)--5 ($3.9K)--
    5/5 @CHW9.7 ($2K)+47 ($3.6K)+2.6
    5/4 @CHW22.2 ($2K)+16.516 ($3.3K)+11.6
    4/17 @NYY0 ($2.2K)-5.70-4.4
    4/16 @NYY0 ($2.2K)-5.70-4.4
    4/14 BAL3 ($2.2K)--2 ($3.9K)-2.4
    4/13 BAL0 ($2K)-5.70-4.4
    4/12 BAL13 ($2K)+7.310 ($3.8K)+5.6
    4/7 @ARI0 ($2.3K)-5.70-4.4
    4/6 @ARI6.5 ($2K)--5 ($4.1K)--
    4/5 @ARI3 ($2.1K)--3 ($4K)--
    4/4 @OAK0 ($2.1K)-5.70-4.4
    4/3 @OAK3 ($2.3K)--5 ($3.8K)--
    4/1 @OAK0 ($2.4K)-5.70 ($4K)-4.4
    3/31 @SEA10 ($2.3K)+4.37+2.6
    3/30 @SEA0 ($2.4K)-5.70 ($3.9K)-4.4
    3/29 @SEA0 ($2.2K)-5.70 ($3.6K)-4.4
    3/28 @SEA18.4 ($2.4K)+12.712+7.6