Christian Vazquez Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Based on ownership percentage (66%), Christian Vazquez has a market rank of #12 among catchers. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of higher market expectations. The projections have him 10 spots lower in the rankings. Owners should not be surprised if they find themselves benching Vazquez more than they thought. He is projected for more FPs than James McCann who has virtually the same market rank (66% Owned) as Vazquez. He is projected for 123 fantasy points in 49 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#33) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Christian Vazquez behind McCann and above Phegley but the projections rank Christian Vazquez over McCann.

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Lower Own%C. Vazquez ROSHigher Own%
K. Suzuki (143 FP)122 FPJ. McCann (108 FP)
C. Iannetta (144 FP)#12 CatcherM. Garver (114 FP)
W. Castillo (146 FP) 
 
T. Flowers (130 FP) 
 
R. Perez (130 FP) 
 
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
123 (#20) 
Avg 
0.26 (#18) 
OPS 
 
0.735 (#29)
Home Runs 
7 (#22) 
Runs 
24 (#18) 
RBI 
25 (#22) 
Stolen Bases1 (#9) 
 
Strikeouts 
 
44 (#41)

If stolen bases are important to your league, his value is higher.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Christian Vazquez is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #12 while his projection (rest of week 14) rank is #48. In week 15 rankings vs other catchers these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Kurt Suzuki (9.8 FP), Welington Castillo (10.9 FP), Tyler Flowers (9.6 FP), Jonathan Lucroy (10.8 FP), and Chris Herrmann (10.3 FP). Starting in 56% of leagues he is expected to produce 10.9 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #11 catcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #22 catcher. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 1.6 short of expectations. Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 4 games.

Lower Start%C. Vazquez WK 15Higher Start%
K. Suzuki (10 FP)9 FPJ. McCann (8 FP)
W. Castillo (11 FP)#11 Catcher 
T. Flowers (10 FP) 
 
J. Lucroy (11 FP) 
 
C. Herrmann (10 FP) 
 

He is projected for 9.3 fantasy points in week 15 (#22 C) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
9.32 (#22) 
Avg 
0.266 (#14) 
OPS 
0.658 (#30) 
Home Runs 
0.49 (#24) 
Runs 
1.8 (#23) 
RBI 
1.86 (#25) 
Stolen Bases0.12 (#8) 
 

  • Based on 6/26 start percentages, Christian Vazquez is valued behind McCann and above Phegley but the projections rank Christian Vazquez over McCann in week 15.
  • Jul 2Jul 3Jul 4Jul 5Jul 6Jul 7
    1.7 FP @TOR1.3 FP @TOR1.5 FP @TOR1.6 FP @DET1.8 FP @DET1.4 FP @DET

    Christian Vazquez last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/25 vs CHW2 FP, 10 FD, 7 DK1-4, 2 RBI
    6/24 vs CHW0 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-4
    6/23 vs TOR0 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-4
    6/22 vs TOR8 FP, 25 FD, 18 DK1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB
    6/21 vs TOR7 FP, 22 FD, 16 DK1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (6/26): Projected for 3.9 DraftKings pts Christian Vazquez is the #28 ranked catcher. He is the #10 highest priced catcher ($4100). Based on the projection, Vazquez is worth $2.9K. Kurt Suzuki is also priced at $4100 and is a better option at this price. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Yadier Molina (6 FP), Brian McCann (4.1 FP), Chris Iannetta (5.2 FP), Tyler Flowers (5 FP), and Martin Maldonado (3.9 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: James McCann (3.7 FP), Tom Murphy (2.7 FP), and Mitch Garver (2.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 5.5 FPs, a value reached in 54 of 157 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for catchers expected to start is 45%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: Vazquez is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 5.1 FD pts (#71 among shortstops). At $2800 he is expected to be the #35 C/1Bs. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1.8K. There are 7 other options at $2800 (Robinson Chirinos, Tyler Flowers, Wilson Ramos, Roberto Perez, Brandon Belt, Mark Canha, Rowdy Tellez) and Vazquez is ranked #8 among the 8. Instead of Vazquez consider these better options at lower salaries: Miguel Cabrera (9.4 FP), Yadier Molina (7.8 FP), Brian McCann (5.5 FP), Neil Walker (7.1 FP), and Kurt Suzuki (6.1 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: James McCann (4.9 FP), Christian Walker (5 FP), and Mitch Garver (2.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 5.9 FPs, a value reached in 73 of 157 games (46%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 45%.

    Vazquez is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 14 fantasy weeks he had one where he was +50% above his weekly average of 11 fantasy points. He had 2 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL11 FP per Week12
    Week 112 (4 games 3 per game)
    Week 22 (4 games 0.5 per game)-9
    Week 313.5 (4 games 3.4 per game)
    Week 414 (4 games 3.5 per game)
    Week 511 (5 games 2.2 per game)
    Week 614.5 (4 games 3.6 per game)
    Week 711.5 (4 games 2.9 per game)
    Week 816.5 (5 games 3.3 per game)
    Week 98.5 (6 games 1.4 per game)
    Week 108.5 (5 games 1.7 per game)
    Week 117 (6 games 1.2 per game)
    Week 1217 (5 games 3.4 per game)+6
    Week 1316 (4 games 4 per game)
    Week 142.5 (2 games 1.2 per game)-8.5

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 8.9 FD points and 6.8 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 14 and 21.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All8.9 ($2.4K)15 G, 25 B6.8 ($3.8K)13 G, 20 B
    6/25 CHW10 ($2.9K)--7 ($4.4K)--
    6/24 CHW3 ($2.8K)-5.93 ($3.6K)-3.8
    6/23 TOR3 ($2.6K)-5.93 ($4K)-3.8
    6/22 TOR24.9 ($2.5K)+1618 ($3.9K)+11.2
    6/21 TOR22.2 ($2.6K)+13.316 ($3.9K)+9.2
    6/18 @MIN6 ($2.6K)--6 ($3.8K)--
    6/16 @BAL13 ($2.8K)--10 ($3.9K)--
    6/14 @BAL24.9 ($2.4K)+1619 ($4K)+12.2
    6/13 TEX6.2--5--
    6/12 TEX9 ($2.3K)--8 ($3.1K)--
    6/11 TEX6 ($2.3K)--6 ($3.9K)--
    6/9 TB3 ($2.3K)-5.92 ($3.6K)-4.8
    6/8 TB3 ($2.3K)-5.92-4.8
    6/8 TB6.2 ($2.3K)--5--
    6/7 TB0 ($2.3K)-8.90 ($3.7K)-6.8
    6/6 @KC19.2 ($2.3K)+10.314+7.2
    6/4 @KC0 ($2.4K)-8.90 ($4.1K)-6.8
    6/2 @NYY9.2 ($2.5K)--7--
    6/1 @NYY0 ($2.6K)-8.90 ($3.8K)-6.8
    5/31 @NYY0 ($2.6K)-8.90 ($3.7K)-6.8
    5/29 CLE18.7 ($2.4K)+9.815 ($3.9K)+8.2
    5/28 CLE3 ($2.5K)-5.93 ($4.2K)-3.8
    5/26 @HOU0 ($2.4K)-8.90 ($3.5K)-6.8
    5/25 @HOU10 ($2.3K)--7 ($3.4K)--
    5/24 @HOU18.7 ($2.4K)+9.814 ($3.8K)+7.2
    5/23 @TOR3 ($2.6K)-5.93 ($4.4K)-3.8
    5/22 @TOR3 ($2.6K)-5.93 ($4.2K)-3.8
    5/21 @TOR0 ($2.6K)-8.90 ($4.1K)-6.8
    5/19 HOU6 ($2.4K)--6 ($3.8K)--
    5/18 HOU18.7 ($2.3K)+9.814 ($3.8K)+7.2
    5/17 HOU18.5 ($2.3K)+9.615 ($3.5K)+8.2
    5/15 COL6 ($2.3K)--6 ($3.7K)--
    5/14 COL3 ($2.4K)-5.93 ($4.2K)-3.8
    5/12 SEA12 ($2.4K)--12 ($3.8K)+5.2
    5/10 SEA0 ($2.4K)-8.90 ($3.9K)-6.8
    5/7 @BAL9.2 ($2.5K)--8 ($4.3K)--
    5/6 @BAL12.2 ($2.6K)--10 ($4.2K)--
    5/4 @CHW15.2 ($2.6K)+6.314 ($3.8K)+7.2
    5/2 @CHW3 ($2.4K)-5.92 ($3.9K)-4.8
    5/1 OAK21.7 ($2.4K)+12.816 ($3.9K)+9.2
    4/29 OAK9.2 ($2.3K)--6 ($3.8K)--
    4/28 TB6.2 ($2.5K)--5 ($3.6K)--
    4/27 TB3 ($2.4K)-5.93 ($3.6K)-3.8
    4/24 DET19.2 ($2.4K)+10.314 ($3.9K)+7.2
    4/23 DET3 ($2.4K)-5.93 ($3.9K)-3.8
    4/23 DET6.2 ($2.4K)--4 ($3.9K)--
    4/21 @TB3.5 ($2.5K)-5.42 ($3.2K)-4.8
    4/19 @TB25.2 ($2.5K)+16.319 ($3.5K)+12.2
    4/17 @NYY22.2 ($2.3K)+13.316+9.2
    4/15 BAL0 ($2.4K)-8.90-6.8
    4/14 BAL0 ($2K)-8.90 ($3.6K)-6.8
    4/13 BAL35.2 ($2K)+26.325+18.2
    4/12 BAL6.2 ($2.1K)--5 ($3.6K)--
    4/9 TOR3 ($2.1K)-5.95--
    4/6 @ARI6.2 ($2.1K)--4 ($3.7K)--
    4/4 @OAK0 ($2.3K)-8.90-6.8
    4/2 @OAK12 ($2K)--8 ($3.3K)--
    4/1 @OAK0 ($2.3K)-8.90 ($3.5K)-6.8
    3/31 @SEA3 ($2.1K)-5.92-4.8
    3/30 @SEA6.2 ($2K)--5 ($3.2K)--
    3/29 @SEA18.7 ($2K)+9.814 ($3.1K)+7.2
    3/28 @SEA12.7 ($2.2K)--9--