Austin Meadows's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Most already consider Austin Meadows to be a good starting outfielder, but the projections indicate he is an elite fantasy option. As of 6/24, Austin Meadows is the #20 ranked outfielder based on ownership percentage (98%). He is projected to be the #11 outfielder. Even if he is owned in plenty of leagues, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better outfielder option available. Of the 3 outfielders (Max Kepler, Michael Conforto) with this market rank (98% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 248 fantasy points in 76 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#15) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Austin Meadows behind Conforto and above Dahl but the projections rank Austin Meadows over Conforto.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
248 (#11) 
Avg 
0.305 (#6) 
OPS 
0.902 (#10) 
Home Runs 
 
14 (#23)
Runs 
 
44 (#32)
RBI 
49 (#11) 
Stolen Bases 
9 (#18) 
Strikeouts 
 
74 (#120)

He has more relative weaknesses than strengths which hurts his value in leagues that score based on production in individual categories.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Austin Meadows is a good value this week. He has a market rank of #20 while his projection rank (week 14) is #11. In week 14 rankings vs other outfielders these are 2 better options at lower start percentages: Joc Pederson (23 FP) and Alex Verdugo (20 FP). Michael Brantley (18 FP), Starling Marte (17 FP), Thomas Pham (18 FP), Marcell Ozuna (14 FP), and Mookie Betts (17 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Meadows but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 78% of leagues he is expected to produce 17.7 fantasy points (WK 14). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #20 outfielder of week 14. He is projected to be better than that (the #11 outfielder). Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 5 games.

Lower Start%A. Meadows WK 14Higher Start%
J. Pederson (24 FP)19 FPM. Brantley (18 FP)
A. Verdugo (20 FP)#20 OutfieldS. Marte (17 FP)
 
 
T. Pham (18 FP)
 
 
M. Ozuna (14 FP)
 
 
M. Betts (17 FP)

He is projected for 19.1 fantasy points in week 14 (#11 OF) in 5 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
19.08 (#11) 
Avg0.324 (#3) 
 
OPS 
0.877 (#6) 
Home Runs 
 
1.14 (#20)
Runs 
 
3.3 (#28)
RBI 
3.58 (#13) 
Stolen Bases 
0.7 (#13) 

  • Based on 6/24 start percentages, Austin Meadows is valued behind Conforto and above Dahl but the projections rank Austin Meadows over Conforto in week 14.
  • Jun 25Jun 26Jun 27Jun 28Jun 29Jun 30
    3.7 FP @MIN3 FP @MIN2.7 FP @MIN3.2 FP vs TEX3.4 FP vs TEX3 FP vs TEX

    Austin Meadows last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/23 @OAK7 FP, 22 FD, 16 DK2-4, 3 RBI
    6/22 @OAK3 FP, 9 FD, 8 DK1-4
    6/21 @OAK0 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-4
    6/20 @OAK-2 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    6/19 @NYY0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 11 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 18.4 FPs in 2 of them. He had 2 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL18.4 FP per Week22
    Week 112.5 (4 games 3.1 per game)
    Week 27 (5 games 1.4 per game)-11.4
    Week 347.5 (6 games 7.9 per game)+29.1
    Week 413 (5 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 718 (3 games 6 per game)
    Week 813 (5 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 921.5 (6 games 3.6 per game)
    Week 1038.5 (7 games 5.5 per game)+20.1
    Week 1117.5 (6 games 2.9 per game)
    Week 123.5 (7 games 0.5 per game)-14.9
    Week 1310.5 (6 games 1.8 per game)

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 12.4 FD points and 9.4 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was 14 and on FanDuel it was 28.7 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All12.4 ($4K)14 G, 26 B9.4 ($5.1K)7 G, 12 B
    6/23 @OAK22.5 ($3.8K)+10.116+6.6
    6/22 @OAK9 ($3.8K)--8 ($4.3K)--
    6/21 @OAK3 ($3.8K)-9.43 ($4.7K)-6.4
    6/20 @OAK0 ($3.9K)-12.40 ($4.6K)-9.4
    6/19 @NYY0 ($4K)-12.40-9.4
    6/17 @NYY6 ($4.1K)-6.47 ($5.2K)--
    6/16 LAA9 ($4K)--8 ($5K)--
    6/15 LAA0 ($4K)-12.40-9.4
    6/14 LAA9.2 ($4.2K)--7 ($5.4K)--
    6/13 LAA0--0--
    6/12 OAK3 ($4.1K)-9.42 ($5.2K)-7.4
    6/11 OAK0 ($4.3K)-12.40 ($5.5K)-9.4
    6/10 OAK6.2 ($4.4K)-6.24 ($5.4K)-5.4
    6/8 @BOS6 ($4.4K)-6.45--
    6/8 @BOS21.4 ($4.4K)+917+7.6
    6/7 @BOS3 ($4.4K)-9.45 ($5.9K)--
    6/6 @DET6.5 ($4.4K)--5--
    6/5 @DET15.2 ($4.4K)--12 ($5.8K)--
    6/4 @DET12.2 ($4.4K)--9 ($5.7K)--
    6/2 MIN16.2 ($4.5K)--12 ($5.4K)--
    6/1 MIN6 ($4.3K)-6.46 ($5.7K)--
    5/31 MIN12.2 ($4.2K)--7 ($5.5K)--
    5/30 MIN29.4 ($4.3K)+1720 ($5.4K)+10.6
    5/29 TOR18.4 ($4.3K)--14 ($5.6K)--
    5/28 TOR21.7 ($3.9K)+9.317 ($5.7K)+7.6
    5/27 TOR37.7--27--
    5/26 @CLE49.9 ($3.9K)+37.536 ($5.5K)+26.6
    5/25 @CLE3 ($4.1K)-9.43 ($5.4K)-6.4
    5/24 @CLE15.2 ($4.2K)--12 ($5.4K)--
    5/23 @CLE0 ($4.3K)-12.40 ($5.6K)-9.4
    5/22 LAD6.2 ($4.3K)-6.24 ($5K)-5.4
    5/21 LAD9.5 ($4.2K)--8 ($4.9K)--
    5/19 @NYY6 ($4.3K)-6.46 ($5.5K)--
    5/18 @NYY18.7 ($4.1K)+6.314 ($5.4K)--
    5/17 @NYY15 ($4K)--11 ($5.3K)--
    5/15 @MIA3 ($4.3K)-9.44 ($5.5K)-5.4
    5/14 @MIA3 ($4.3K)-9.42 ($5K)-7.4
    5/12 NYY21.7 ($4K)+9.317 ($5K)+7.6
    5/11 NYY6.2 ($4K)-6.25 ($4.9K)--
    5/10 NYY31.2 ($4.1K)+18.823 ($4.9K)+13.6
    4/20 BOS19 ($4.3K)+6.614 ($5.3K)--
    4/19 BOS6.2 ($4K)-6.25 ($5.2K)--
    4/18 BAL12.2 ($4.5K)--10 ($5K)--
    4/17 BAL6.2 ($4.4K)-6.25 ($4.9K)--
    4/16 BAL9 ($4.2K)--6 ($5K)--
    4/14 @TOR3.5 ($4K)-8.92 ($4.7K)-7.4
    4/13 @TOR12.5 ($4K)--10--
    4/12 @TOR46.4 ($3.7K)+3435 ($4.7K)+25.6
    4/10 @CHW40.9 ($3K)+28.530+20.6
    4/9 @CHW50.4 ($2.9K)+3836+26.6
    4/8 @CHW6.5 ($3.2K)--4-5.4
    4/7 @SF0 ($3.8K)-12.40-9.4
    4/6 @SF3 ($3.6K)-9.43-6.4
    4/5 @SF12.5 ($3.3K)--10--
    4/3 COL6 ($3.5K)-6.45--
    4/1 COL6 ($3.3K)-6.45 ($4.2K)--
    3/31 HOU28.7 ($3.3K)+16.321 ($4.1K)+11.6
    3/30 HOU9 ($3.2K)--5--
    3/29 HOU0 ($2.6K)-12.40 ($3.4K)-9.4
    3/28 HOU18.7 ($2.5K)+6.314 ($3.3K)--