Austin Meadows's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (98%), Austin Meadows is expected to be the #20 outfielder for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Austin Meadows is underrated by the market. His fantasy outfielder projection rank is #12. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Unless someone offers an even better outfielder value, we advise you to hold on to him. Of the 3 outfielders (Max Kepler, Michael Conforto) with this market rank (98% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 249 fantasy points in 77 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#16) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Austin Meadows behind Conforto and above Dahl but the projections rank Austin Meadows over Conforto.

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Lower Own%A. Meadows ROSHigher Own%
D. Dietrich (253 FP)249 FPM. Brantley (241 FP)
 
#20 OutfieldS. Marte (237 FP)
 
 
B. Harper (248 FP)
 
 
T. Pham (248 FP)
 
 
E. Rosario (232 FP)
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
249 (#12) 
Avg 
0.302 (#6) 
OPS 
0.906 (#9) 
Home Runs 
 
15 (#21)
Runs 
 
45 (#29)
RBI 
48 (#15) 
Stolen Bases 
9 (#19) 
Strikeouts 
 
76 (#130)

He has more relative weaknesses than strengths which hurts his value in leagues that score based on production in individual categories.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Austin Meadows is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #20 while his projection (rest of week 13) rank is #51. Week 14 outfielders comparisons show instead of Meadows consider these better options at lower start percentages: Nick Markakis (18.9 FP), Joc Pederson (23.6 FP), George Springer (21.2 FP), and Alex Verdugo (20.6 FP). Michael Brantley (17 FP), Starling Marte (16.7 FP), Thomas Pham (17.9 FP), Marcell Ozuna (13.8 FP), and Mookie Betts (17.5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Meadows but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 81% of leagues he is expected to produce 17.4 fantasy points (WK 14). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #20 outfielder of week 14. He is projected to be better than that (the #12 outfielder). Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 5 games.

Lower Start%A. Meadows WK 14Higher Start%
N. Markakis (19 FP)19 FPM. Brantley (17 FP)
J. Pederson (24 FP)#20 OutfieldS. Marte (17 FP)
G. Springer (21 FP) 
T. Pham (18 FP)
A. Verdugo (21 FP) 
M. Ozuna (14 FP)
 
 
M. Betts (18 FP)

He is projected for 18.8 fantasy points in week 14 (#12 OF) in 5 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
18.82 (#12) 
Avg0.322 (#2) 
 
OPS 
0.874 (#5) 
Home Runs 
1.11 (#19) 
Runs 
 
3.27 (#30)
RBI 
3.51 (#15) 
Stolen Bases 
0.69 (#13) 

  • Based on 6/23 start percentages, Austin Meadows is valued behind Peralta and above Mancini but the projections rank Austin Meadows over Peralta in week 14.
  • Jun 25Jun 26Jun 27Jun 28Jun 29Jun 30
    3.4 FP @MIN3.1 FP @MIN2.7 FP @MIN3.1 FP vs TEX3.6 FP vs TEX3 FP vs TEX

    Austin Meadows last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/22 @OAK3 FP, 9 FD, 8 DK1-4
    6/21 @OAK0 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-4
    6/20 @OAK-2 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    6/19 @NYY0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    6/17 @NYY2 FP, 6 FD, 7 DK1-3, 1 BB

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (6/23): Projected for 9.4 FanDuel pts Austin Meadows is the #51 ranked outfielder. He is the #20 highest priced outfielder ($3800). Based on the projection, Meadows is worth $3.3K. There are 4 other options at $3800 (Justin Upton, Domingo Santana, Eddie Rosario, Austin Riley) and Meadows is ranked #4 among the 5. Instead of Meadows consider these better options at lower salaries: Shin-Soo Choo (11.6 FP), Curtis Granderson (9.8 FP), Nick Markakis (9.9 FP), Alex Gordon (10.3 FP), and Ryan Braun (9.6 FP). He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Giancarlo Stanton (8.2 FP) and Marcell Ozuna (9.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 10.9 FPs, a value reached in 40 of 118 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 46%.

    Meadows is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 17.8 fantasy points per week and had 3 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL17.8 FP per Week23
    Week 112.5 (4 games 3.1 per game)
    Week 27 (5 games 1.4 per game)-10.8
    Week 347.5 (6 games 7.9 per game)+29.7
    Week 413 (5 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 718 (3 games 6 per game)
    Week 813 (5 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 921.5 (6 games 3.6 per game)
    Week 1038.5 (7 games 5.5 per game)+20.7
    Week 1117.5 (6 games 2.9 per game)
    Week 123.5 (7 games 0.5 per game)-14.3
    Week 133.5 (5 games 0.7 per game)-14.3

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 12.3 FD points and 9.4 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 17 and 29.4 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All12.3 ($4K)14 G, 21 B9.4 ($5.1K)7 G, 12 B
    6/22 @OAK9 ($3.8K)--8 ($4.3K)--
    6/21 @OAK3 ($3.8K)-9.33 ($4.7K)-6.4
    6/20 @OAK0 ($3.9K)-12.30 ($4.6K)-9.4
    6/19 @NYY0 ($4K)-12.30-9.4
    6/17 @NYY6 ($4.1K)-6.37 ($5.2K)--
    6/16 LAA9 ($4K)--8 ($5K)--
    6/15 LAA0 ($4K)-12.30-9.4
    6/14 LAA9.2 ($4.2K)--7 ($5.4K)--
    6/13 LAA0--0--
    6/12 OAK3 ($4.1K)-9.32 ($5.2K)-7.4
    6/11 OAK0 ($4.3K)-12.30 ($5.5K)-9.4
    6/10 OAK6.2 ($4.4K)--4 ($5.4K)-5.4
    6/8 @BOS6 ($4.4K)-6.35--
    6/8 @BOS21.4 ($4.4K)+9.117+7.6
    6/7 @BOS3 ($4.4K)-9.35 ($5.9K)--
    6/6 @DET6.5 ($4.4K)--5--
    6/5 @DET15.2 ($4.4K)--12 ($5.8K)--
    6/4 @DET12.2 ($4.4K)--9 ($5.7K)--
    6/2 MIN16.2 ($4.5K)--12 ($5.4K)--
    6/1 MIN6 ($4.3K)-6.36 ($5.7K)--
    5/31 MIN12.2 ($4.2K)--7 ($5.5K)--
    5/30 MIN29.4 ($4.3K)+17.120 ($5.4K)+10.6
    5/29 TOR18.4 ($4.3K)+6.114 ($5.6K)--
    5/28 TOR21.7 ($3.9K)+9.417 ($5.7K)+7.6
    5/27 TOR37.7--27--
    5/26 @CLE49.9 ($3.9K)+37.636 ($5.5K)+26.6
    5/25 @CLE3 ($4.1K)-9.33 ($5.4K)-6.4
    5/24 @CLE15.2 ($4.2K)--12 ($5.4K)--
    5/23 @CLE0 ($4.3K)-12.30 ($5.6K)-9.4
    5/22 LAD6.2 ($4.3K)--4 ($5K)-5.4
    5/21 LAD9.5 ($4.2K)--8 ($4.9K)--
    5/19 @NYY6 ($4.3K)-6.36 ($5.5K)--
    5/18 @NYY18.7 ($4.1K)+6.414 ($5.4K)--
    5/17 @NYY15 ($4K)--11 ($5.3K)--
    5/15 @MIA3 ($4.3K)-9.34 ($5.5K)-5.4
    5/14 @MIA3 ($4.3K)-9.32 ($5K)-7.4
    5/12 NYY21.7 ($4K)+9.417 ($5K)+7.6
    5/11 NYY6.2 ($4K)--5 ($4.9K)--
    5/10 NYY31.2 ($4.1K)+18.923 ($4.9K)+13.6
    4/20 BOS19 ($4.3K)+6.714 ($5.3K)--
    4/19 BOS6.2 ($4K)--5 ($5.2K)--
    4/18 BAL12.2 ($4.5K)--10 ($5K)--
    4/17 BAL6.2 ($4.4K)--5 ($4.9K)--
    4/16 BAL9 ($4.2K)--6 ($5K)--
    4/14 @TOR3.5 ($4K)-8.82 ($4.7K)-7.4
    4/13 @TOR12.5 ($4K)--10--
    4/12 @TOR46.4 ($3.7K)+34.135 ($4.7K)+25.6
    4/10 @CHW40.9 ($3K)+28.630+20.6
    4/9 @CHW50.4 ($2.9K)+38.136+26.6
    4/8 @CHW6.5 ($3.2K)--4-5.4
    4/7 @SF0 ($3.8K)-12.30-9.4
    4/6 @SF3 ($3.6K)-9.33-6.4
    4/5 @SF12.5 ($3.3K)--10--
    4/3 COL6 ($3.5K)-6.35--
    4/1 COL6 ($3.3K)-6.35 ($4.2K)--
    3/31 HOU28.7 ($3.3K)+16.421 ($4.1K)+11.6
    3/30 HOU9 ($3.2K)--5--
    3/29 HOU0 ($2.6K)-12.30 ($3.4K)-9.4
    3/28 HOU18.7 ($2.5K)+6.414 ($3.3K)--