Meadows DraftKings Projection Provides Play and Fade Advice

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 9.2 DraftKings pts Austin Meadows is the #9 ranked outfielder. At $4300 he is expected to be the #37 outfielder. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Meadows is worth $5.1K. There are 3 other options at $4300 (Lonnie Chisenhall, David Peralta, Cesar Puello) and Meadows is ranked #2 among the 4. Dwight Smith (9.4 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Shin-Soo Choo (8.9 FP), Jarrod Dyson (8.5 FP), Starling Marte (8.5 FP), Bryce Harper (9.1 FP), and Nick Castellanos (9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Meadows but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.7 FPs, a value reached in 44 of 117 games (38%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 39%.

  • 6/22 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: TB 4 (#28 Most Today) vs OAK 4.2 (#24 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 9.17 Fantasy Points (#8), 4.26 plate appearances (#7), 0.3 BA (#16), 0.91 OPS (#15), 0.23 HR (#11), 0.55 RBI (#29), 0.51 runs (#48), 0.13 stolen bases (#16),
Lower SalaryA. MeadowsHigher Salary
D. Smith (9 FP)9 FPS. Choo (9 FP)
 
#37 OutfieldJ. Dyson (8 FP)
 
 
S. Marte (8 FP)
 
 
B. Harper (9 FP)
 
 
N. Castellanos (9 FP)

FANDUEL VALUE: There are 5 other options at $3800 (Justin Upton, Thomas Pham, Khris Davis, Eddie Rosario, Shohei Ohtani) and Meadows is the best option of these 6. These are 3 better options at lower salaries: Joc Pederson (12.2 FP), David Peralta (12.4 FP), and Dwight Smith (12.5 FP). Giancarlo Stanton (9.6 FP), Marcell Ozuna (11.5 FP), Domingo Santana (8.5 FP), Max Kepler (9.8 FP), and Aaron Judge (10.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Meadows but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 11.4 FPs, a value reached in 40 of 117 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 43%.

Meadows is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Austin Meadows is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #17 while his projection (rest of week 13) rank is #31. In week 14 rankings vs other outfielders instead of Meadows consider these better options at lower start percentages: Joc Pederson (22.8 FP), George Springer (21.4 FP), and Alex Verdugo (18.9 FP). Michael Brantley (17.9 FP), Starling Marte (16.8 FP), Thomas Pham (17.9 FP), Marcell Ozuna (13.7 FP), and Mookie Betts (17.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Meadows but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 84% of leagues he is expected to produce 17.8 fantasy points (WK 14). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #19 outfielder of week 14. He is projected to be better than that (the #11 outfielder). Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 5 games.

Lower Start%A. Meadows WK 14Higher Start%
J. Pederson (23 FP)19 FPM. Brantley (18 FP)
G. Springer (21 FP)#19 OutfieldS. Marte (17 FP)
A. Verdugo (19 FP) 
T. Pham (18 FP)
 
 
M. Ozuna (14 FP)
 
 
M. Betts (17 FP)

He is projected for 18.6 fantasy points in week 14 (#12 OF) in 5 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
18.6 (#12) 
Avg0.323 (#3) 
 
OPS 
0.872 (#5) 
Home Runs 
1.12 (#18) 
Runs 
 
3.28 (#30)
RBI 
3.5 (#14) 
Stolen Bases 
0.72 (#13) 

  • Based on 6/22 start percentages, Austin Meadows is valued behind Alvarez and above Peralta but the projections rank Austin Meadows over Alvarez in week 14.
  • Jun 25Jun 26Jun 27Jun 28Jun 29Jun 30
    3.3 FP @MIN3 FP @MIN2.7 FP @MIN3.2 FP vs TEX3.4 FP vs TEX3 FP vs TEX

    Austin Meadows last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/21 @OAK0 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-4
    6/20 @OAK-2 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    6/19 @NYY0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    6/17 @NYY2 FP, 6 FD, 7 DK1-3, 1 BB
    6/16 vs LAA2 FP, 9 FD, 8 DK1-4

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among outfielders is #14. Based on ownership percentage (99%), Austin Meadows has a market rank of #17 among outfielders. Austin Meadows's projection rank is better than their market rank. He is projected for 248 fantasy points in 78 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#20) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Austin Meadows behind Benintendi and above Gallo but the projections rank Austin Meadows over Benintendi.

    Lower Own%A. Meadows ROSHigher Own%
    D. Dietrich (249 FP)248 FPM. Brantley (246 FP)
    T. Mancini (251 FP)#17 OutfieldS. Marte (243 FP)
     
     
    B. Harper (248 FP)
     
     
    E. Rosario (237 FP)
     
     
    A. Benintendi (230 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    248 (#14) 
    Avg 
    0.3 (#7) 
    OPS 
    0.89 (#11) 
    Home Runs 
    15 (#22) 
    Runs 
     
    46 (#28)
    RBI 
    48 (#15) 
    Stolen Bases 
    9 (#19) 
    Strikeouts 
     
    79 (#134)

    He has more relative weaknesses than strengths which hurts his value in leagues that score based on production in individual categories.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 17.5 fantasy points per week and had 3 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL17.5 FP per Week23
    Week 112.5 (4 games 3.1 per game)
    Week 27 (5 games 1.4 per game)-10.5
    Week 347.5 (6 games 7.9 per game)+30
    Week 413 (5 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 718 (3 games 6 per game)
    Week 813 (5 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 921.5 (6 games 3.6 per game)
    Week 1038.5 (7 games 5.5 per game)+21
    Week 1117.5 (6 games 2.9 per game)
    Week 123.5 (7 games 0.5 per game)-14
    Week 130.5 (4 games 0.1 per game)-17

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 12.3 FD points and 9.4 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 17 and on FanDuel it was 29.4 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All12.3 ($4K)13 G, 21 B9.4 ($5.1K)7 G, 12 B
    6/21 @OAK3 ($3.8K)-9.33 ($4.7K)-6.4
    6/20 @OAK0 ($3.9K)-12.30 ($4.6K)-9.4
    6/19 @NYY0 ($4K)-12.30-9.4
    6/17 @NYY6 ($4.1K)-6.37 ($5.2K)--
    6/16 LAA9 ($4K)--8 ($5K)--
    6/15 LAA0 ($4K)-12.30-9.4
    6/14 LAA9.2 ($4.2K)--7 ($5.4K)--
    6/13 LAA0--0--
    6/12 OAK3 ($4.1K)-9.32 ($5.2K)-7.4
    6/11 OAK0 ($4.3K)-12.30 ($5.5K)-9.4
    6/10 OAK6.2 ($4.4K)--4 ($5.4K)-5.4
    6/8 @BOS6 ($4.4K)-6.35--
    6/8 @BOS21.4 ($4.4K)+9.117+7.6
    6/7 @BOS3 ($4.4K)-9.35 ($5.9K)--
    6/6 @DET6.5 ($4.4K)--5--
    6/5 @DET15.2 ($4.4K)--12 ($5.8K)--
    6/4 @DET12.2 ($4.4K)--9 ($5.7K)--
    6/2 MIN16.2 ($4.5K)--12 ($5.4K)--
    6/1 MIN6 ($4.3K)-6.36 ($5.7K)--
    5/31 MIN12.2 ($4.2K)--7 ($5.5K)--
    5/30 MIN29.4 ($4.3K)+17.120 ($5.4K)+10.6
    5/29 TOR18.4 ($4.3K)--14 ($5.6K)--
    5/28 TOR21.7 ($3.9K)+9.417 ($5.7K)+7.6
    5/27 TOR37.7--27--
    5/26 @CLE49.9 ($3.9K)+37.636 ($5.5K)+26.6
    5/25 @CLE3 ($4.1K)-9.33 ($5.4K)-6.4
    5/24 @CLE15.2 ($4.2K)--12 ($5.4K)--
    5/23 @CLE0 ($4.3K)-12.30 ($5.6K)-9.4
    5/22 LAD6.2 ($4.3K)--4 ($5K)-5.4
    5/21 LAD9.5 ($4.2K)--8 ($4.9K)--
    5/19 @NYY6 ($4.3K)-6.36 ($5.5K)--
    5/18 @NYY18.7 ($4.1K)+6.414 ($5.4K)--
    5/17 @NYY15 ($4K)--11 ($5.3K)--
    5/15 @MIA3 ($4.3K)-9.34 ($5.5K)-5.4
    5/14 @MIA3 ($4.3K)-9.32 ($5K)-7.4
    5/12 NYY21.7 ($4K)+9.417 ($5K)+7.6
    5/11 NYY6.2 ($4K)--5 ($4.9K)--
    5/10 NYY31.2 ($4.1K)+18.923 ($4.9K)+13.6
    4/20 BOS19 ($4.3K)+6.714 ($5.3K)--
    4/19 BOS6.2 ($4K)--5 ($5.2K)--
    4/18 BAL12.2 ($4.5K)--10 ($5K)--
    4/17 BAL6.2 ($4.4K)--5 ($4.9K)--
    4/16 BAL9 ($4.2K)--6 ($5K)--
    4/14 @TOR3.5 ($4K)-8.82 ($4.7K)-7.4
    4/13 @TOR12.5 ($4K)--10--
    4/12 @TOR46.4 ($3.7K)+34.135 ($4.7K)+25.6
    4/10 @CHW40.9 ($3K)+28.630+20.6
    4/9 @CHW50.4 ($2.9K)+38.136+26.6
    4/8 @CHW6.5 ($3.2K)--4-5.4
    4/7 @SF0 ($3.8K)-12.30-9.4
    4/6 @SF3 ($3.6K)-9.33-6.4
    4/5 @SF12.5 ($3.3K)--10--
    4/3 COL6 ($3.5K)-6.35--
    4/1 COL6 ($3.3K)-6.35 ($4.2K)--
    3/31 HOU28.7 ($3.3K)+16.421 ($4.1K)+11.6
    3/30 HOU9 ($3.2K)--5--
    3/29 HOU0 ($2.6K)-12.30 ($3.4K)-9.4
    3/28 HOU18.7 ($2.5K)+6.414 ($3.3K)--