Texas
Rangers
Stadium Globe Life Park in Arlington
43-36 Overall | AL WEST 2nd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Rangers.2574401104.83
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  6/20
vs
Indians
W4-2
Fri  6/21
vs
White Sox
L / 104-5
Sat  6/22
vs
White Sox
W6-5
Sun  6/23
vs
White Sox
W7-4
Tue  6/25
@
Tigers
W5-3
Wed  6/26
@
Tigers
7:10pm
Thu  6/27
@
Tigers
1:10pm
Fri  6/28
@
Rays
7:10pm
Sat  6/29
@
Rays
4:10pm
Sun  6/30
@
Rays
1:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Rangers are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.3% chance of making the playoffs. On 4/13 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 18% on 6/12. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 12.1%. Before the start of their 3 game winning streak they were at 5.4%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 3.2% (30/1 odds) and a 1.6% chance of winning it all (60/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 53% #2 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 47% #5 Easiest

Rangers' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 43-36 the Rangers are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 36 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 29 impressive wins where they were given

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is +0.42 which ranks #7 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #5. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #9 in road games. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -0.31 (#11 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 3 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
CLOSE GAME
60% @DET
1014 miles
JUN 27
LIKELY WIN
60% @DET
-- miles
JUN 28
CLOSE GAME
49% @TB
1008 miles
JUN 29
CLOSE GAME
44% @TB
-- miles
JUN 30
LIKELY LOSS
30% @TB
-- miles
JUL 1
LIKELY WIN
68% LAA
927 miles
JUL 2
CLOSE GAME
52% LAA
--
JUL 3
CLOSE GAME
41% LAA
--
JUL 4
CLOSE GAME
49% LAA
--
JUL 5
CLOSE GAME
53% @MIN
870 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 18.1%. At #6 in the league, they are fighting with the Indians for positioning. There is only a -0.11 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games so we do not expect them to pick up ground in the league. They are in a battle with Red Sox in the league. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Red Sox. Their projected wins (5.09) over the next 10 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Rangers are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Rangers are playing 12 games, traveling 13824 miles crossing 9 time zones. They rank #8 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

According to Sportsline the Texas Rangers are -105 favorites but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
1 Andrus, Elvis SS6-020008/26/198811No College
14 Cabrera, Asdrubal 3B6-020511/13/198513No College
5 Calhoun, Willie LF5-821511/04/19943No College
53 Chavez, Jesse RP6-217508/21/198312No College
17 Choo, Shin-Soo DH5-1120507/13/198215No College
3 DeShields, Delino CF5-920808/16/19925No College
46 Fairbanks, Peter RP6-221912/16/19931Missouri
50 Federowicz, Tim C5-1021508/05/19878North Carolina
41 Forsythe, Logan 1B6-120501/14/19879Arkansas
--- Gallo, Joey 6-523011/19/19935No College
11 Guzman, Ronald 1B6-422510/20/19942No College
79 Jimenez, A.J. C6-019205/01/19901No College
57 Jurado, Ariel RP6-123001/30/19962No College
27 Kelley, Shawn RP6-223704/26/198411No College
25 Leclerc, Jose RP6-019012/19/19934No College
35 Lynn, Lance SP6-525505/12/19878Ole Miss
74 Martin, Brett RP6-4190No College
31 Martin, Chris RP6-822506/02/19864No College
2 Mathis, Jeff C6-020503/31/198315No College
30 Mazara, Nomar RF6-421504/26/19954No College
19 Miller, Shelby RP6-322510/10/19908No College
23 Minor, Mike SP6-422012/26/19878Vanderbilt
12 Odor, Rougned 2B5-1119502/03/19946No College
52 Sampson, Adrian SP6-220010/07/19913No College
38 Santana, Danny CF5-1119011/07/19906No College
45 St. John, Locke RP6-218501/31/19931No College