|L / 102-3|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
Before the season, the Giants were projected for 71.8 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 3/25 they had a 71.9% chance before dropping to 55.5% on 6/1. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 65.4.
Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher
Giants' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
At 34-44 the Giants are behind their money line projected win total of 34.8 wins. They have 25 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 23 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have won 45% of their road games and were expected to win 43%. At home they have a 42% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 47%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (10-10, 50%) is better than their expected 40% win percentage. In simulations where the Giants played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.9% of the time (#27 in the league). Their peak rank was #23 in the league back on 3/26.
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is -1.17 which ranks #15 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #14. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #12 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #15 in home games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -0.38 (#10 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The forecast for their next 10 games is not good. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 10 games.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 14.1%. At #14 in the league, they are behind the Mets by 2 points. With a -0.4 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Marlins by 3.5 points. With a -0.54 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find the gap between them closing.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Giants are the 20th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Giants are playing 11 games, traveling 2754 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #28 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the San Francisco Giants' next game. They are +123 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|19||Austin, Tyler||LF||6-2||220||09/06/1991||4||No College|
|40||Bumgarner, Madison||SP||6-4||242||08/01/1989||11||No College|
|49||Dyson, Sam||RP||6-1||210||05/07/1988||8||South Carolina|
|45||Holland, Derek||RP||6-2||213||10/09/1986||11||No College|
|10||Longoria, Evan||3B||6-1||215||10/07/1985||12||No College|
|54||Moronta, Reyes||RP||5-11||241||01/06/1993||3||No College|
|12||Panik, Joe||2B||6-1||199||10/30/1990||6||No College|
|1||Pillar, Kevin||CF||6-0||205||01/04/1989||7||No College|
|37||Pomeranz, Drew||SP||6-5||228||11/22/1988||9||Ole Miss|
|28||Posey, Buster||C||6-1||207||03/27/1987||11||Florida State|
|57||Rodriguez, Dereck||SP||6-1||215||06/05/1992||2||No College|
|29||Samardzija, Jeff||SP||6-5||240||01/23/1985||12||Notre Dame|
|48||Sandoval, Pablo||3B||5-11||268||08/11/1986||12||No College|
|13||Smith, Will||RP||6-5||248||07/10/1989||7||No College|
|7||Solano, Donovan||SS||5-10||205||12/17/1987||6||No College|
|21||Vogt, Stephen||C||6-0||211||11/01/1984||7||No College|